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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Littell might not be significantly better rate stat wise over Bradley/Abel but the 50 more innings he would probably pitch will be a hell of a lot better than the scrap heap Genesis Cabrera type relief pitchers that would fill that void. The best relievers on this roster are pitching 60 innings no matter what, the extras go to the scrap heap.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    Fair, but need to calculate the bullpen into the equation. Lopez over replacement would have taken 50 to 75 innings away from a bottom 10 bullpen in baseball. 1 good reliever over 60 innings will put up 2 WAR, an average .7, a bad one -.5. Likely 2.5 to 3 WAR.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Really bad return on that trade but ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    I feel so bad for Pablo. Rough
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    Yup exceptionally bad bullpen. While I realize Adams is sort of a converted “bulk pitcher” the reality is if this is the opening day bullpen, this team isn’t trying to develop high leverage arms and rebuild a good bullpen. This would be a punt on 2026
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Yup, towards the end of the season, they closed all but 2 of the value stands, so if you wanted a dollar dog, you waited and waited.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Open wide! Wider!
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    I mean sure, it’s Skynet, but it’s cheap extinction of the human race.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    It was a team of 5
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    Glut of Lefty DHs, meet glut of washed up lefty relievers
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’ll believe it when I see it.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Hey Ladies lol
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    From the article I found, $51 is the average fan spend inside the park after buying tickets. The average ticket is $37, that would be $88 x 350,000 =$30.8m. Plus of course there’s tv revenue per subscriber and advertising revenue.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    We really need a sarc font
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Still too expensive
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    this team is better than the August 25 Twins but worse than the May 25 Twins. That was a 70 win team, no flukey injuries, Buxton had his healthiest season in years. That 70 wins is the baseline. If López tears his UCL opening day, there’s no way this team wins 67 games. If Buxton doesn’t have an extremely healthy season, there’s no way this team wins 67 games. If Ryan and Lopez both get devastating injuries early in the season, this team might compete with the Pale Hose for historic ineptitude. If there’s better than average health and a ton of things go right in developing a bullpen and seeing Royce and Wallner return to form, absolutely they could be a 500 team. .500 could place them competing for the division. Far more likely we see injuries and the usual development pendulum
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    They also share the away games, baseball as a whole was up 10%
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    If this is accurate https://larkletter.substack.com/p/how-the-mlb-hit-record-revenues-from gate revenue is about 1/3 of revenue, average ticket $37 x 350k $12.9m x 3 = $40m plenty to sign Sonny Gray
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    350k is 18% growth over 2018. Target field seats 39,500. 81 home games max capacity is 3.2m. 350k is 10% of maximum capacity. That is FAR from a drop in the bucket.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think most of us had that figured out on August 5 when Lee looked like a statue both in the field and at the plate while all of the prospects were either butchers or 5 years away. It’s just amazing it took this long for a national writer to say it.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    That was reactive to two passive offseasons in a row that should have been more aggressive (buy or sell).
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    The aggressive approach from the beginning of Falvey’s tenure that I loved, corresponded with Thad Levine’s tenure too. Mysteriously when Levine left so too did the aggressive moves. From the outside, Falvey’s largest failure is in managing up and aligning the ownership team, something TR was very good at. It led to stagnation and underspend, but from the outside it looked like TR always had a clearly aligned directive. It probably wasn’t because the disfunction of ownership we saw over the last couple years didn’t just crop up. Falvey’s legacy appears to me as transforming the FO, becoming more modern. That’s a huge success. While marred by significant failure, the success outweighs the failure.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Correct! The value comes from what flows through not the pipes themselves.
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