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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. https://mobile.twitter.com/DanHayesMLB/status/1080543902174728193
  2. it does help, but managing to that metric does not help in many games. it’s the number of times that the starter like Odorizzi gets gassed in the 4th but gets trotted back out for the 5th (and as expected coughs up runs) because the manager is managing to a bad stat. If a pitcher throws the first pitch of the ballgame throws 75 quality pitches through 4 innings and gives up no runs but doesn’t get the “pitcher win” or “quality start”, is that bad? Did that not help the team of the shared goal of a win after 9 innings? Agreed with several posters that improving the starting rotation is a way to win more games. I’d like the Twins to improve the rotation too, but the fact remains, 3/5 of the rotation would need to be improved and there aren’t that many starters feasibly available to the Twins right now. Winning in 2019 will not and cannot be on the back of the best rotation in baseball, not even on a rotation good enough to get starts of 5+ innings on 130 games. So what is feasible for this team to get 1500 quality innings pitched? Like the Royals from a couple years ago and the Brewers last year, it’s removing the label of starter and reliever and just getting the best pitchers you can, of all varieties of endurance, and piece it together.
  3. This! Gardy used to whine about rookies not having any polish before getting to the bigs. My response at the time (while being very sick of watching 90 loss seasons) was ‘you are a coach, so coach ‘em up’. Looking back, I agree with your stance. Too many of their minor league years spent in A ball, not enough in AAA. So as Gardy and Molitor had the “won’t work with rookies” moniker, it might be more appropriate to think that theres a gap in development for players without sufficient AAA time that the previous FO couldn’t adjust to fill. Let’s see how this plays out with Falvey.
  4. If an investor or buyer fails to spend what needs to be spent, that money manager bankrupts an otherwise healthily liquid organization. For instance, if my manufacturing company made 15 mil worth of the wrong stuff, but has backorders on a constrained machine, what is the prudent decision? Buy the equipment to eliviate the constraint. If you need the cash to buy the equipment, liquidate the excess product for whatever you can get for it. If you can’t liquidate enough, borrow or sell stock/bond to raise the capital. Grow or die
  5. Option Cave, have Austin be 4th OF/Bench bat. Get him ABs every game and see what you got.
  6. if you have two 6-7 inning pitchers Gibson and Berrios and 3, 4-5 inning pitchers, alternate them. #1 starter means nothing A 5 game stretch could look something like this in innings pitched: 1) Odorizzi 4-5, Mejia 3-4, May 1-2 2) Gibson 6-7, Romero 1-2, Rogers 1-2 3) Pineda 4-5, Gonsalves 3-4, May 1-2 4) Berrios 6-7, Reed 1-2, Rogers, 1-2 5) Stewart 4-5, Moya .1, Magill 2.2, Hildenberger 1, Romero 1-2 Gibson, or Berrios (or any of them) could toss up a clunker and there are still plenty of arms to cover innings if you have 3 guys capable of going 2-4 innings Now need to find improvements on Magill, Stewart, and Gonsalves so Magill can be released and Stewart/Gonsalves can be stashed in AAA
  7. The alternative to reconfiguring your staff to get the most quality innings with what you got, is get a new staff. It’s not just Odorizzi. Gibson and Berrios are the only two pitchers on the staff that have a shot at 190 innings in 2019. So do you supplement, or blow it up? Blowing it up is a long horizon. I’m with RB, forget the label, just find a way to get 1500 effective innings pitched. I’m on the supplement side of the fence.
  8. Mauer, Dozier and Morrison/Grossman. Escobar didn’t really DH, Escobar played mostly 3rd, Sano should eclipse anything Escobar did offensively.
