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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. I could see Hackimer make it to the big leagues this year. I like the high K% numbers on these guys! Considering how the AAA baseball appeared to be composed of helium last year, that's pretty impressive!
  2. I don’t have the stats on hand, but I believe his OPS+ was below average for AAA last year, as offense surged to a ridiculous degree with the new ball. It’s unlikely he’s going to be in the picture at any point.
  3. I'm not on board for getting Almora, but for those suggesting Celestino as a replacement... well, he struggled most of last year at Cedar Rapids before finishing the year strong, and will likely start at Fort Myers. He isn't particularly close at this point, I'd say the earliest we see him is September 2021.
  4. I don't see much of an argument for the Twins being better than the Yankees, especially since they've added Cole. They should likely be healthier this season since they had an astronomical amount of injuries! I could see Houston decline with all of the distractions spiraling out of control and [theoretically] no more cheating for the hitters. I wouldn't be shocked if the Twins end up with a better record. But I also wouldn't be surprised if the Twins regress big time despite this season looking quite good on paper. You know what they say about counting chickens...
  5. I like having these guys in AAA, and seeing if they can figure out how to improve their stuff (for example getting Minaya to bump up his MPH with some of our pitching staff's tricks). And if one of them goes off and dominates AAA, it gives the Twins a nice backup option, because as we usually know, the 7th/8th spot in the pen will usually be a revolving door - hopefully not as much this season, but I wouldn't expect our bullpen to be as injury-free as it was last season.
  6. I would put my money on Thielbar or Gearrin. Also would like to see one of the prospect hitters to step up.
  7. Lewis hit .243/.302/.384 (.685 OPS) in 626 PAs at Fort Myers over 2018 and 2019... I just don't know how you can consider him your top prospect when he's looked so bad at the plate and apparently "needs to fix his swing". I know he's young for the league, and I know he's got all the tools outside of that... but isn't a player's ceiling in the majors usually what he did in the minors? Lewis still has a long ways to go and it's way too early to call him a bust, but I'm concerned.
  8. I think it might be smart to view Cave's 2019 season in two halves: March to August 8th: (112 PAs) .211/.321/.326 (.648 OPS) 2 HR August 9th on: (116 PAs) .301/.379/.573 (.952 OPS) 6 HR I do remember some wanting Cave DFA'd during the first half of the year, but now he's better than Rosario? Eh... I don't think so. He's a streaky hitter who needs to get hot, but when he does, he can sure hit well. Also, fun fact: Cave hit all 8 of his HRs against divisional opponents - and not a single one against any other team!
  9. I think Larnach is the most likely of the prospects to end up panning out... I can see him replacing Rosario in 2021, and becoming a mainstay in the lineup. I'd rather not trade him unless he's part of a package to get a bona fide #1 starter.
  10. Anderson was never on the 40 man. Hard to say if the Pressly move will pan out, we haven't even gotten a good look at the two guys we got for him at the highest level. It wasn't a good move for the 2019 season, but we weren't advancing any further in the playoffs with him on our roster.
  11. Well, the previous regimes sure didn't do well, but we're in a new era of management here. I wouldn't expect similar outcomes. It's pretty crazy to me that the Revere trade happened so long ago, yet we still have control of May that originates from that deal.
  12. I'm fine with Wisler being given a shot early on. He's a nice early season experiment to try out, and if he fails, it shouldn't be a big deal. As I've said many times, I'd much rather see one of the young starters start over Chacin. I don't think he has the upside compared to the other options, plus he doesn't have any options.
  13. I feel like we've seen this song and dance before... I don't see a 6 man rotation happening. Everyone staying healthy is unlikely, and I think Rich Hill starts in the pen if the rotation is full when he's ready to go. Or Bailey could be stinking things up by that point, who knows.
  14. Or perhaps they anticipated that, even if he could develop into a starter, it would simply take too long for what our window currently is. Say Graterol builds innings as a starter / primary pitcher at AAA, but can't crack the rotation until sometime 2021. Instead, the Twins can pencil in a #3 starter for an absolute bargain and have him under contract for 4 years. The move gives the Twins more certainty for the rotation in 2020-21, while sacrificing upside for the future.
  15. Boy, I sure hope not. I hope Thorpe or Dobnak can seize that 5th spot, and let Chacin stay as depth at AAA (until he opts out or whatever). I'd much rather go with the guy with far more upside (Thorpe) or at least the guy who pitched great down the stretch (Dobnak) rather than the junkballer who's at the tail end of his career (Chacin).
  16. I would expect the rotation heirarchy to be: Berrios Odorizzi Pineda Maeda Bailey Thorpe/Dobnak/Smeltzer And Hill would replace anybody injured or struggling, else he'd wind up in the bullpen. In this scenario, the only time Maeda will be heading to the bullpen will be for the playoffs. (Maeda / Pineda seems debatable but with the way Pineda pitched last season plus he's making $10M, that puts him ahead for now)
  17. At this point, I think you'd have to rank him similarly with Urbina, as both have a long ways to go.
  18. I thought teams might view Graterol as damaged goods after this fiasco, but clearly the Dodgers were fine with him. I suppose the Red Sox were really just blowing things out of porportion, then.
  19. I’m pretty sure Dyson’s medical were clean, and was in the midst of developing an injury when we acquired him. He had surgery 25 days after the trade, and after tossing 10.2 innings for us. Just seemed like bad luck.
  20. Rooker started rookie ball at age 22, so he never really had the chance to do so. But I do remember that being part of the reason why he was a late 1st round pick and not a higher selection.
  21. Yep, exactly. Per MLBTradeRumors: Berrios would be setting the new record by a little bit, so I can see why they declined. Berrios' camp likely wasn't open to settling in the middle, since it would mean he would not set the new benchmark. I'm not all that concerned that a Berrios extension does not appear to be in the cards. We have him for 3 more years, and I'm not all that worried if we lose him for the 2023 season. I don't care about the team that far in the future at this point.
  22. He had nearly .400 OBP with a 34.7 K% at AAA? Wow, he's quite the 3 outcome hitter. I do hope we get to see him this year... but it that will only likely happen with Sano/Cruz getting hurt. With Larnach and Kiriloff coming up eventually, I hope Rooker can find MLB success somewhere, but I find it hard to see that happening with the Twins.
  23. It's kinda hard for a 20 year old kid to establish himself in the majors, especially when he missed half the 2019 season with a shoulder issue. He still needs time to work on his pitches before he fully develops. Really, a W-L argument? Looking through his gamelog, he did have an 0-6 record in June and July last season. Let's check out how he actually pitched in those games: L1: 4.1 IP, 5 ER - Dodgers offense scored 3 runs L2: 5 IP, 2 ER - offense scored 2 runs L3: 7.2 IP, 3 ER - offense scored 1 run L4: 5.2 IP, 3 ER - offense scored 1 run L5: 4.1 IP, 3 ER- offense scored 4 runs L6: 4 IP, 5 ER- offense scored 1 runs Whoa, it's almost like pitcher losses are closely related to how the offense does rather than how the pitcher actually threw!
  24. It seemed like the Twins received a clean bill of health for Dyson, but he developed the shoulder problem as he started pitching here. Just bad luck.
  25. A consensus top 100 prospect who was able to pitch in the majors after said shoulder injury at the age of 21...
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