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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    [Cute kid shrugging "why not both?" picture goes here]
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The guy is a full decade younger than Happ and was good less than 2 years ago. They got him for the price of a middle reliever. I don't mind this as a back-end rotation addition at all. The fact that it happened within an hour of Stroman signing somewhere else...that part is discouraging.
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Re: the list of free agent starters, didn't Gausman and Stroman both take qualifying offers last year?
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Yeah, it's not hard at all to see that working. With the borderline 40-man guys, it could be a little tricky because the Twins now have less than 2 days to decide whether those guys are worth adding—knowing they could be trade bait but otherwise will take up a roster spot—and if they don't add them, those players suddenly become less valuable in trade when another team might have a crack at drafting them in a few weeks. Hopefully the Twins FO has had enough conversations to have some feel for how other teams value the likes of Severino, Vallimont, etc. Maybe there's a way to work this out by putting those guys on a PTBNL list along with some non-Rule 5-eligible players too.
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    When Oakland's readiness to deal those 3 starters was reported initially, I was more interested in Montas because of the extra year of team control, but I'm coming around to Bassitt and Manaea more now. Being in their last year of arbitration will keep the cost to acquire one of those guys lower, and adding a starter for one year may not be such a problem when Maeda is coming back and the odds are that at least one pitching prospect who isn't ready in 2022 will be ready in 2023. What about Dobnak plus a higher-upside minor leaguer or two for a trade like this? Oakland would value the cost certainty of Dobnak's contract, and if they're really selling off this winter they'll likely need some MLB-ready players back in trades.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I could see the Reds waiving Miley as an indication that they're more likely to keep Gray, i.e. if the two pitchers make about the same salary, they prioritized the one they rate higher.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Matt Garza did. That's the one example that springs to mind. It was 15 years ago, so your point still stands, but also to another point above, draft picks debuting that fast isn't really common with other teams either.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    As long as this thread has grown to encompass trading for young pitchers as opposed to signing older ones: I just went to Baseball Trade Values dot com to play around with Twins/Marlins trades; apparently their front page features recent trades that people have calculated, and this was at the top: "Twins get: Jesús Luzardo, Max Meyer; Marlins get Ryan Jeffers, Trevor Larnach" The values their system calculates are about even, but this seems like an case where those values wouldn't line up with what both teams want from a deal...but holy hell, that would be great to see as a real trade.
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I bet the $25M allotted here is already higher than other estimates we're going to see for Ray. He was great this year, but he hasn't been consistently this good and had a clunker in 2020.
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Lefties with particular vulnerability to home runs are a tough fit for Target Field (which has played well for right-handed pull power over the years, though those park factors can change over time) - so signing Heaney seems like asking for trouble. But I like E-Rod as a target.
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Not opposed to that either. Iglesias was mostly an example for comparison, as another player who's been demoted due to defensive struggles this year (and I'd bet on "fixing" a formerly great defensive player before one who's always been stretched.)
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Here's another angle. Would you rather the Twins obtained, this offseason, Torres, who has been considered stretched at shortstop for several years and will cost one or more players in trade, or José Iglesias, who was considered a plus-glove SS for years before a sudden decline on defense that led the Angels to release him this year, and who will cost only money to sign?
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I read in an article about Iglesias' release that his defensive stats were way down this year. It seems like a few years ago he was regarded similarly to Simmons for great defense. If there was good reason to think this year was a fluke or statistical noise, Iglesias would be a great stop-gap to replace Simmons next year - but it seems risky if he ends up being one more middle infielder whom they don't really trust at shortstop...
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    That's Pineda in that picture. Which is also a little ridiculous since he's injured and may or may not pitch again this season. And maybe, just maybe, there doesn't need to be a picture of a Twin on an ad about "the race to the postseason" at all...?
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    He just HAS to have meticulously styled sets and a dozen extras busying themselves in the background of a tracking shot every time he makes a mound visit. I, for one, am sick of it.
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Although counting open spots for future free agents in the 40 is useful for this exercise, when the Twins org is actually managing their roster in the offseason, there's no need to hold spots open for free agents they're yet to sign - I think anyone besides the newly added players can be cut from the 40-man at any time. There may be some other rules about player movement on and off rosters in the offseason that I don't remember (?), but in general, they can (and probably will) keep a few more of those marginal/"maybe" guys early in the offseason but it won't stop them from making free agent additions.
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just noticed the pitch counts—all the Twins' pitching was really efficient last night. 102 pitches between Maeda, Garza, and Coulombe.
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I thought the rumor that year was that Greene wanted to go to Minnesota or San Diego but not Cincinnati. But that could be that he wanted to go to San Diego for the organization and/or location (being from southern Cali) or Minnesota for the cachet of going 1-1, I suppose... so maybe the point remains that he would have taken full slot to sign.
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Yes to all that, but also, the absence of a slot value in the 11th round is exactly why teams will try to offer a bit more $ to get a better player there. Since the slot values only go through 10 rounds, signings after the 10th only count against overall bonus pools and aren't "over slot" per se, so teams will try to get perceived higher-upside players who are still left at that point and offer higher bonuses than in the previous few rounds. But it does make sense that there would be more risk of not agreeing on an amount with that strategy, and with earlier picks affecting how much pool money is left.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    They've won Jax and Ober's starts - am I expecting too much to start thinking about sweeping the Astros on their, umm, turf?
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I also wonder if part of the reasoning for making moves like this now is: Players who'll need to be added to the 40-man roster this offseason can come up in September without using an option (if I remember correctly). The Twins have a few of those players who should be on the verge of a debut (Miranda, Ryan, Winder) but they'll need to make roster space for them. So in a losing season, the next few weeks are the time to evaluate more marginal 40-man guys, and to use as much roster space as you have to cycle through them before you need to make room for more long-term additions.
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Realized a short while ago that the Twins are playing the Cardinals this weekend. In all seriousness, since this is such a low-wattage trade and the only Twins trade of this deadline with current major leaguers going both ways, I wonder whether they (and maybe the Cards too) prioritized making a deal with the squad that was already in the same city.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Berríos was set to start for the Twins tonight. If I'm not mistaken, this deal will open a spot on the 40-man roster. Any chance we see Winder debut tonight?
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'll be interested to read this, but what I remember reading about Martin was more that he was a good athlete who could play a valuable defensive position, not that he was necessarily a likely SS. So "lack of defensive fit" isn't a huge knock, IMO.
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Martin reported included while I was typing that. Not bad.
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