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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    You cannot have a Plantar Faciaitis diagnosis Saturday morning and take 2 days off and then go balls out on Tuesday in an Exhibition Game - that’s nuts. I think he should go - have fun with his kids - see some buddies around the League. That’s it though…..to the IL by Friday.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Nope…… I think, just me, that he wants to go to Texas for his kids/Family. I think he’ll get dressed & hang with his kids & play catch with a couple buddies and won’t see the field during the game. Wears tennis shoes the whole week. He’ll go to the IL prior to next weekend’s start up…….gotta get some rest, per his own comments about his other foot hurt last year, “more rest sooner would have been better.” He’s not a selfish guy - he’s not sitting last couple days to be good to play Tuesday……unless he thinks he’ll come back next Saturday w/o a problem. I think he hits the IL and Julien is back up to play 2B on Saturday.
  3. JD-TWINS
    TWINS own an 18-6 Series Record since April 22. In each of the 6 series they lost ……..they won 1 of the 3 games. 46-27, best record in A.L. since April 22. Topa - Henriquez - Stewart can supplement the Pen for a stretch as needed until September. At that point Varland gets committed to Pen & adds a shot in the arm……IMO, Varland is Alcala level if throwing to 3-6 guys at a time. Injuries need to be navigated out of the Break! Wallner staying relevant is a big deal….. he’s starting to K a bunch in last couple games. Castro not falling off is a big deal - he could use a break! I think Jeffers - Santana - Kepler will be up & down but above average overall. Buxton - Correa - Lewis - Lee - Miranda need to drive the offense. As I type, 4 of them are hurt. Gotta get healthy, generally! Lopez has to throw well at least 3 of every 4 starts to establish himself at the top of the rotation and more importantly, give the Team a chance in 75% of his starts at a minimum. Gotta be able to lean on him!
  4. JD-TWINS
    They do need to lean on their youth depth! CC needs a break to minimize the foot damage……. should go to IL immediately after the All-star break. Miranda is out & back stuff can linger. Martin is out at least another week plus once they start up again. Lewis is out for another month…….even Farmer can’t fill in now. I agree, bringing guys up is key……seems they have committed to Castillo for a bit - need Julien back after the break so Castro & Lee can play the left side. Guys from AA is a bit of a stretch - nobody’s making that jump and it isn’t necessary in any fathomable situation.
  5. JD-TWINS
    IMO, he needs to go to IL right after his trip to Texas for All-star game!!! I get he wants to have his kids with him at the All-star game but he shouldn’t do anything but hang with his buddies and his kids. His foot needs to heel a bit before hurting it more. He was quoted on today’s broadcast that he wish he would have rested his other foot longer right when it started bothering him. Can’t go to All-star game when on IL is my assumption so give him 3 more days. Wow - watching the end of game in SF. Margot went from offensive hero to defensive goat. LOSS due to over aggressive path and subsequent dive for the ball. Needed Correa on the field to yell at Lee, “CUT & HOLD” …Lee made Margot’s play even worse - looked like little league! Anyway, Castro - Lee holding down the left side for a while with Correa - Lewis - Miranda all on IL. Time to bring Eddie up to play 2B & keep Castillo around for depth guy. Makes sense to me to try and get Martin, Miranda, Correa, & Lewis back in that order over next 3-4 weeks. Really hope the CC to All-star game & then the Series holds true. Need him back soon - this foot injury is scary!
  6. JD-TWINS
    …..Bases were loaded…..forced to run
  7. JD-TWINS
    They are 12-5 in his starts so he’s getting the job done - tough to get wins as a Starter these days. His WHIP swells once in a while but he did have 7K’s yesterday. His ERA is around 3.6 so that’s pretty representative of how he’s doing or “how good he is”.
  8. JD-TWINS
    …….anybody, other than maybe Buxton gets thrown out at home ……bases loaded and infield in, anybody!! 2B made a bonehead play to allow the run to score. Don’t pull everyone in to then go for the double play…….???? I think the base hit to be on, to later extend the lead, is the point. He didn’t score the winning run but his run helped everyone’s mindset in the bottom of the 9th. I commend him for lacing up and playing 3B…..no great plays …….a smarter opponent may have tried to continually expose him. It worked out.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Exactly my thoughts. I wanted Lee to take over at 3B just because he looks more adept than Lewis, even after just a handful of games. Then he plays 2B and makes 3-4 plays that were really solid…….doesn’t seem to rely on bouncing the ball into the grass or dirt from either spot. Where does he end up on D? Severino and a buddy to displace Camargo & Miranda (for few days)…….might damage Camargo’s ego! I paused and just saw someone posted Castillo up and Miranda to IL. Farmer may see 60 day IL & then, if desired, carried through September with expanded roster?
