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Joe Schmitt

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Everything posted by Joe Schmitt

  1. Joe Schmitt
    I was at the game, and watching, and I still have no idea what was going on for the Castro play. It was like he just decided not to try. I was baffled. So was everyone sitting around me. We should have had two runners on with no outs (and then a three run HR as well).
  2. Joe Schmitt
    I was shocked to see Pablo start the 6th. He needs to leave now.
  3. Joe Schmitt
    Yeah I know. It's not rational. And yet.
  4. Joe Schmitt
    It's bad to hold grudges but . . . I hope the Twins destroy Mahle today. He owes them a lot more than one win.
  5. Joe Schmitt
    The question is, at least in part, how much credit do you give him for the development of the young pitchers. The Twins would be in terrible shape at the moment without SWR, Festa, Varland and the young relievers. I'm inclined to credit at least some of that to CV.
  6. Joe Schmitt
    I think it is possible that the Twins could trade Vazquez at the end of the year. He is due to make $10M, and given his production, he's probably worth that - in other words, I expect that there are teams who would want to trade for him, a la Polanco last year. But I hope they don't trade him - I don't see a replacement right now, and he's crucially important for multiple reasons (keeping Jeffers fresh and healthy, managing the pitching staff, and providing decent offense).
  7. Joe Schmitt
    I'm impressed with the work, bean, thanks. That is more stability than I expected in those figures. I still think that it won't work across eras, but maybe there is enough stability to use this metric for this era. The other issue, which several people highlighted, is people who are hot for a period of time, and appear on the list, but are not aces, or people who are cold for a period of time, but are still aces. Dating myself, Anderson had a great freaking year and put himself on this list once upon a time, but Viola was the ace. Anderson was never an ace even if he won the ERA title that year. I think Carlos Silva probably made the list once upon a time as well. That having been said, this is still useful. I just would take it with a grain of salt.
  8. Joe Schmitt
    Sorry to be dense . . . but are you saying that because Richards has reverse splits we want him to pitch the 9th instead of our closer? Yikes, can't we come up with a better option than that?
  9. Joe Schmitt
    Why Duran for the 8th? Aren't the better hitters slated for the 9th? And, I mean, it's the 9th?
  10. Joe Schmitt
    GO DIAMONDBACKS
  11. Joe Schmitt
    That lineup is not close our best, but . . . still is not terrible. As compared to yesterday's lineup, we're replacing Vazquez, Miranda and Buxton with Jeffers, Santana and Margot. Which is marginally worse but not falling off a cliff or anything. It's a testament to the team's depth. Still, I'd sure like to see Castro-Miranda-Correa-Lewis-Buxton-Kepler-Santana-Wallnach-Jeffers sometime.
  12. Joe Schmitt
    I was at this game and it has been a long, long time since I've seen such poor quality of play. The White Sox were awful in the field. The Twins were better but that's a purely relative statement. Aside from Miranda (wow, some good plays at first!) and Buxton (I gave him a long standing ovation, what a great play) the Twins fielding was bad. The pitchers were worse. No one could throw strikes. They threw wild pitches. Balked multiple players over. Walked a player with the bases loaded. Walked the #9 hitting multiple times. What a terrible game. I mean, glad the Twins won. But I need a chaser after that game.
  13. Joe Schmitt
    So . . . the problem I have with this - actually with all of this - is that none of is calibrated to what is happening with the rest of the league. Sometimes ERAs are higher than other times. Using this formula there were many. many aces in the '60s. The same formula would have produced very few aces during the high run eras. Another way to put it is: how many "aces" do you think there are in MLB right now? Are you suggesting there are five of them? Others are suggesting that because the Twins don't have an ace we are doomed. So 2/3 of the teams in the playoffs are doomed? Somehow we need to calibrate this to actual performance so we can evaluate the teams against one another.
  14. Joe Schmitt
    the high point of every Friday morning is Randballs Stu
  15. Joe Schmitt
    "Viola was as good as Johan Santana in his prime back then, and he put up 8.1 WAR in 1987." I loved Frankie V, I really did, but he wasn't Santana in his prime. Viola never won the triple crown for heaven's sake.
  16. Joe Schmitt
    The Tigers may have shown enough life not to sell at this point.
  17. Joe Schmitt
    The arbitration process is designed to pay players more in part based on seniority, so Kiriloff will get more expensive every year.
  18. Joe Schmitt
    Actually I think the key factor is one not mentioned in this article, which is health. I suppose the Twins have some control over the health of their own players, but they have no control over the health of the players on the other teams. And wow, the Guardians have had really good luck with health.
  19. Joe Schmitt
    Hah. That's one way to solve that proble,m. Love your creative problem solving approach.
  20. Joe Schmitt
    Chief - I think Skubal is their best player. Unfortunately we're not going to miss him.
  21. Joe Schmitt
    Two weeks into the season, if you had told me that we would be having a conversation about how we could survive with Santana, I wouldn't have believed you. What a great pickup he has been.
  22. Joe Schmitt
    The statistical response would be to say that 25 AB are a small sample size. Which is true. But I'm very sure that if I ran the calculations 0-25 vs whatever his non-pinch hitting AB figures are (I'm too lazy to look them up) would in fact be a statistically significant difference. Which means that the sample size is large enough to draw conclusions from. That's particularly true here, given that there is an actual reason that could explain the difference - as noted above some players find it hard to come in cold.
  23. Joe Schmitt
    "If you torture data long enough, it will confess to anything." I love this, and plan to use it myself going forward. Outstanding.
  24. Joe Schmitt
    Surprised not to see Miranda on this list.
  25. Joe Schmitt
    Several people made this comment already, but I really appreciated the thoughtful, informative approach taken in this article. Thank you.
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