  9. Don’t sleep on Big Toe for the super-ute Agreed with RB. 13 pitchers, so there is effectively no bench. 2-3 of those 13 pitchers need to be upgraded. Have there been reports of Castro’s knee status? I would think Austin or Cron would be heavily discussed in trades for a Bundy type. I like that idea, and Bundy fits the target profile of the FO. Not sure how either Cron/Austin fits Baltimore. More likely I think the FO rolls with in house options (maybe Kohl Stewart) for the 5th starter and bolsters the bullpen. Mejia and Gonsalves should both be mid-length/multi-inning appearance pitchers to supplement the expected short starts by Pineda, Odorizzi, and Stewart. I expect Romero to be a short appearance pitcher to help bolster the late innings.
  10. still 74 homers is what 68 net increase? Huge
  11. how is it a bad thing to improve the hitters? Agreed, pitching is needed badly and this might inhibit funds available for future signings, but money spent on players is better than money left in Pohlad’s wallet. Not signing Cruz does not mean it will be spent on pitching.
  12. Really happy with the one year plus option deal. Deleted URL as it was not an official announcement. Team has not confirmed
  13. with Pineda coming back from not pitching for the last 18 months or so, do you suppose he’ll have great endurance? He was a 5.5-6 inning guy with the Yankees, I doubt he will have more endurance than that in ‘19
  14. My feelings about Pineda have more to do with what the FO does with the rest of the pitching staff. There’s still one rotation spot open and the bullpen is in some need of high impact arms. If the FO stands pat and rolls in to spring training with what used be solid depth as plan A (80-90 mil payroll) I’m POed about Pineda because he’s the best they got and we’re gonna watch a bunch of bullpen games. And not the really effective Andrew Miller type bullpen games. The cruddy churn through all the AAA and AA chaff the FO can get their hands on kind... If the FO acquires a decent mid rotation starter and a couple high impact relievers (115-125 m payroll) I’m good with Pineda as a lightning in a bottle but not plan A signing. If the FO does something in the middle (most likely) where they roll into ST with adding one decent bullpen arm acquired and a back rotation type starter (95-105 m payroll) I’ll be most po’ed because the FO didn’t even make a decision. It has little to do with Pineda, as much as what he means to the strategy employed by the FO.
  15. the opener was tested in the minors last year before being deployed in the bigs, would we see the same with the proposed shift in position player utilization, or would it start in MLB ST?
  16. I think the market for Marwin Gonzalez could be a barometer to the league following suit with the Dodgers. The play every day utility guy could have more value to the market than the only Twins player (coming off a down year) not named Killebrew to have a 40 homer season. Maybe Cron, Schoop, and Austin are money ball type signings; while Ehire and Big Toe are ways to keep flexibility without breaking the bank on a play every day guy flexible guy. I’d prefer a whole team full of positionally flexible every day hitting types, but that player is en vogue. If your model is As and Rays, and not Dodgers, market inefficiencies are where you live. It probably makes the margins of the roster that much more important, just gotta get more creative finding the next MGs.
  17. if your path is to build from within, then you trade away expiring contracts. Gibson, Pineda, and Odorizzi all fit.
  18. turning 48 mil into 1bil plus in 30 years. I’m not sure Amazon would have been better considering the comparative low price point
  19. swing man is definitionally 6th starter who does long relief until you need a 6th starter.... Agreed tho, in the pen or not on the roster for Mejia and Romero. The rest of that list are great in AAA/AA
  20. please tell me they went the same way as Bill Smith
  21. and how can one be 25 and remember 1991? We need to investigate this time traveling device
  22. if they aren’t better than alternatives then are you trying to get worse? Mejia is out of options, and is a fine swing man or 5th starter or trade candidate. He should have no impact on extending either/both Gibson and Odorizzi. Romero could be out of options. It sounds like he’s moving to the pen, which I think is a good move.
  23. how does this advance the conversation? Where do we go from here? Is sustained excellence 75 wins with a roster comprised entirely of homegrown talent still in arbitration or earlier?
  24. just cuz they’re out of options doesn’t make them better than Odorizzi or Gibson
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