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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Darren Wolfson was saying Tillman might make $5M on a major league deal, and I have no idea why he'd earn close to that much with the horrendous 2017 he turned in. I'd welcome him in on a minor league deal but nothing more.
  2. I think Mejia has the potential to be a #4 starter and I definitely saw flashes of that in 2017. He'll need to figure out how to get deeper into games as it always seems the wheels came off around the 4th/5th inning. I'm hoping he will start the season as the 5th man in the rotation and make some strides forward like Berrios did.
  3. I could see a guy like Arrieta taking a one year deal in order to rehab his value. I'd be all for it as our payroll doesn't have much on it for 2019.
  4. Thanks for posting this, I was just going to comment on it. I'm interesting to see how May might slot back in during the month of May, if he does get healthy by then. I would think Gonsalves might have the first shot at a rotation spot, and then possibly May. I don't think Duffey is going to return to the rotation but having guys like him start out as a starter during Spring Training is a common thing for the Twins (Swarzak and Duensing did this before landing in the pen).
  5. If Busenitz keeps those numbers up, his ERA is going to rise. However, I think he can take another step forward in year 2 and up that K rate because his stuff suggests he can get more strikeouts. If it doesn't happen, ship him off to AAA and try out someone else. Busenitz is projecting to be cleaning up games and not pitching a bunch of high leverage situations, so it's not as if he'll be pitching in high leverage situations right off the bat.
  6. Good stuff, I agree that the six are basically guaranteed spots on the team. I think Busenitz has a strong lead for the 7th spot and the possible 8th spot will be up for grabs. Duffey or Hughes will probably come away with it, but I suspect Moya/Curtiss/others will vie for roles once the season gets rolling. The bullpen has come a far way on paper than it was Opening Day 2017.
  7. And the plus to the Reed signing is now say if Rodney is the closer and he closes 2 straight games and he needs a day off, they should be able to plop Reed into the 9th inning seamlessly. We had too many examples last season of having pitchers go multiple games without breaks (Belisle, Rogers).
  8. Boshers should be gone with the Reed signing. I also agree that Enns is on the boundary but he should get a shot as a reliever (in AAA). Moya shouldn't be going anywhere, I think he has a bright future for the Twins.
  9. I don't agree... I think they are very much still in the running for Darvish. I believe they're at around $105M right now and maybe Darvish gets $25M a year? Plus they could trade Gibson if that happens and save $4.3M. I think they could house a payroll in the $120Ms.
  10. I'm sure they have a plan B, as they'd had months to plan for Darvish not signing. The problem is that plan A is taking so darn long [for most teams, anyway].
  11. https://twitter.com/MaxWildstein/status/951226898000109573?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.1500espn.com%2Ftwins-2%2F2018%2F01%2Fyu-darvish-just-add-famed-mystery-team%2F Source: http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2018/01/yu-darvish-just-add-famed-mystery-team/ The Twins have a legitimate chance to sign Darvish. That's great news to me, even if they're unable to sign him.
  12. It's kind of hard to place where Pressly and Duffey are in the bullpen. Pressly had a disappointing season but had stretches of total dominance, and I think he deserves another shot. Duffey was even worse and many of those appearances were in low leverage situations. Right now, I see the bullpen as: Rodney Hildenberger Rogers Duke Pressly Busenitz Hughes/Enns/Duffey/Moya/Anyone but Kinley [potential 8th reliever] If Hughes is healthy, he gets a roster spot solely because of his salary. I kinda see Duffey as the odd man out, as he's been a poor pitcher these past two seasons. Kinley has no business being in the majors in 2018. I can see Moya or Curtiss being the first call-ups. As a random side note, I'd really like to see the Twins re-sign Dillon Gee and utilize him as a long reliever again. He did a fantastic job in that role and he could be a spot starter too. Much better than keeping Hughes around.
  13. Hopefully Busenitz and Hildenberger can continue their good rookie seasons and parlay that into even better sophomore seasons, and later on Curtiss and Moya can find their way up and stay up. With other guys like Jay, Reed, and Chargois possibly pushing for the majors, the bullpen could be filled with some young guns.
