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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    I am always critical of Wallner when he’s striking out at 35% plus rates. He has re-set 2 other years and come back and performed well. ‘23 & ‘24. He needs to sustain a level of good or better for a couple more weeks at a minimum. Thanks to their for being honest about Martin! He had a great 7 weeks - now that he’s seeing mostly RH pitching he’s back to earth or below. Can’t justify him playing RF everyday if he’s hitting sub .150 for FOUR weeks. His plate discipline is waning because he’s seeing breaking balls off the plate and high fastballs once again from RH. Tough for any hitter - too much for Austin. He needs to be cut back to 69-79% of games - 100% v. LH and spot starts v. RH pitching. Obviously, who starts in his place? We have this “glut of LH hitting OF’s” ….. too bad they can’t hit or they are all hurt.
  2. JD-TWINS
    With Outman gone & Jeffers healthy ……. Gonzales or Rodriguez in the Show, the offense would be serviceable. Bad news is w/o a real SS they are piecing Gray - Arcia - Kreidler together and rationalizing Kreidler as a back-up OF option. Buxton’s health is now a problem for his playing time and will always be an issue here and there. They need his production, or similar, with their depth. Basically they are 2 guys short of having a respectable 13- man. I’d like to see Gonzales get Kreidler’s roster spot soon!
  3. JD-TWINS
    EXACTLY! 4 hits in a MLB game isn’t getting a Team a Win!! …….. one was a pinch hit HR. Orze screwed up - Kreidler is tentative on balls in the air in CF and at SS but aggressively swings on first pitch when guy on mound is struggling to throw strikes (???) back to mound, double play - couple other team defensive issues that didn’t give up runs. Can’t s SCORE/HIT - can’t win!
  4. JD-TWINS
    I do understand the thinking that he could bring some talent for the future - obviously! For sure a big carrot!! Team will never be competitive continually churning through guys they KNOW CAN perform v. guys that “……are supposed to be potential stars, someday…..” Lewis was a sure thing star! Wallner was going to hit 40 HR and play RF for years. Brooks Lee was a can’t miss, coaches kid, who had a great HIT tool. It does mystify me though, how many fans here at TD are concerned about the Club’s spending? Like they spend too much or should be careful not to spend too much. “…….. why keep Larnach for $4.5M?…….” ……”Spent too much for Bell, could have signed XYZ player for $3-4M less…” ……..”why pay Ryan when not competing for Championships?” Team has a ‘26 spend of $105M - ($10M on Correa & $22M on Lopez) of which $73M is on the field for actual play. They spent $155M in ‘23. It’s pathetic!! Trading every guy that they NEED to pay to retain is a losing proposition. Tampa - Milwaukee - maybe 1-2 other Teams excel in this space BUT they have been building toward this approach for most of 20 years …….TWIN’s are in spending free fall and are only 2-3 years into the approach. Need the management to create a PLAN & significant TIME to be successful in that space! With a potential “floor” for player spending in the near future, I’d seriously consider hanging on to guys you know that can play. Spending on the guys like Vazquez & Caratini will always happen - some misses - happen in every organization! These guys just can’t be the Club’s BIG swings on spending! Give Jeffers the Qualifying Offer - try to extend Ryan - spend on a 1B (Arraez) or some “known productivity”! With Staff health and 1-2 OF from AAA and the Team is competitive next season………if Jeffers bites. 🤞Lewis🙏🤞 at 1B and hitting?!? ….. someday, or they could pay Araez $15M to bat 5th every day and get hits with runners on base.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Wasting innings that a player could be contributing to the Big Club doesn’t make sense agreed. Being physically capable and cleared to play is NOT, “I’m ready to face MLB pitching and take up a 26-man spot!” One needs to see some live game pitching in a real game situation to feel comfortable to play in the SHOW. Pitchers need even more time due to the amount of abuse their arm sees - they need to “feel the release point, grip, motion work, etc. before bed no exposed to MLB hitters.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Nervous? Not mentally ready? Overly excited? Gotta fix those “first time through” numbers! Sports psychologist? The coaches aren’t getting through to him. Once he gets past the 2nd inning he seems more focussed and location gets sharper. Not terribly unusual for a starter but his runs allowed early are tough to accept.
