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Rod Carews Birthday

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Everything posted by Rod Carews Birthday

  1. Rod Carews Birthday
    There are kernels of truth in your statement about baseball fundamentals, but I think you are overestimating the abilities of the other teams in the league. Not every team is White Sox bad, but nobody is nailing every move and every opportunity out there.
  2. Rod Carews Birthday
    If you can get a Joe Ryan type starting pitcher for Eddie Julien, make that trade right away! I'm a big fan of Julien and believe he will rebound well and go on to a decent MLB career, but getting a controllable solid rotation starter for him would be terrific. Unfortunately, timing is everything in the world of trades. Yes, other teams understand how prospect promotion/demotion works, but it is still much easier to get a team to bite if the player is playing well in the majors.
  3. Rod Carews Birthday
    Oops. My bad. You had Festa at #13, which I can support. I'm still a little baffled though on the other omissions.
  4. Rod Carews Birthday
    So, Rodriguez, Jenkins, Lewis, and Lee are four of the top five. That leaves Jax, Duran, Festa, Castro, and Buxton as candidates for the last spot. I guess maybe Festa as a prospect starting pitcher who is cheap with lots of control, but that seems pretty high. Would you trade Ryan or Pablo for him? I think not. Buxton could be left off based on no-trade clauses, but you put Correa on the list, so. . . I'm not sure. Jax, Duran, and Castro certainly belong on the list somewhere (even if it is lower on it), so it seems to me somebody needs to go to make room for a at least two or three players.
  5. Rod Carews Birthday
    Trading Julien may not be a terrible idea, but I would question doing it now, with his value certainly on the low side. I also can't imagine trading him for a relief pitcher and a minor league infielder. A relief pitcher is usually something you can get for a veteran on an expiring contract, not for a potentially starting caliber player with many years of control. We need to find somebody who REALLY likes Julien. The kind of trade I could get behind would be packaging him with other prospects/mlb players to get a quality starting pitcher. I haven't done the homework to figure out who that should be, but a good look at next year's 40 man roster would be in order before pulling the trigger. Certainly there are players who will come off of it, but there should also be players that have to be added (and maybe a couple who we want to add anyway) as well as a few major league contract signings this winter. Subtracting a couple off of the 40 man in exchange for a better player would be a really good idea.
  6. Rod Carews Birthday
    We all have bosses. Sonny used to whine about wanting to pitch longer and then generally had a (predictable) drop off the third time through the lineup. Players are not always reliable sources.
  7. Rod Carews Birthday
    I like this trade idea a lot. In two years, either of them could straighten things out and be an ascending star. However, it is equally likely that they could never straighten things out and be out of baseball. Kiriloff’s issues seem to be a little more physically oriented, while Detmers looks to need more of an overhaul to the approach. Do it. With Kepler and Santana gone next year, more time at 1st base and the outfield opens up but I think that it’s more likely that Julien/Miranda takes over at 1st and Wallner/Larnach/Martin/Castro takes over in the outfield. Unless everything changes and he rediscovers how to hit, AK doesn’t really have a place to play.
  8. Rod Carews Birthday
    Could he be a “sell high” candidate for a starting pitcher trade?
  9. Rod Carews Birthday
    I guess that's the bottom line for me as well. I'm not watching, well mostly listening to, baseball games to find things to complain about. If the team is doing well and is fun to watch, that's what makes me a fan. Don't get me started about the mid/late 1990's though! My vote for the net positive for Rocco was based on the fact that I think he has the ship pointed in the right direction and players seem to like playing for him. Those are two things that are likely to lead to more victories. I think grading him up or down for one move or another is pretty short sighted unless it is for the most negatively egregious or most positively amazing moves.
  10. Rod Carews Birthday
    Absolutely true! Unfortunately, we as fans like to project that fast start that a prospect has into MVP's and All Star appearances, so undoubtedly we end up disappointed. Even great players have those moments where they get a "good talking to" by managers/coaches and many go back down to the minors to figure it out. Sometimes it's nobody's fault. It's just a part of the (admittedly very long) process. Patience is definitely the name of the game.
  11. Rod Carews Birthday
    You are probably correct in that the Twins wouldn’t consider trading Lewis, but I think the decision would be a tough one if it were on the table. I agree that a hitter is more likely to repeat his performance, but I would also argue that bats are easier to come by than starting pitchers. For either of these players to reach their potential, ongoing health is essential. Who do you think is more likely to be that way? I’m not sure, but it’s hard to bet on a pitcher of any type or a player who has been injured as much as Lewis over the past few years. There is also the question of team control over the player, with Lewis having more time until free agency. I’m not sure what I would do, but I definitely think it is an intriguing question.
  12. Rod Carews Birthday
    AJ Pierzynski was (and likely still is) a bit of an asshat. However, that was in the competitive/obnoxious sense of the word, not the criminal one. There's a big important difference.
  13. Rod Carews Birthday
    I really think it's a lot tougher to predict than it used to be. Back in the day, if you met certain thresholds -- 500 home runs, 2500 - 3500 hits, 250-300 wins, some CYA or MVP's or batting titles -- you were pretty likely to make it in. But the importance of counting stats has definitely changed and trying to compare across eras by backing into rate stats and things like WAR numbers, while useful, isn't completely the answer either. I think that your list is mostly a good one, but I think it is a less predictable platform than it used to be.