  10. JD-TWINS
    I think you’re adding? I saw Vazquez play 2B last year for a couple innings as well. Miranda might play 2B if somebody breaks their wrist for part of a game but I can’t even imagine how that might happen. I love what I read about Keaschall and his development physically & as a multi-position player! He’s in AA though, might want to pump the brakes. I think Lee played there twice in St. paul? Martin - Lewis - Lee are all SS that can play the other positions on the dirt, we’re all assuming. I live in Cincinnati, and yes, Steer can play 2B. He’s played SS a handful of games last year as well. Usually in LF this year with the glut of infielders the Reds have. He played 1B last night. He’s their version of Castro. 3B is his best infield position. Severino & Martin can cover 2B going forward with some help from or maybe even anchored by Castro? Polanco’s gone - trade Julien in a package with another AAA bat and a A ball prospect for an arm. Kirilloff’s available as well. Schobiel and another guy or two in a second package. Give Tampa Bay a call for an arm. Keaschall will be on the Club next September or will be worth more in trade this time next year. He seems to have a spot somewhere on the Roster in ‘26 at this point!
  11. JD-TWINS
    Offense could use a couple breaks (4 balls caught at the wall in past couple games) - run scoring has been listless over past half dozen games - prior they lit it up. Looking at OPS+ earlier………if Farmer & Margot go away at some point in August……..Team has 12 of 13 guys at 99 OPS+ or better now …..League average is 100 OPS+ ……Twins have 7 guys at 125 or above and 5 at 148 or above. (realize Lee - Wallner - Lewis are small samples and skewed a bit) Offense should come around soon enough!
  12. JD-TWINS
    A guy brought up the question about Margot being in the lead-off spot last night - citing his stats as a lead-off hitter is somehow skewed? That’s like saying a pitcher who gives up 2 or less runs over his past 5 games but has a 4.00 ERA after 14 games isn't pitching better now because his overall ERA is 4.00. (Ober like) Recent performance matters whether you think so or not! Vazquez sucks generally - certainly for the year! However, he’s had an OPS of .810 over last 18 games……got him a shot at DH last night. Buxton was mired in mediocrity through most of the first 2 plus months of the season……he’s been on fire for 20 games…….recent events matter. The stat that I throw around relative to Margot is .899 OPS from beginning of June through a week ago. If a guy hits .100 for a month, he can’t get back to .250 in a blink of an eye. I’m not in love with Margot in any way but fair is fair…….he was terrible……he became proficient…..,,we’ll see how long he can contribute and hang on from here.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Weird Kepler didn’t start after a day off. I guess, giving Wallner a chance v. Lefty that most here clamor for……he’s not Max in the OF! Do not disagree with Jeffers - his skills behind the plate seem to be regressing……or just getting worse….,,base skills seem to be lacking. Miranda got scratched so, with an .810 OPS over the past 18 games, Vazquez DHed. Last 33 games for Camargo he’s hit .213 in St. Paul.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Miranda was scratched which pushed Vazquez into duty……didn’t hear but Miranda must have been sick? He was on the bench - in a heavy hoodie. Margot quite often leads-off v. LH pitching over past 2 months - pretty good rate of success over that period.
  15. JD-TWINS
    You have obviously looked into the numbers further than I’m willing to this morning, but I must pose a question. If Farmer-Margot-Thielbar-Kepler-Santana are all gone (assuming 2024 payroll is at $124M?) it seems pre-arb total (am unaware, Lopez may get a few million raise?) would be closer to $93M - maybe I’m off somewhere? Anyway, I get your point. Does everyone here think the Pohlad’s will force the 2021 equivalent payroll total again in 2025? I’m removed from the Twin Cities buzz daily on what the conversation may be regarding excuses/rationalizations for not spending. Seems $135-$140 would be more commensurate with their market size, etc for 2025……I get what I or anybody thinks or hopes for doesn’t matter a bit. Is the strategy forward hunting guys like Lugo - Flaherty - etc. on the back end of their perceived value for $12M per year and trade LOPEZ to free up $10M? I don’t see how a FO puts a club together without potentially moving a Correa (type of salary) with a $125M payroll. I do not want to even suggest moving on from Correa but objectively, with a tight budget, it seems rolling the dice with an infield corp of Lewis-Lee-Martin-Julien-Castro-Miranda-Severino may need to be considered. Gotta have pitching and can’t be losing arms in arbitration years due to budget. If the real goal is to WIN it all, and to capitalize on the Correa & Buxton investments, the Team can’t go 70% of the way on the pitching staff (or arbitration players) spending. The best answer is to get back to near the 2023 budget and move forward - obviously. All that said, Montgomery - Snell - Maeda and probably a handful of other TD “must sign” candidates from the last offseason are not having years (their results) anyone would want at nearly any price………reinforces the risk with spending big on arms…….I was begging for a trade to get Devin Williams to make the PEN bulletproof and he hasn’t thrown an inning ….,risk, always the rationalization for not spending.