  14. They had better not sell low on Sano, as he's got superstar potential. If the Twins can get some great pitching for Sano, then I'd definitely consider it... but I'd rather wait another season and see what happens with Sano health-wise and see how he hits.
  15. Darren Wolfson is reporting it'll be between $1.5M - $2M. He'll likely be taking Buddy Boshers' roster spot. I want to like the Levine/Falvey combo, but it's been a bit underwhelming thus far. I'll give them some credit - they're at least trying to sign the best FA starter, which is not something you could say for TR or Bill Smith. Just kinda wish they could have gotten somebody like Steve Cishek (2 years $12M) in over Duke and Rodney.
  16. This is what I'm thinking will happen - they're going to trade an insignificant player away to keep Kinley in the minors. Keeping Kinley on the 25 man roster makes no sense and he's not close to ready to face MLB hitters.
  17. Agreed, I've just gotten tired of waiting for Burdi and it seems like his career is going to be plagued by injuries. He's kinda going the route of Alex Meyer - has great stuff, can strike people out at a high clip, but can't get healthy. The front office gave up on both though they did acquire something for Meyer. I don't like the shift from Burdi and Kinley, though. Kinley will be 27 and struggled against AA batters.
  18. Yeah.... this is an OK signing. I wouldn't want Rodney to close games as his walk rate is infuriating and he has a tendency to blow saves frequently. His FIP (3.03) and WHIP (1.19) were very good last year, and he still got Ks (10.6 per 9) even at age 40. He just seems to have wild streaks of incredible dominance (San Diego 2016 - 0.31 ERA & 0.87 WHIP) and incredible ineptitude (Miami 2016: 5.89 ERA, 1.8 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9). I'm fine with giving him $4.5M for one season, but I'd like one more reliever. I think they're going to do it - I'm not going to fall into this "Falvey and Levine are Terry Ryan 2.0!" mentality. Sure, the offseason hasn't been full of splashy moves thus far for the Twins, but this isn't going to be the final signing.
  19. Hmmm... an interesting move. Kinley's going to be 27 and he's gone from AAA in 2016 to AA and down to A+ in 2017. Sure, he gets strikeouts like nobody's business, but he looks like a career minor leaguer with no success above A+. He's an older, healthier, and less effective version of Nick Burdi. He has no business being on the Twins major league roster, wasting a spot in the bullpen for far more effective pitchers. It'd be fine with the move if it involves acquiring his full rights and trading somebody insignificant to the Marlins and stashing him in the minors. So far, can't say I'm a fan of the new regime's rule V picks. Most of the time these picks never amount to anything, so it really doesn't matter very much.
  20. I like this move. It's all contingent on Pineda recovering, but if he does, he brings some badly needed strikeout ability in the rotation and, as mentioned earlier, getting out of Yankee Stadium should do his HR/9 wonders. There's still plenty to be done for 2018, of course. I've heard the Twins are targeting Steve Cishek, and that'd be a great signing if it happened.
  21. Here's hoping they add a reliever who's at least better than Fernando Rodney. I'll pass on him, we've had enough with older relievers with volatile performances. Most of the other names would suffice, though I think they should focus on finding a guy for the 9th inning.
  22. Let's worry about the Mauer situation once the 2018 season is over. He's not going to run off elsewhere in FA for big bucks. I think Rooker will be the future 1B and we'll see where his progress is at by that point. He's still a below-average offensive 1B and he could decline further in the future, so that's why I'd rather play the situation on a year-by-year deal instead of giving him a 4 year extension.
  23. Whoops, I had forgotten about how the Twins had tendered all their RFAs, so Gibson's under contract. I don't imagine they'd get much in a trade but it could be worthwhile. I wanted to believe this guy could be a #3 pitcher, but his performances are just so frustrating, fluctuating between a legit starter and pumpkin over the 2017 season.
  24. Enns looks like a bullpen arm to me. The rest of the logjam will fade when injuries hit, not worried about that. I expect the Twins to add one starter, but I’d really like to see 2 and have Gibson non tendered.
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