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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Pineda is the 4th starter and Perez is 5th. The bullpen looks like Rogers and May and some 6th inning/mop up guys pitching is deep in mediocrity but very thin on quality.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    please give credit to Betsy Helfand. She did the work and was nice enough to go to the meltdown. https://www.twincities.com/2019/01/27/twins-gm-thad-levine-talks-mega-free-agents-extensions/
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    the Twins (or the Pohlads, not 100% sure) are already part owners of Fox Sports North going back to the days of the merger between MSC and VS1(both had Pohlad money in them). MLB ownership would mean a payout directly on ad revenue and an indirect payout in the MLB revenue sharing like with the national broadcasts and streaming revenues. Does the MLB revenue sharing from streaming hit operating income? I would guess so, because it’s like ticket sales or ballpark advertising, compared to the sale of the streaming service to Disney which was the result of selling an asset so it would fall into equity.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m less upset over specific players and more upset over general apathy towards building a contender and upgrading the pitching staff overall. Machado and Polanco would make a fantastic SS/2B combo for a couple years, but until the pitching gets significantly better, it’s not going to move the needle enough. I’d be thrilled with Machado, but we need high leverage and long appearance pitching badly. All we heard out of the FO was “we’re waiting” even though there was this huge bountiful tree of largest, juiciest, lowest hanging fruit we’ve ever seen. You darn near had to stoop over to pluck those watermelon sized apples.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    I like watching crisp glove work as much as the next guy, but the “fielding up the middle” mantra might be shifting a bit. With the change in approach with both hitting and pitching, emphasizing fly balls and strikeouts, it seams teams have been going more towards fielding/coverage in the outfield especially up the middle and thump in the infield. The Twins are no exception. Polanco (or Correa, etc) never would be a SS in the pitch to contact era. I think the adage holds true for Catcher and CF, less so for SS, absolutely not for 2b
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    except that “revenue” being quoted is not “revenue” in the SEC defined manner that some people make it out to be. The Twins like all but 1 mlb team is a privately held firm. They aren’t required to disclose to shareholders. Every take on income and profit is either an estimate or put through a lens that makes their position look better to the intended audience. It’s aggravating to hear that the Twins have a cruddy TV deal with FSN North without the acknowledgment that they chose that deal in order to get an ownership stake in the network. So revenue is down but equity is up. Poor billionaire Pohlads and their gobs of cash.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Cron has one more Arbitration year, Austin hasn’t been through arb yet. So yeah, I do
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, but they’re all pushed back. 6th man in the rotation should still get 10 starts, but 7th should get a couple and after that 1 for each of the 8-11.
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Jim Pohlad is “one of us” and yet he, and his father both ran the team as a business. Better than Calvin Griffith, but that’s a real low bar.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    see also number 70
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    opponents OPS against that curveball is .918 for his career. https://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfx.aspx?playerid=6902&position=P&pitch=CU Historically he's relied heavily on his sinker which has been a better pitch for him, but the Twins have an infield built for fly ball pitchers. His BABIP should skyrocket on that sinker. Look at Gibson, his success came when he got away from his two seamer, and went to the four. Perez's Career OPS on his four seam is .893. Sinker bad for 2019 Twins. Perez bad for 2019 Twins.
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Sano is perfectly capable of DH 1b duties too. They won’t carry 3 primary DH/1B players. More likely if 12 pitchers break camp Big Toe is the extra infielder. He has options and can play SS. More likely for Austin to break camp is if he can show ability to play outfield. He has history there. I believe Cave has an option, so CF depth can be with the team next day, and Kepler is a capable CF.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    My guess is they’ll sneak (or try) Austin through waivers. Cron was a bargain, Cruz was a bargain. Austin can be replaced relatively cheaply
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    for the prospect cost of trading for 2 years of Realmuto, I’d rather get a big time young stud pitcher. Agreed entirely on the why
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    it could be one dollar with 3.4999 m worth of incentives and I’d still be pissed. It’s not the money, it’s the rotation and roster spot. That spot could be used to improve the team or develop youngsters and probably both. With Perez it’s neither.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    good point, how much difference is there 'really' between 90 and 110?
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, but for how long? It's hard to tell until it's too late and you're saddled with the Phil Hughes extension. I'd still take 32-33 YO Gibson over the next Martin Perez
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    I am on the side of sign a starter to make the top of your rotation better, but agreed, your 5th starter and/or swing man should be actively groomed for future rotation fixtures. It is why I was so POed about Perez. He is no better than the in house guys and then those guys get no experience. It's a lose/lose proposition
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    your 3-5th starters have a combined 20 (hyperbole I didn’t look it up) innings of MLB experience and number 2 appears to be a solid 4th-5th starter. If that’s the plan, might as well blow the whole darn thing up right now and start planning for ‘25/‘26
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    I missed this year but went to the first official 4. They were awesome and I’m sad to have missed the last two.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Per Hayes Twins are in on Kimbrel https://theathletic.com/789410/2019/01/28/craig-kimbrel-twins-free-agent-market-thad-levine-red-sox/ Sounds like Falvine are trying to sign Kimbrel to a short 1-2 year contract with a high AAV maybe 20 mil per season (I don’t have subscription to Athletic, read a synopsis from an aggregator)
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m encouraged by Stewart’s results and his new found support, however I’m with you. What took so long? Sometimes it takes a new voice, just like the change of scenery effect, but gosh why didn’t the old FO (or Falvey and Levine) figure out earlier that the coaching voices weren’t effective?
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, but would propose expanding the scope of weakness. Pitching (not just bullpen) has significant risk of costing games early in the season. I don’t trust Pineda, I am negative on Perez and worry he’ll continue to be a primary pitcher while the coaching staff tries with futility to remake him, and Odorizzi his good for 5 innings. They’re going to blow through a ton of long relief innings and need to score a bunch, before we ever get to the setup man and closer. I’m good with closer and kinda doubt they have one established closer. Between May, and Rogers we’re ok to good there and if Reed bounces back we’re set. It’s the high leverage fireman and setup man I’m concerned with. Theres a few guys that can get through a clean inning, I’m struggling to identify anyone to get you out of a jamb. Looking forward to some touch downs this summer
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed. Point being 3/21 seems pretty cheap, I thought he’d have gotten more on the open market. The FO can talk all they want. Signing Cruz mattered (in a good way). Signing Perez mattered (in a bad way). Trying to sign or extend player X does not matter.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    what extension did he turn down from Falvey when he signed a 3 year 21 mil extension from AZ?
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