  16. JD-TWINS
    I realize he’s been hurt way too much ……. “prospects” or potential stars are always subjective, I think that all around baseball he’s taken the subjectivity away. His only (it is serious) fault is a lack of staying healthy, which, I think a number of Teams would be willing to roll the dice on while giving a significant return. Nobody would try to trade him though if health wasn’t the issue they were trying to escape. I keep him and try to figure out how to keep him in the line-up. It’s not clear or they’d have done it already…….he’s something else when on the field. Per your comment, it will take serious compensation from the Twins for a decent arm! A package of Severino - Keaschall - Kirilloff could net a solid return, I would think? Obviously, it’s impossible to know what other clubs are interested in so it’s pretty difficult to identify trade package……always guesswork. Severino’s a guy that seems MLB ready with bat - Keaschall rates as a high end prospect - Kirilloff is a guy that has shown flashes of better than average MLB hitter…..2023 stats illustrate that. Am I in the area with trade capital?
  17. JD-TWINS
    Me too - as of Saturday morning they are 6-10 over last sixteen. Hopefully they will continue to level out for a bit.
  18. JD-TWINS
    RYAN really got a bad break in the first with Wallner turning a single into a triple, sets a bad tone …….but after the 1st he was his own worst enemy. For a “strike thrower” he managed to continually start guys 2-0. He was hunting the corners and continually 3” off the plate. Last, he didn’t seem to be able or willing to elevate his fastball…….Jeffers set-up high along the top of the zone at least a handful of times with Ryan throwing pitches belt high or just below…..the pitch Soler lined to left was the prototype for “middle-middle”. I guess he just lacked command last night? Homecoming have him too amped?
  19. JD-TWINS
    I do not follow the prospects well enough to know where he ranks (gotta be toward top 10 with a bullet) - the obvious numbers that stand out are the capability to hit .300 plus at all 3 stops so far as well as his ability to work for base on balls.
  20. JD-TWINS
    I get the frustration with Vazquez in the line-up with Miranda scratched……Camargo has hit .213 in St Paul since he was up with the Twins the first time though……I don’t understand the call-up choice with the All-Star break looming and the Catchers able to both rest a few days?
  21. JD-TWINS
    I know many here think Vazquez should have made the All-star game…….,JK …,..,am a little surprised that the corresponding move to Farmer going to the IL is Camargo though. I DO know some here have the opinion that Camargo should be our #2 Catcher by jettisoning Vazquez somehow, somewhere. I’m not a huge fan of the idea, less game calling experience by more than a decade and not really any better offense than Vazquez. Camargo has hit .213 in St Paul since his brief stint with the Twins. I’m pretty sure Vazquez could do that or probably a bit better. Am in no hurry to replace Vazquez with Camargo. Curious why he’s been brought in for the Giants Series????? Are one of Jeffers or Vazquez nicked up a bit? With the All-star break coming Monday - it doesn’t add up with a fatigue issue……after having Thursday off - right?
  22. JD-TWINS
    Don’t doubt the progress but are there any recent examples or numbers that illustrate Julien is coming around? I’d like his potential promotion be another “good problem”! Please comment.
  23. JD-TWINS
    I’d do that too……….just don’t see Max being worth much to anyone at this point in the season. He’s not going to energize a line-up and Teams that aren’t trying to push for a title aren’t trading prospects for him if he’s going to be a free agent. I guess he may fill a hole in some contenders OF? …… can’t see any trades of that type in the A.L. so the field of possibilities are pretty limited with him.
  24. JD-TWINS
    There’s no perfect staff……a bunch of other Teams would take Okert based on his performance over the year or Thielbar based on his last 6 outings and his past experience. Chafin or maybe Chapman are lefties that could potentially be acquired but you may need a Valium to be able to watch either of them pitch in October as well. I don’t see any Pen moves. Lorenzen from Texas may help them free up a 40-man spot for when Mahle & deGrom return…….he could be a hybrid to help with starting innings into mid-September and then shift him to Pen? Affordable.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Without some injuries through July, I don’t see any trades happening for a reliever at any level of competence. Topa - Sands - Funderburk - Thielbar are all possibilities for the last spot in October. Alcala - Staumont - Okert/Thielbar - Paddack - Varland - Stewart - Jax - Duran seems really good to me! Thielbar was written off by me 3-4 weeks ago. He got 8 days off in mid-June & since June 20th he’s appeared 6 times. He’s thrown 5 1/3 innings with 2 walks (in one outing) & 5 K’s……..zero earned runs while giving up just 1 hit over those 6 appearances. He sure seems confident & serious about regaining his status on this club!
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