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The Great Hambino

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Everything posted by The Great Hambino

  1. Jim Bowden writes Buzzfeed-quality listicles masquerading as Athletic articles. Based on the content of the comment sections, he exists to chum the waters with clickbait, nothing more
  2. It is strange. My theory: Their plan was to bring in a win-now veteran QB. But when that market dried up save for Rodgers, and they didn't like what they saw/heard when they gave him a closer look, they pivoted to punting on this year, passed on a meaningful investment in QB in the draft (Kenny Pickett taught them that sometimes "none of the above" is an acceptable answer when trying to pick a franchise QB out of a given draft class), and look for a long-term answer at QB in 2026. Maybe they are still in on Rodgers and we've only seen the tip of the iceberg of the George Pickens Experience (similar to Antonio Brown), so they're unloading him before he becomes radioactive. Either way, Cam Heyward can't be too happy right now.
  3. Coulombe gets the win Scoring question: with SWR going less than five, could they in theory have given Duran the win? Hard to argue he wasn't the most effective reliever. Does qualifying for a save disqualify you from getting the win? I think he should get both
  4. Duran has more saves in the last four games than the rest of the season combined Time to break out the chicken!
  5. What are you going to do if/when they actually do fire him?
  6. From what I can tell, there were 2 in 183 PH plate appearances last year. One from Jeffers, one from old friend Kyle Farmer, and approximately zero from Manny MarGOAT
  7. I once ran a tournament he was in! I remember thinking you don't see the name Louie too often these days That play looked more like he was recovering a fumble
  8. Correa, that poor ball had a family! I could feel the catharsis coming through the TV screen. Great win. Hopefully we didn't just witness 90% of the runs they'll score this series
  9. That's not good, historically he doesn't mix well with ice
  10. A little disappointing not to get multiple innings out of any reliever, but I guess this decreases the chance we see Alcala tomorrow, so shrug
  11. Buxton: if you're gonna keep trying to pull pitches on the outer edge ... you might as well hit em over the fence
  12. There’s an element of luck with injuries, but you can’t chalk them all up to luck. Every team should expect some injuries to occur and plan accordingly. Where I think the Twins have been unlucky to a degree is the fact that the area where they were arguably deepest on paper coming into spring training (starting pitching) is also the area where they’ve needed to lean in their depth the least.
  13. Pitchers throw harder and for fewer innings for the same reason that even the world record holder in the 400m dash can't beat a good high school team's 4x100m time Maxing out on velocity, followed by waves of relief pitchers doing the same, coupled with everyone throwing breaking pitches designed in a lab, has proven to be more effective than relying on one workhorse to go the full nine. And this isn't a new phenomenon. While the rate has increased a little more quickly recently, the average number of pitchers used in a game has grown fairly steadily over time (as shown here). In 1901 the average was barely over 1 per game. It crossed 2 per game in 1946, 3 per game in 1990, 4 per game in 2015. It peaked in 2020/2021 at over 4.4, but they put the reigns on that with the 3 batter rule and it has settled back to 4.28 per game this year. So yeah, pitchers don't go as long as they used to. They also used to have a dead ball, face lineups where half the hitters struggled to hit the ball out of the infield, and play in parks with dimensions so deep they'd have things like bullpens and monuments in fair territory. Pitcher usage has evolved as the game has evolved. This isn't new. And it's not like heavier reliance on more relievers had handicapped run prevention. Removing the steroid era and the parts of the 19th century where they were playing pseudo-fastpitch softball with no fielders' gloves, the era with the highest runs per game was the 1930s, when the average pitchers per game was still less than 2 and teams hadn't yet caught on that fresh relief pitchers are more effective than tired starters. Historically, we are in a below-average run-scoring environment. Having said that, I intentionally used the term "more effective" instead of "better". Some of the romance of baseball gets lost with this more efficient but less aesthetically pleasing approach. It's part of the dichotomy of analytics. Its use has increased effectiveness in all sports. But while in other sports it has made games more exciting (more passing, more going for it on 4th down, more going for two in football), it has arguably made the game more boring (three true outcomes, less small ball, the parade of interchangeable relievers). But the genie is out of the bottle. You can't make a rule telling pitchers "don't throw so hard." It would take extreme measures like limiting pitching staffs to 10 pitchers or requiring a starter to throw x pitches/innings/batters before a reliever can come in (must be replaced by a position player or lose your DH or something equally insane until the benchmark is reached). The chances of any of those things happening are nil. I don't know how to fix it, and I'm pretty sure baseball doesn't know how to fix it either.
  14. The Ghost of Lopez Past vs the Ghost of Lopez Present
  15. Your assignment: watch the Yankees and Guardians religiously for the rest of the season. We can pass the hat for MLB.tv if necessary
  16. CLE WPA (batters and pitchers combined): 3.0 (0.4 batting, 2.6 pitching) MIN WPA: -2.4 (-2.8 batting, 0.4 pitching) That certainly checks out. I see team WAR as a sum-of-the-parts measure. I don't love fWAR for pitching (FIP leaves too much meat on the bone for my taste) but bWAR projects the Twins to be .500 while Cleveland is a 66 win team. Run differential tells a similar story. But one is much more than the sum of the parts, while the other is much less. We can all draw our own conclusions as to why
  17. not sure why, but I'm Hungry Like the Wolf right now
  18. After watching Correa full out sprint there, I'm not as convinced as before that he dogs it on the basepaths. He's just that slow
  19. "Rocco and the staff keep showing up ... That's what I'm focused on" Without context (I'm not scaling that paywall), this doesn't exactly sound like a ringing endorsement. It also invites troubling parallels between the manager and the great Brick Tamland: "People seem to like me because I'm polite and I'm rarely late." The standard is the standard!
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