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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    I would put my money on Thielbar or Gearrin. Also would like to see one of the prospect hitters to step up.
  2. Danchat
    Lewis hit .243/.302/.384 (.685 OPS) in 626 PAs at Fort Myers over 2018 and 2019... I just don't know how you can consider him your top prospect when he's looked so bad at the plate and apparently "needs to fix his swing". I know he's young for the league, and I know he's got all the tools outside of that... but isn't a player's ceiling in the majors usually what he did in the minors? Lewis still has a long ways to go and it's way too early to call him a bust, but I'm concerned.
  3. Danchat
    I think it might be smart to view Cave's 2019 season in two halves: March to August 8th: (112 PAs) .211/.321/.326 (.648 OPS) 2 HR August 9th on: (116 PAs) .301/.379/.573 (.952 OPS) 6 HR I do remember some wanting Cave DFA'd during the first half of the year, but now he's better than Rosario? Eh... I don't think so. He's a streaky hitter who needs to get hot, but when he does, he can sure hit well. Also, fun fact: Cave hit all 8 of his HRs against divisional opponents - and not a single one against any other team!
  4. Danchat
    I think Larnach is the most likely of the prospects to end up panning out... I can see him replacing Rosario in 2021, and becoming a mainstay in the lineup. I'd rather not trade him unless he's part of a package to get a bona fide #1 starter.
  5. Danchat
    Anderson was never on the 40 man. Hard to say if the Pressly move will pan out, we haven't even gotten a good look at the two guys we got for him at the highest level. It wasn't a good move for the 2019 season, but we weren't advancing any further in the playoffs with him on our roster.
  6. Danchat
    Well, the previous regimes sure didn't do well, but we're in a new era of management here. I wouldn't expect similar outcomes. It's pretty crazy to me that the Revere trade happened so long ago, yet we still have control of May that originates from that deal.
  7. Danchat
    I'm fine with Wisler being given a shot early on. He's a nice early season experiment to try out, and if he fails, it shouldn't be a big deal. As I've said many times, I'd much rather see one of the young starters start over Chacin. I don't think he has the upside compared to the other options, plus he doesn't have any options.
  8. Danchat
    I feel like we've seen this song and dance before... I don't see a 6 man rotation happening. Everyone staying healthy is unlikely, and I think Rich Hill starts in the pen if the rotation is full when he's ready to go. Or Bailey could be stinking things up by that point, who knows.
  9. Danchat
    Or perhaps they anticipated that, even if he could develop into a starter, it would simply take too long for what our window currently is. Say Graterol builds innings as a starter / primary pitcher at AAA, but can't crack the rotation until sometime 2021. Instead, the Twins can pencil in a #3 starter for an absolute bargain and have him under contract for 4 years. The move gives the Twins more certainty for the rotation in 2020-21, while sacrificing upside for the future.
  10. Danchat
    Boy, I sure hope not. I hope Thorpe or Dobnak can seize that 5th spot, and let Chacin stay as depth at AAA (until he opts out or whatever). I'd much rather go with the guy with far more upside (Thorpe) or at least the guy who pitched great down the stretch (Dobnak) rather than the junkballer who's at the tail end of his career (Chacin).
  11. Danchat
    I would expect the rotation heirarchy to be: Berrios Odorizzi Pineda Maeda Bailey Thorpe/Dobnak/Smeltzer And Hill would replace anybody injured or struggling, else he'd wind up in the bullpen. In this scenario, the only time Maeda will be heading to the bullpen will be for the playoffs. (Maeda / Pineda seems debatable but with the way Pineda pitched last season plus he's making $10M, that puts him ahead for now)
  12. Danchat
    At this point, I think you'd have to rank him similarly with Urbina, as both have a long ways to go.
  13. Danchat
    I thought teams might view Graterol as damaged goods after this fiasco, but clearly the Dodgers were fine with him. I suppose the Red Sox were really just blowing things out of porportion, then.
