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Joe Schmitt

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Everything posted by Joe Schmitt

  1. Joe Schmitt
    To me the interesting thing about these two series that they played 2 of the top 5-6 teams in baseball and they were in every game. All three losses were in extras or the 9th. They could easily have swept these five games. Without three of their best position players. If those guys come back, and Stewart returns to being a solid member of the bullpen, this is a damned good team. Damned good.
  2. Joe Schmitt
    didn't we have a volunteer willing to post from the mound?
  3. Joe Schmitt
    Work some counts and get him out of the game early. I support this message. Please for the love of god work the counts.
  4. Joe Schmitt
    One additional point: god knows the front office takes a ton of abuse on these boards, and that just goes with the position, but I for one think they did a damned fine job of building the offense this year. And they get extra points from me because they showed intellectual flexibility to recognize a flaw in their prior approach and adjust. The ability to recognize when something isn't working and change should never be taken for granted. Especially when one has to admit that one was wrong. Very few people can do that. On that note: I was definitely wrong about Santana. And happy to have been wrong.
  5. Joe Schmitt
    When people talk about the approach, it is important to remember that both the process and the results will be impacted by the identity of the people taking the at bats. Last year, we had a number of hitters who really leaned into the three true outcomes. That approach increases the # of pitches per AB but also increases the # of Ks. This year, the Twins replaced a number of those players with hitters who have much lower strikeout rates. I suppose in a sense that is a change in philosophy, but if so, the change is at the front office, not by Rocco. Also, when citing evidence, providing one (or two, or even ten) examples of a good or bad outcome isn't nearly as persuasive as citing a statistic that accounts for those examples and all of the other examples. Personally, I think the Twins offense is much, much better this year. I think that's because (1) they have better players and (2) they are much healthier this year. I don't think Rocco is managing any differently this year.
  6. Joe Schmitt
    I have a feeling that we could see a LOT of stolen base attempts in the next two days.
  7. Joe Schmitt
    I really, really want to believe that Dobnak wouldn't be a guaranteed loss against the Phillies. Sadly, I cannot always get what I want.
  8. Joe Schmitt
    3. Jorge Polanco. Injured and ineffective in Seattle. M's fans are not pleased. 2. Michael A. Taylor. Can't help but love the guy but he's not an impact player in Pittsburgh. 1. Kenta Maeda. Nick of time.. although he had a great bullpen appearance just before the break. Agree 100%. Here's something that rarely is discussed: making the right non-move. Wow, people were upset that we did not bring some of these people back. The Twins got a ton of abuse (including on these boards) about that. But they were absolutely positively right on all three of these. The offseason was not perfect. But it would have been a heck of a lot worse if we had not done the Polanco trade and had re-upped with Taylor and Maeda.
  9. Joe Schmitt
    Re: strength of schedule, Fangraphs breaks down the winning percentage of the remaining opponents as follows: - Cleveland - .512 - Minnesota - .499 Note that is FG's expected winning percentage, not actual percentage. Cleveland does have more games at home, though.
  10. Joe Schmitt
    I really hope they have professional at bats in the first few innings against Snell, and put the pressure on to get to him and drive up his pitch count. He was good his last start, but not the three previous ones, and he isn't going deep into games. We've worked to tire out their bullpen, and if we get Snell out early, that would be very helpful.
  11. Joe Schmitt
    Wow, very impressive plays by Lee. His throws, in particular, are excellent and right on the money. Would love to see him playing every day there.
  12. Joe Schmitt
    Twins have the 6th best record in the majors.
  13. Joe Schmitt
    Seven pitches at 102 or better. If Duran has his mojo back, that is going to change the complexion of the Twins bullpen for the better.
  14. Joe Schmitt
    103 now.
  15. Joe Schmitt
    102 mph. that doesn't seem like diminished velocity to me.
  16. Joe Schmitt
    Agree with that math - 2 outs for a run. Duran, please don't make us look foolish. Pretty please.
  17. Joe Schmitt
    I guess a single works too . . . please gods, no more bad bases loaded play here.
  18. Joe Schmitt
    I'm not generally a bunting person, but two on, no one out, up one in the 9th, this is a time to bunt.
  19. Joe Schmitt
    Does anyone ask Rocco about his reasoning on that sort of thing? My strong presumption is to defer to his judgment on this stuff. But I'd honestly be very interested in someone at a press conference asking why he did this.
  20. Joe Schmitt
    Also love that Detroit took three of four from Cleveland. Thank you Tigers!
  21. Joe Schmitt
    The White Sox played competent defense. That sentence doesn't get typed very often. I assume they'll sell everything that isn't bolted down at the trade deadline. Pham, Fedde, their entire relief corps, etc.
  22. Joe Schmitt
    With that in mind, I do think that there is a pretty good case to be made that the later data is more likely to be predictive of his future level of offensive performance. And TY for sharing the links, those were helpful.
  23. Joe Schmitt
    All of the data is relevant. And I don't think anyone is saying "ignore X data." There is a legitimate question about what emphasis should be placed on the recent data. Personally I think that (1) 65 AB is a pretty good sample size but (2) I am not aware of a change in swing or anything that explains why we should draw a line. Thus I am happy about the recent trend, but don't assume that it represents a new expected level of performance.
  24. Joe Schmitt
    I like the idea of the bullpen getting a rest day. But why not move this game to Thursday?
  25. Joe Schmitt
    On the positive side, the Sox strung their hits together as advantageously as possible last night, and the Twins did the opposite. Some regression on both sides would be helpful.
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