  14. Rod Carews Birthday
    That probably won't be popular on this site, but it's definitely not a completely crazy trade proposal from both sides. Talk about a true "challenge" trade. A great year for each of them is Cy Young and MVP, respectively. Do you trade one for the other?
  15. Rod Carews Birthday
    This all depends on how you want to define things, but essentially it is unanswerable. For the record, I declared that I thought he was a net positive. I don't really know that, but it's what my overall eye test tells me. If you blame Rocco for decision x that leads to a poor result, you need to also give him credit for decision y that led to a positive result. Also, are his "poor" decisions actually poor, or are they what you wouldn't do and do some of the "poor" decisions actually work out OK. Conversely, do some of his "good" decisions lead to bad results. There are WAY too many decisions, both large and small, that result in WAY too much butterfly effect for us to really know the answer with any sense of certainty. Getting blame for a loss isn't as simple as pinch hitting too early or taking a pitcher out too early or leaving one in too long. There are far too many moving parts and human factors on the players' part to make it into a simple counting exercise.
  16. Rod Carews Birthday
    Fun article. It’s nice to be reminded that players are real, quirky (maybe weird?) people. For some, applying the eye black seems to be a meticulous process, but I like the Austin Martin chimney sweep approach — can’t be wasting time on that. I’m certain that the actual effect of having perfect eye black is probably less than the players think, but if the snake oil works for them, far be it from me to complain!
  17. Rod Carews Birthday
    I think you are probably right about the defense, and I also agree that Lewis’ availability is a question mark at best. EXCEPT, I’m not ready to jump on the Brooks Lee train yet. He’s a rookie still in his honeymoon phase. We’ve only seen the best of Brooks Lee so far. The inevitable slump will help us figure out whether he is the long term piece that we hope he will be. Remember, Miranda was good, then very bad, and now very good. That could happen with any of the young players and some of them never get back to being good again.
  18. Rod Carews Birthday
    I'm happy he hit it, but no, it wasn't huge, huge, huge. The good guys were up by several runs. A huge home run is when it pulls the team ahead in an important game.
  19. Rod Carews Birthday
    Then under no circumstances should you invest in the stock market!
  20. Rod Carews Birthday
    Obviously, the answer is "Yes, the Twins know how to teach a sinker." Given the current environment and the current talent, they haven't deemed it necessary or important. The implied incompetence of the title of the article seems a bit overblown at best, and disingenuous at worst. I personally tire of the "Is this true?!?!?" or "Could this be?!?!?" headlines. These imply that there is a crisis somewhere that needs immediate attention, and yet seldom do these things rise to that level. We can do (and have done) better than that.
  21. Rod Carews Birthday
    So unfortunately, outside of MAYBE Henriquez, there really isn't anybody there that will help the big club this season. Hopefully the young guys continue to develop, but for now, bullpen help will need to come from outside or from Varland/Paddack conversion.
  22. Rod Carews Birthday
    This. It seems like we lump all of those guys together, when there would appear to be one of them that has shown more than the others. IF we parlay that into an excellent trade, I can live with that, but I would much rather deal Kiersay or Kiriloff if we are just dealing for the sake of dealing. Wallner has already shown a lot in MLB. He is down in AAA recharging and regaining confidence. When he comes up he could be really good again. He (and Julien) has certainly done more to give me confidence in that than most of the others out there. Again, if we're trading him for a playoff starter with control, I'm all in. But for a rental, or an iffy prospect, I'm all out.
  23. Rod Carews Birthday
    We just need to find the team that will value our prospects as highly as we do. Any of these guys would be worth having around, but it always depends on price. They could all be too expensive in prospects that we value, or maybe we could find the sweet spot. It's pretty hard to "win" a deadline deal, but I would like to not lose it badly. I would get really excited about just about any of these guys, but I think it is unlikely that we will be fishing in this part of the pond.
  24. Rod Carews Birthday
    I think your point is a very good one. Would the players who we traded away have had a real shot at the same playing time if they were still with the Twins organization? Perhaps not for the most part. The basic premise behind teams trading away players at the deadline is so that they can acquire several players to fill more weak spots on their team -- by definition a greater land of opportunity for those players/prospects. The other piece of the equation is how well does the player fit on the Twins and does he have value in other ways outside of pure on the field production. Years ago, Shannon Stewart was a pretty good player whose value was magnified on a Twins team that needed just what he brought to the table. On the whole, the deadline deals of the Twins have been mostly forgettable from both sides of the trade. At best, they got a little bit of help around the margins and at worst, they gave away a prospect too cheaply. I don't think that is confirmation of Falvey's genius nor his idioicy. I think he needs to keep trying and maybe sometime he hits the perfect move. The good news is that he doesn't need to be acting out of desperation this year.
  25. Rod Carews Birthday
    The reality is, someone is going to have to go somewhere. The Kiriloff/Wallner/Larnach group probably doesn't ultimately all have a place to play with the Lewis/Lee/Julien/Castro/(Severino) group holding down the infield. Add to that mix, potentially Rodriguez and there just isn't a place for everybody. AND THAT'S OK. Somebody will completely wash out and somebody will probably be part of a trade package for a pitcher. I can't believe I'm saying (writing) this, but depending on Santana's price, he wouldn't be a terrible re-signing for 2025. After he got going, he has been a nice addition to the team, and certainly brings some veteran leadership to the group of young players.
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