  7. JD-TWINS
    I’ve heard zero here about Wallner - is he showing any signs of improvement? Culpepper & Lewis would be welcomed in another few days - I don’t see Culpepper though….. Gray - Arcia - Kreidler are stringing together “adequacy”. Maybe Royce will take Outman’s Roster spot before they ravel Monday? With Byron buried up they may continue the agony of Outman on the roster…….. I’d ride with Kreidler - Clemens as CF depth at this point.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Banda being sculpted as a villain in the WPA is nuts. He came in with 2 runners on and a left handed batter hit a ball barely fair, on the ground, down the left field line…….. it barely got to the short walk. It was not “ripped down the line”. These things happen but no issue with the pitcher. The throw home looked solid but Caratini was set up behind the plate to nreceive instead of adjacent to the plate …… it would have been a tougher short hop to catch but he caught it and had to reach across the plate to apply tag - I thought Larnach’s throw had the guy. Then the pop-up to end the inning that was butchered by Keaschall ……. have some guts and call off the other guy! Clearly Kreidler didn’t think anyone else could make the play and the ball went off Keaschall’s glove……..not “untouched” unless my seeing it twice was confused, possible? Kreidler didn’t help the matter. Ugly series of events over 5-6 pitches …. lost the lead in a flash.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Seems to me that he won’t be healthy enough by the deadline to be of high value (Teams will use this as a lever to offer less) - his ABS challenge ability is a small + on his defensive side. He WAS hitting great through the day he was injured. I see him maturing into a solid bat - ALAWAYS needed. He can DH to help get more AB’s through the year. 95 games behind the plate and 40-45 as DH. $41M for 3 years ……. that’s a VERY solid offer for his level of defense. Do it Next Week! …… if the answer is “no”, which it probably will be, tell him the offer will stand through December 15th. If he’s (his agent) still kicking the tires, it goes down $2M per week. Very fair to both sides.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Zero runs zero wins………… 3 runs or less waaay too often to live up to Tom P.’s competitive Ball Club.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Based on my eye test and the comments from the article, the opposing pitchers aren’t filling the strike zone - Martin is swinging and missing (not getting hits) on pitches down and away as well as down & in & more on pitches up……. His discipline is waning …….his discipline at the top of the zone (out of the zone up) - is not as good. IMO, “expectations” should have never been his peak of .333 BA & .450 OBP ……… he’s a .265+ hitter with little power but, hopefully, a .350 OBP guy. Good defense (at least, better all the time).
