Richie the Rally Goat
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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat
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I think it’s divot replacement from concerts -
Do you really think he’ll be DFA’d?
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It’s next to impossible to hit the bottom line, if you don’t hit the top line. Increased sales fixes margin problems alot better than cost cutting.
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No, and that’s my point of contention. DSP and Falvey should have been planning the scenarios for that to happen.
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The Twins have the highest payroll in the AL Central and are currently 4th. i can absolutely point blame at a front office that doesn’t cash flow plan the full term of their payroll contracts. i don’t know how the decisions get made, but with the Pohlads it can’t be “Dad, can I have more money”
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- derek falvey
- jhoan duran
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If he behaves like he’s a lame duck, he’s certain to be one, regardless of ownership changes.
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- derek falvey
- jhoan duran
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Festa going to IL, Twins scoop up Fedde?
Richie the Rally Goat replied to thelanges5's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
https://www.mlb.com/news/david-festa-right-shoulder-inflammation?adobe_mc=TS%3D1753284543|MCMID%3D51455057241460116597972351370508527739|MCORGID%3DA65F776A5245B01B0A490D44@AdobeOrg&affiliateId=mlbapp-ios_webview_news-index&rsid=mlbios.at.bat.new.implementation -
The importance of analytics
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
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Yup, if the plan is to sell off current assets for future assets because this team isn’t good, then the FO misjudged badly. This team has been in the making for 6 years. This team didn’t get tore down after crapping the bed in epic fashion last year. And this team continued where it left off last year. i don’t necessarily agree with Matt’s prescription, but if he believes Falvey needs to sell aggressively, then the only answer is to fire an incompetent front office. They didn’t just miss one off season in a couple minor acquisitions if the prescription to sell aggressively, they missed a bunch of decisions over several offseasons and misread the ownership too. edit to add: @Matthew Trueblood excellently written piece. The dithering is absolutely maddening with this team.
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What’s the point of this post? There was a whole article written about why Clemens should get more playing time at the expense of France.
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You nailed it. Why would a collection of baseball owners who have exemption from antitrust rules collectively take action to increase the value of one of the owner’s asset? It raises the value of their own assets too
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Compensating for injuries can cause bad mechanics. It can take a while after injury recovery to correct them.
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They’re watching Pitchingninja like the rest of us
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Wallner has underperformed expectations this year, but was the 5th best hitting RF league-wide the last two seasons and is 27 and in his first year arbitration. Trading him would take a truckload of prospects. Super-duper valuable! also, Clemens has been a MUCH better hitter than France (as has Wallner). Buxton CF Clemens 1b Castro 2b Bader LF Jeffers C Wallner RF Larnach DH Correa SS Lee 3B
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Lewis having a bad season is a major reason why the Twins hitters have struggled to produce runs. I think selling low is a mistake. It might be to the point where Royce needs another IL stint and extended rehab assignment. My uneducated guess is his legs are still hurting/injured. Get him right/healthy and we may get the superstar back. as to the “alleged pitching pipeline”. It’s not so much alleged as it is proven. The Twins pitching staff for 2025 have accumulated 13.9 WAR as of the all star break, second in MLB, 3.7 FIP ranks 5th, 4.07 ERA ranks 19, 9.6 hr/fb ranks 1, 15.7 k/bb ranks 4. They’re down their first, third, and sixth starts, getting into the 8th man in the rotation and still getting a competitive game every 5th day is a huge example that it is working. Yeah, they need another starter, but it’s the hitting that’s the problem.
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In 2023 and 2024 Wallner was the 5th best hitting RF league wide. Ed Julien had a very good 2023, but sucked in 24, worse in 25. Very different situation, very different position.
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Move on from a guy in his first year of Arbitration? yeah, he’s having a down year, but holy crap it’s hard to complain about the previous 2 years. i firmly believe he’ll figure it out again soon.
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If your pitching gives up 2 runs, the pitching did its job
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Clemens hits much better, fields as well if not better and has a better wingspan.
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Your opinion on the 3 color man booth?
Richie the Rally Goat replied to DocBauer's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The chemistry matters a lot! It was great with Morneau, Perk, Plouffe, Martin. The ESPN and Apple plus games where the banter is forced and it’s clearly an act is painful -
Barry wasn’t exactly big in his Pirates days either
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He could be buying them now, so he wasn’t “wrong” just “early” :)
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Fortunately, he’s not on the roster anymore
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When I purchased my small business it was an asset only blue sky sale. Both of M&A ventures that my employers went through in the hundreds of millions and billions were equity sales. One a leveraged buy out, the other public stock. On an enterprise sale this large with this much risk exposure and tax implication, I would not make the assumption of asset only. The remaining risk exposure without the future revenue would be untenable for the Pohlad Companies, as well as the capital gains impact. remember, they bought the franchise for $44m, and are selling it for $1.5b. Asset sales are regular income tax up to 37% fed and 18% state. Equity is taxed at capital gains, 10% state and 10% federal, that’s $675,000,000 minus $300,000,000 equals $375,000,000 tax savings, plus another $400,000,000 in debt relief. For $775,000,000 I’m pushing hard for equity sale
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Correct, today the mn Twins LLC owe somebody (maybe the Pohlad company) $400m. The asking price is $1.5b and include the debt in the sale. In other words the Pohlad company are selling The Minnesota Twins LLC, not just the assets/brand. edit to add, the new owner of The Minnesota Twins LLC would take over the debt. If the debt were to the Pohlad Company, this would be a sticking point, especially because it exceeds the MLB rules on how much debt to equity a team can have. It would make sense that the MlB would buy the debt like a mortgage being bought from a bank by Fannie Mae.