  14. Danchat
    I’m pretty sure Dyson’s medical were clean, and was in the midst of developing an injury when we acquired him. He had surgery 25 days after the trade, and after tossing 10.2 innings for us. Just seemed like bad luck.
  15. Danchat
    Rooker started rookie ball at age 22, so he never really had the chance to do so. But I do remember that being part of the reason why he was a late 1st round pick and not a higher selection.
  16. Danchat
    Yep, exactly. Per MLBTradeRumors: Berrios would be setting the new record by a little bit, so I can see why they declined. Berrios' camp likely wasn't open to settling in the middle, since it would mean he would not set the new benchmark. I'm not all that concerned that a Berrios extension does not appear to be in the cards. We have him for 3 more years, and I'm not all that worried if we lose him for the 2023 season. I don't care about the team that far in the future at this point.
  17. Danchat
    He had nearly .400 OBP with a 34.7 K% at AAA? Wow, he's quite the 3 outcome hitter. I do hope we get to see him this year... but it that will only likely happen with Sano/Cruz getting hurt. With Larnach and Kiriloff coming up eventually, I hope Rooker can find MLB success somewhere, but I find it hard to see that happening with the Twins.
  18. Danchat
    It's kinda hard for a 20 year old kid to establish himself in the majors, especially when he missed half the 2019 season with a shoulder issue. He still needs time to work on his pitches before he fully develops. Really, a W-L argument? Looking through his gamelog, he did have an 0-6 record in June and July last season. Let's check out how he actually pitched in those games: L1: 4.1 IP, 5 ER - Dodgers offense scored 3 runs L2: 5 IP, 2 ER - offense scored 2 runs L3: 7.2 IP, 3 ER - offense scored 1 run L4: 5.2 IP, 3 ER - offense scored 1 run L5: 4.1 IP, 3 ER- offense scored 4 runs L6: 4 IP, 5 ER- offense scored 1 runs Whoa, it's almost like pitcher losses are closely related to how the offense does rather than how the pitcher actually threw!
  19. Danchat
    It seemed like the Twins received a clean bill of health for Dyson, but he developed the shoulder problem as he started pitching here. Just bad luck.
  20. Danchat
    A consensus top 100 prospect who was able to pitch in the majors after said shoulder injury at the age of 21...
  21. Danchat
    Balazovic hasn't thrown an inning above A+ yet, they're not going to start his clock too early. I would fully expect a name here to get added to the AAA rotation in case they're needed.
  22. Danchat
    Well, no, but the team usually doesn't announce a move until several days after it is made. MLB Trade Rumors has cited these sources: I imagine Donaldson's camp would have refuted these reports if they were not true.
  23. Danchat
    I would be open to giving an extension to a prospect who appears to be of the safer variety; a guy who has dominated every level he's played at. On this list, I'd argue only Larnach has been able to do that. Not sure if our FO would be open to this, but I don't think these types of deals are all that important.
  24. Danchat
    Well, well, it looks like we're going to be quite the offensive team again! It seems my theory about the FO being cautious to spend money on starting pitching but was more open to signing hitters is coming true. As it's already been mentioned, this is the 2nd most guaranteed money for a player who is at least 34 years old and the Twins' largest FA signing ever, so it's a bold move, but for the present time, I think he'll be worth it. Most of the risk for the present time will come with the potential for injury (only 496 PAs in 2017 and 219 in 2018). Good move, this certainly salvages the offseason, though they really needed to bring in somebody to challenge Berrios as a true ace. By my calculations this puts the cap at about $137M... right in the $135-$140M range I predicted earlier this offseason. Groovy!
  25. Danchat
    The advantage is that instead of Sano hitting FA in 2022, you get to keep him for something around $12M, which is quite a bargain IMO. Then you get another year of him in 2023 for $14M or you pay him a $3M. Plus you could trade him in 2021-22 and get something nice for him since he's on a team friendly deal. (yeah, I know there's a discussion about not trading the guy, but you could certainly trade him near the end of the deal.)
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