  12. JD-TWINS
    I may be wrong but I thought he was DFA’d by Dodgers and then we traded for him ………. similar to what SWR is going through as Twins seek a trade after him being DFA’d. At any rate - a very much maligned reliever is/has been effective for over a month.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Banda & Gomez are both DFA guys from other organizations - they both looked pretty sharp on Tuesday night! Morris getting Vargas with the 100 mph fastball with a couple guys on base was a bit deal! 7-8-9 hitters went 6-12 with 5 RBI…… that’s huge! Luke Keaschall has been hitting the ball with some authority lately - even when making outs - very encouraging that he’s now near .250 BA & .320 OBP…….Josh Bell has hits in 6 straight & is contributing again - nice. Larnach & Martin were 1-5 between them but each had a Walk and each scored a run.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Who is the Yankees 5th starter - the 5th starter for the Braves - the 5th starter for the Phillies ? Do any of these teams or the other current 9 playoff teams trade that guy for a 2 month rental? …… and you want more than the 5th starter. Also, the Twins won’t trade for anyone that currently makes a decent salary. Limiting. There’s a difference between what one wants - what one hopes for - & what one can get. How many contending Teams are going to add a “starting catcher” or need to add one? Not getting Jeffers via deadline trade to sit as a depth piece. 20 Teams may be interested at the end of the year but I don’t see a strong market for two months……… coming off a BROKEN BONE.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Never been an All-Star, trending positively! Broken hand/wrist ……can’t play for another 5 weeks! Jeffers has TWO MONTHS of Team control after the deadline. Getting a probable 5th starter, when the Team doesn’t currently have one, would be a steal. What’s the expectation at end of July for a 2 month rental? I’d love to keep him - really seems to be coming into his own at the plate! He’s a below average catcher based on metrics. He WAS having a great year at the plate but he currently has a broken bone and NOBODY knows how he’ll recover, relative to hitting, or how long it might take? Also, as I mentioned in an earlier post - there’s 15 other teams calling the Pirates.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Loved watching Griffin Jax pitch for the Twins - he had some bad luck occasionally but electric stuff and usually very competent!! In ‘25, over 50 relief appearances (46 innings) for the Twins, he had a WAR of .2 and an ERA of 4.50 with a 1-5 record. In ‘26, over 18 appearances (34 innings) for the Rays, he has a WAR of -.5 and an ERA of 4.76 with a 1-4 record. The trade for Bradley (being part of “the big ‘25 deadline sell-off”) looks like a pretty good move.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Nice piece of hitting by Gray - hitting, what had been a pretty effective curveball was big! Adams isn’t any better than Garcia - younger, so he may come around but he can’t be a piece of the PEN in the Show at this point. What’s up with SWR? Has anyone claimed him? Do they bring him back via AAA? Curious on the timing of these types of transactions? LMK. Thanks!
  18. JD-TWINS
    Ober, IMO, is a non-starter for a frugal organization like the Pirates or nearly any organization. Ober is hurt and has inferior stuff, he’s older and costs 7 times as much as Mlodzinski (assuming he makes the minimum). Jeffers seems like a slam dunk though……big shot in the arm for a competitive and hungry Pirates Club. I assume all agree here that getting something positive for Jeffers makes sense. IF he pitched well for Twins…….. trading Ryan becomes much more probable and feasible as others heal between now and end of July. There’s probably 16 other MLB teams calling or getting ready to call the Pirates to inquire.
  19. JD-TWINS
    When they avoided Arbitration this year they agreed to $6.1M for ‘26 & for ‘27, his last year of possible arbitration, before becoming a UFA in ‘28. He has a $100k buyout if Twins don’t pick up his option……… scheduled to make $13M for ‘27. Google Joe Ryan contract.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Trading Ober is a move but not very much of a value add, doesn’t need to be …… he’s not expensive though and frankly, they need somebody to start games the balance of ‘26. Now that his elbow or whatever hurts, it could be bad for trade or continued innings eating in Twin’s uni. Jenkins is 21 & hurt & not exactly pushing his way on to the MLB squad. …….. Culpepper up within 2-4 weeks would be a breath of fresh air, in regard to moving forward…… Jenkins in August if he’s hitting, for sure. KEEPER question, is Martin more of a core guy than Larnach? It seems to becoming true that Austin should platoon with Larnach and he can play in RF maybe 50% of the time v. RH pitching. He’s wearing out and spiraling at the plate. …… at any rate, against much angst here at TD, I’d keep both of them. I need young guys to actually deserve a shot in the Show not just get a promotion because we’re curious and “they are supposed to be good.” The most difficult thing is the “acquiring a middle of the order bat” ……. to me, a big ask! How?? …… spend? trade? ……. seems this is a very competitive type of move with other clubs …… I have zero confidence this happens….. not saying your confidence level is high! Jeffers is on their roster & could catch 60% of the time and DH 25% of the time - he’s hitting .296 with decent OPS+ …… middle of the order guy & there’s extremely low confidence Team makes a move toward keeping Ryan…. agree, this is a move to try & be “competitive.” Everyone has shrewd agents - not just Jeffers, so negotiating this is possible if Team is serious about next 3 years. Bell - Wallner, other non-core guys, sure …….. trade for whatever. Arcia may play well enough to facilitate some trade value at deadline? I sure would like to see someone else getting a shot at 1B other than Clemens & Bell from August 1 forward! Extending Pablo is a real risk if done before he starts to throw again …….. solid performer & GREAT Team guy!!!
