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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Can't tell if you're talking about Royce Lewis or Austin Martin... and whomever came before them that didn't end up at SS.
  2. Just checking in... yup, turns out that article about Paddack's impending regression that was mocked by some as "analytical garbage" is aging really well. Paddack just isn't a very good starter.
  3. I betcha they'll make one tiny move right before the deadline hits, like how they did with Dylan Floro and Trevor Richards.
  4. The Dodgers hired away the Rays' GM and made changes to their organization to model after how Tampa runs things, and it's worked out quite well for them. I don't see what's wrong with trying to mimic a team that should be like the A's and Pirates based on their payroll but annually is at least a contender even if they haven't won it all.
  5. A pretty darn strong correlation...
  6. Yup, I think Wallner's OPS is disguising how disappointing he's been - he had a .371 OBP the past two years is now sub 300. Add in his defense and he's barely been above replacement level. I still believe in him, but he's part of the problem with his 2025 squad not scoring runs... 16 RBIs despite having 10 HRs in 201 PAs is brutal.
  7. These are the incentives in his contract according to Spotrac: Annual MVP Bonuses: 1st: $8M 2nd: $7M 3rd: $6M 4th: $5M 5th: $4M 6th-10th: $3M Plate Appearances $500,000 each for 502, 533, 567, 600, 625
  8. Surprised to see Ryan out of the game already. Pitch count was getting up there, but I thought he had another inning in him.
  9. So mad at this team? But they're winning! 😉
  10. I would put Sabato's chances ahead of McCusker's, but I think the comparison holds given that their power is their primary path to any kind of relevance in the majors. I was referring more to the Twins internal prospect list and if he had garnered any top 100 interest, I don't believe he ever cracked the Twins top 10 list unless I remember incorrectly? Fangraphs had him at #33 in 2021, unrated in 2022... That doesn't match my criteria for a top prospect.
  11. Good stuff, I'd like to see more articles like this covering prospects who don't quite make it. I don't think Severino was ever a "top prospect" and even when he was mashing there were still strikeout and defensive issues to consider. And it seems to me that power-first / power-only prospects have a hard time making the jump. Only a month or two ago there was clamoring for Carson McCusker, and now that's died down. Now there's interest in Sabato getting a shot - That's not to say I'm not in favor of giving guys chances, but every year we have guys rake at AAA and it doesn't translate. For those who remember the Adam Brett Walker craze... that was certainly an interesting time to be a Twins Daily reader.
  12. Beating the Rays and Cubs in back-to-back series is very nice, you just wish they hadn't gone into a tumble in June to put their record in a bad spot.
  13. Given how much rope this team has given struggling vets, I doubt it. And France has earned some rope with the highlights he's made in the first half of this season compared to other lame duck vets of the past.
  14. I just saw a list of NFL career earnings, and saw a lot of former and current Vikings high on the list - so here's a quick compilation. I betcha you'll be surprised by some of these. nfltraderumors.co/nfl-career-earnings-leaders/ QBs #6 - Kirk Cousins $293M #25 - Brett Favre $141M RBs #1 - Adrian Peterson $102M #17 - Aaron Jones $50M FBs #4 - CJ Ham $15M #8 - Jerome Felton $12M WRs #5 - Stefon Diggs $140M #22 - Randy Moss $85M #24 - Adam Thielen $82M TEs #13 - Kyle Rudolph $60M #19 - TJ Hockenson $50M Ts #25 - Cam Robinson $72M Gs #16 - Steve Hutchinson $55M DTs #12 - Javon Hargrave $96M #15 - Jonathan Allen $91M #21 - Linval Joseph $72M EDs #7 - Danielle Hunter $143M #22 - Jared Allen $93M LBs #13 - Anthony Barr $63M #18 - Eric Kendricks $56M CBs #5 - Stephon Gilmore $115M Ss #1 - Harrison Smith $104M Ks #23 - Daniel Carlson $19M #24 - Dan Bailey $19M
  15. Nice to see Raya pitching like an actual starter, but if a move to the bullpen isn't happening then he needs a lot more seasoning at AAA before coming to the majors. Otherwise he's going to be giving the Twins 3-4 inning starts with a lot of runs given up... the kid still has an ERA of 6.50 even after putting together a few good starts. Hard to see the Twins abandoning the plan on Prielipp as a starter with their history of keeping prospects as starters until they fail in the majors. Rodriguez's power "is real" despite 4 HRs in 160 PAs in a hitter-friendly league? I'd wait until he is really dominating to call him up. And Walker Jenkins is 20 and only has 110 PAs at AA under his belt. Maybe we can talk about a September call-up in 2026, but there is no need to rush him. The kid only just cracked 600 PAs in the minors!
  16. I can believe that there is an offer on the table... but it's probably too low for the Pohlads to accept or they would have already taken it. But as noted, Walters' rumors haven't been any more accurate than the random scuttlebutt we kick around online.
  17. Wallner's numbers are eerily close to Joey Gallo's, especially when it comes to lack of RBIs. I do think just looking at OPS/OPS+ can be misleading when it comes to power hitters. Brooks Lee has a similar OBP and batting average about .070 higher but a lower OPS due to power, but his RBI rate is quite a bit better. Say what you will about singles-only hitters, singles move baserunners better than walks do and create more runs over the long stretch. I do think the strikeout rate staying stable and the BABIP being oddly low are signs that if they keep giving him PAs in the majors that he will rebound. Defensively, I'm less sure about him. I do wish they would have decided to move one of these bigger OFs like him or Larnach to 1B and solved that issue instead of making France a starter in 99% of their games.
  18. Y'know, I heard Gabriel Gonzalez is having a good season in the minors, can't wait to see him help the team in 2028!
  19. This team is randomly clutch quite often... one day they can be getting dominated by a soft-tossing lefty and then suddenly kick it into gear against high leverage relievers. They are a hot-and-cold lineup!
  20. It looks like Jax and Duran were used early to take on Tampa's #1-5 hitters.
  21. If he ever makes it at the MLB level it'll be as a reliever, but they continue to delude themselves (like with other past prospects) that he might just make it as a starter. Meanwhile they should be focusing on getting him to work in the bullpen.
  22. Paddack looking really good against a great lineup so far.
  23. I hope that is true, this organization has been bereft of international prospects making any impact whatsoever since the Falvey regime took over.
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