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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. Linus
    That’s the one. Thanks for the link. What made me think of it is that Buck has relatively few RBIs and is being labeled as no good in the clutch by some. Yet he had an OPS of 976 last with RISP. Interesting stuff
  2. Linus
    His greatest offensive skill is drawing walks. Pitchers are simply making him swing the bat and it doesn’t look good. I’m a little surprised it took this long.
  3. Linus
    Your logic makes sense. I thought a statistical analysis had been done that basically proved it was random but can’t remember for sure.
  4. Linus
    Joe is frequently inefficient in his outings and last night was a good example. He seems to work around it pretty well but he struggles to complete 5 innings far too often.
  5. Linus
    The frustrating thing is the club is exactly what many people predicted before the season but nothing was done to address it. The bullpen is an obvious example but they have been bad defensively for years. The crazy part is I think they have been a little lucky offensively. Hitting with RISP has been really high. If that regresses our offense will come back to earth. Can someone more familiar with analytics help me out? I believe analytics folks pretty much proved there was no such thing as a “clutch hitter”. In other words there are variations but over time it regresses to the mean. Is this accurate or is there other research contradicting this theory?
  6. Linus
    I give Trevor credit for off season work that has made him quicker. It shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone that watches a lot of ball that he is still a sub par fielder. To me this is an example of the pitfall of constantly worrying about raising the floor as opposed to raising the ceiling. Trevor, along with several other regulars, would have no chance of being a starter on a legit playoff team.
  7. Linus
    I’ve enjoyed watching this team. Maybe because my expectations were realistic going into the season - about 75 wins. I think the handwriting was on the wall when they didn’t improve the pen over the winter. The problem with building a pen “on the fly” is that by the time you patch one together the season is cooked. Buck has been fantastic and Jeffers was a pleasure to watch hit before he got hurt. I was never a Taj fan when he was in Tampa but I’m changing my opinion- his command is improving just enough for him to succeed. Lee is moving in the right direction but for all his improvement is still a league average hitter. I’m glad they have been aggressive about moving guys to spots where they can be decent with the glove. There are pieces to build around but too many holes to fill before they can be really good. I just hope Zoll makes decisions at the deadline with a 5 year plan in mind. If they start squandering prospect capital on this club that would be a big mistake.
  8. Linus
    We’ve pretty much tapped out all the pitching in the organization- maybe Culpepper?
  9. Linus
    I agree with this. They have so much data on each pitcher they should be able to know when substantial fatigue is setting in and act accordingly.
  10. Linus
    Scratch that - saw they put Banda on the IL
  11. Linus
    His pitch mix was really good. The Rockies hitters had no idea what pitch was coming next.
  12. Linus
    Thought of the same thing. Requires a 40 man spot which will make the Twins nervous.
  13. Linus
    He’s been an unexpected surprise. He doesn’t have great stuff but he isn’t afraid. Surely he is one of the 13 best options for the Twins right now.
  14. Linus
    Lee is doing better, no question. The home runs are a pleasant surprise but contact comes in lots of different forms (see Miranda, Jose). My late father would say “ Brooks doesn’t get his pitch to hit often enough”. Meaning he still swings at the pitchers pitch too much. With his good contact skills that results in weak contact. But I feel like he has improved in this area and hopefully continues to improve.
  15. Linus
    After thinking about this and reading a bunch of good comments I think the right thing to do is play him at second. He can be a good enough hitter for second but I just don’t see him ever hitting well enough to be a corner bat. If they deem him unplayable at second send him to St Paul to refine his fielding. If he never learns to be a good second baseman than we can add him to the pile of all bat no glove prospects that Falvey loved.
  16. Linus
    Agree with this except Royce. IMO he is still not hitting at a level good enough to be given a bat first position on the diamond, especially on a legit playoff team which I assume is what we are shooting for.
  17. Linus
    I agree. Jackson is finding ways to contribute even if the bat is underwhelming. The bunt yesterday was a smart play and he really called a good game for Prielipp-the Rockies hitters were fooled repeatedly. He throws much better than Caratini or Jeffers.
  18. Linus
    I actually like people who don’t talk unless they have something to say. Some of the Twins broadcasters should try it.
  19. Linus
    I think he looked pretty good out there for the first time I will join the chorus wondering why he isn’t in LF where his arm is less of a liability and his speed is more of an asset in the larger LF. It might be that they think he will read the ball off the bat better in RF having played the right side of the infield but that’s just a guess. What I know for sure is the bar to clear for acceptable hitting just got raised significantly. No way his current level of hitting is good enough for a corner outfielder on a legit playoff team.
  20. Linus
    Prielipp looked good. The curveball really baffled the Rockies. A little better control and we have something. Hat tip to Morris - guy has been great. And as others noted Kreidler has been a nice surprise. Alex Jackson with a productive game - bunt, good challenge and seemed to really keep Prielipps pitch mix unpredictable.
  21. Linus
    Nice to see Rojas pitching with control. Thats the only thing keeping him from being a good big league pitcher.
  22. Linus
    Regarding the OP, I don’t view any of this as more questions than answers. For me it’s incumbent on certain players to prove they should be a part of the plan going forward. We are not obligated to wait around and coax acceptable performance out of these guys ala Falvey. I’m really happy for Larnach, he’s having a decent season going on age thirty. He’s a little above average hitting if completely platoon protected and is now an acceptable corner outfielder. For this level of performance we had to wait 4 plus years of less than average performance in a corner outfield spot. Thats not how you win, thats how you lose. So Royce, Austin, Matt and Brooks play better, a lot better if you want to be part of the plan going forward. One caveat, if Lee hangs around this level of production I would keep him around as the utility infielder next year. The rest, if current performance is maintained, are all gone.
  23. Linus
    This is all true. Here’s a take that will set the TDers howling. I don’t want to extend Joe Ryan. He is going to get 5 or 6 years at $30-35 million per year. It would be a big mistake to be paying Ryan $35 million a year in his mid thirties. Trade him for near mlb ready talent and remake this team
  24. Linus
    Anybody ready to be done with Fundy? I was last June but apparently Falvey knew better.
  25. Linus
    Then we are in agreement . Jeffers and Ryan can bring back players that can contribute right away. Larnach might return a useful reliever. Trading people doesn’t mean taking A ball guys.
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