  21. JD-TWINS
    No - at least as I understand it, he signed through ‘27 for $13M next year. Twins can decline the option. They’d either exercise the option or trade him prior……. I guess he could decline to play and sit but the Twins have control through ‘27. If they didn’t have control in ‘27 there would be no question he would be traded by the deadline……….that’s not been the discussion here ……… “should Team trade this summer or in the offseason….?” is the debate on TD…… with some hoping for an extension.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Ryan is under contract through next season. I don’t think anyone will offer Jeffers anything near $22M/year (approximate QO) but he will get 3 year offers. The qualifying offer will probably get rejected. If they ARE around .500 or 3-4 under by late July they should try to make a run with Jeffers. If they are 7 games or more under Jeffers should be a trade piece for sure. Trading Jeffers and making him an offer in Free Agency is certainly within reason - I would think he’ll want to turn the page & head somewhere else. An extension for Jeffers while he’s hurt would stir up some fan support!!
  23. JD-TWINS
    They were stressed to make a move, no innings available from the group in PEN with 9 more straight days of baseball to be played - DFA for SWR is obviously not something that makes clear sense…………gotta think there was something off the field that started them in this direction…….,: maybe he snapped? said something negative he couldn’t take back? he’s certainly suitable for relief right now - maybe he didn’t like that path? You pick, Travis Adams/John Klein or SWR for an inning at a time or two innings? Makes no sense unless there’s some unrest from one side or both.
  24. JD-TWINS
    IMO, the PROBLEM was the Sun! 2nd inning - should have been 3 outs on a simple fly ball right at our left fielder …….. unfortunately, as happens 2-3 times per season, the ball got lost in the sun and that gave the Pirates another out to work with & Ober couldn’t make the big pitch to stop the onslaught in the 2nd. Then, snake bit Twins get a Catcher’s interference call against Caratini and it pushes a runner to 2B …… he then scores on a single to LF ……… pretty solid play by Larnach but tag was 1/2 second too late. MARTIN has to have the day off Sunday and they Seriously need to consider DFA for Outman and Gonzales back up to play some corner OF, as needed. Martin is in a spiral and batting 4-5 times per game, mostly against RH pitching is fruitless…….Kreidler/Outman in CF with Clemens in right & Larkin in LF with a right handed starter ……. gotta do it before Martin is mentally broken v. RH pitching. Funderburk can’t consistently throw strikes. more specifically he walks too many guys! His stuff isn’t good enough to routinely get him out of trouble - not sure he’s got the Major League make-up. Looks frustrated or anxious way too often on the mound. Looks great in spots but if Team needs 4 outs the results need to be better from him! 5 runs from the Sun ball & 1 from the interference - tough to win when those things happen.
  25. JD-TWINS
    When you’re a knucklehead, that’s injury prone, and you slide head first into 1B - you get hurt - not really surprising at all from Rodriguez! …….. out through August. Jenkins isn’t/wasn’t lighting it up at AAA - he was OK though. He’s 21 ……… don’t think we’ll see him until September., The PEN threw 4 scoreless after Bradley gave up 4. The PEN can’t get any better - but then after the eighth you’re out of arms. Rogers threw Sunday/Tuesday/Thursday & called on in the 9th on Friday. That’s asking a lot. …….. these are things that happen when you’re in the middle of 17 straight days of baseball. Rojas injury was a killer!!
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