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Nashvilletwin

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Everything posted by Nashvilletwin

  1. Nashvilletwin
    Sonny never wanted to stay here. He couldn’t wait to get out of Dodge. He wasn’t overly fond of Rocco. Couldn’t see a future for him personally (i.e. professionally and/or financially) or team wise by staying. Smart guy to get out while the getting was good. Sadly, Ryan is in the same mindset now as well: the team’s outlook is poor, the money and his individual success will be better elsewhere, and Rocco isn’t floating his boat.
  2. Nashvilletwin
    The only math is the lower sale proceeds now (assuming a sale at any reasonable price was even feasible) reinvested over the next three years vs. keeping and selling three years from now (keeping in mind all tax considerations). Given the recent poor financial performance of the franchise (including the tv revenue hit and its yet to be settled future) and the uncertainty inherent in the CBA talks, it’s likely that the latter alternative is a reasonable bet to outperform the former.
  3. Nashvilletwin
    Nope - the Pohlads sell after the new CBA is enacted which could dramatically improve the financial outlook especially for mid market teams like the Twins in particular. They will keep cash costs down for the next two years and then use a stable full of young promising controllable projectable talent as additional value enhancing asset. They tried to sell, but couldn’t get their number. They are now willing to roll the dice on a two-three plan that they think will give them outsized returns vs. their other alternatives.
  4. Nashvilletwin
    An already deep prospect list along with two years of top 1-5 draft picks on the way plus what we get for Ryan, Lopez and possibly Jeffers and Ober: as long as Rocco is gone, things should really be looking up in ‘28 and beyond.
  5. Nashvilletwin
    Correct. There is a 0% chance that Ryan or Lopez (or Jeffers or Ober for that matter) are extended/resigned to play for the Twins in ‘28 or beyond. Nada. Zilch. They are all gone. And given major league baseball is unlikely to be played much at all in ‘27, we only have them really for next year - which is essentially a throw away year. Heck, they probably don’t want to sign here anyway. Ryan most certainly wants out as soon as possible. The smart move - strategically and financially - is to trade them this off season. Build for ‘28 both with prospects and financial capacity.
  6. Nashvilletwin
    The bad news: Jeffers, Larnach, Lopez, Ryan and Ober total $49MM. Trading those five and replacing them with minimum $ players nets about $45MM in cash comp savings, leaving just $50MM. They still have to pay some of Correa ($33MM over three years) and will sign a cheap reliever or two. Net, net look for about $65MM next season. The good news: when the new CBA is signed hopefully it has both a hard cap and a hard floor. This helps the Twins on both sides of that result: bigger teams are reeled in and the the Twins will have to spend a lot more $ to get to the league minimum (which will be set higher than many think in order to satisfy the players agreeing on a cap). The really bad news: the Twins will likely stink in ‘26 (and ‘27 for however many games are actually played that season). The really good news: heading into ‘28, the Twins should have an unbelievably talented young, cheap and controllable core both on the field and on the mound AND the team will be forced to augment that core with new FAs required by the new minimum annual spend decreed in the new CBA. Oh, and Rocco should be long gone by then too. The really, really good news: the Pohlads sell the team in ‘28 post the new CBA and TV revenue visibility/resolution. So there truly will be a new beginning So it’s baseball purgatory for two years while we wait for the plan to take shape and hope to emerge. But make no mistake, this is essentially how the plan is going to unfold.
  7. Nashvilletwin
    Martin, I love the guy, but he has no clue running the bases. It’s to the point now where it’s almost both comical and predictable. Please get that kid some coaching.
  8. Nashvilletwin
    Ryan and Lopez for sure. Those are no brainers. Very likely Jeffers unless they see a need to extend him (which I don’t think they do), although he might be more of a trade deadline type. Also possibly Ober, but they might get more value from him by waiting to see how the first half of ‘26 goes. Essentially anyone who will not be extended and/or will not be on the roster in ‘28. Thus, they give Lewis one more year. Larnach, however, is gone, but probably won’t return much if anything at all.
  9. Nashvilletwin
    100%. What an absolute snooze fest. Sheesh.
  10. Nashvilletwin
    Good article with the correct conclusion. But the author kind of buried the lede: namely, the Twins will never, ever resign either Ryan or Lopez. They are gone after 2027 with 100% certainty. And, in Ryan’s case for sure at least, he can’t wait Couple that blinding statement of the obvious with the young, transitioning roster projecting to be non competitive in 2026 and a lockout coming in 2027, that means their two years left of control (and expensive control at that) is really just one year of anticipated futility. So, sadly yes, the author is correct. Ryan and Lopez must be traded. It’s the smart move for sure. However, in order to really maximize the return on those trades likely to be for young, cheap, projectable talent, then the 2nd derivative decision to replace Rocco must also be made; otherwise, a good portion of the value from the trades will be wasted.
  11. Nashvilletwin
    Exactly. There is no chance in H E double toothpicks.
  12. Nashvilletwin
    The only way they bring back Luis is so that I would tune in to watch EVERY ONE of ABs. Because I would.
  13. Nashvilletwin
    Walters is late to the game. I called this the day after the trade deadline. Completely obvious and the right decision.
  14. Nashvilletwin
    With possibly the exception of Cardenas, none of these players have a snowball’s chance in Hades of being an everyday major leaguer. Sure, give them some Show ABs to reward their effort or for the novelty factor. Otherwise, a complete snooze fest.
  15. Nashvilletwin
    Until he can be reliably played against LHP and becomes a consistent RBI producer, his average to below average fielding will restrict him to a platoon to slightly better than that type of contributor (and not even a primary DH). Let’s hope he can make the jump.
  16. Nashvilletwin
    It doesn’t matter. Emma will never be a legitimate every day major leaguer. Injuries, talent, whatever. Doesn’t matter. Sad, but true.
  17. Nashvilletwin
    100%. They are 1ish (Buxton) for six plus one TBD and zero for five under Falvey/Rocco. There is no factual data to support the idea that a top pick will in any way legitimately move the dial for this franchise while Rocco is in the dugout. Zilch. Nada.
  18. Nashvilletwin
    Someone seriously has to teach Martin how to run the bases. Tonight on Julien’s two out double/little league homer, Martin actually paused on the way to second before turning on the jets and scoring (but still the ball was thrown to the plate). Martin - there are two out! Run at the crack of the bat. He still had a strong game though. Team played hard tonight. Fun to see.
  19. Nashvilletwin
    Why in the world would they bring up all those solid prospects and still have Rocco at the helm? Why infect them with the same losing culture/mentality that has proven to be the case under Rocco? Wow, that would be a complete waste. If this team is looking to build a new core, it must not be afraid to embrace new leadership in the dugout to get the most out of the young talent comprising the entire strategy. Question for my fellow TDers: how badly must this team play over the last month to finally move on from Rocco? What are we 3-14 over our past 17 games? How long can this last? Over the past 12 months, we must be the worst performing team in baseball. (As an aside, Ryan looks so pissed off he can barely stand it - he’s wondering why he had to stay with this hot mess). What our roster looks like next year will not matter if Rocco stays. The entire discussion is a complete waste of time.
  20. Nashvilletwin
    Facing a non-competitive ‘26 and no or limited baseball in ‘27, everything should be about building for ‘28. Most especially including Jenkins development.
  21. Nashvilletwin
    1. The Twins are not looking to be a playoff contender in ‘26. They know they don’t have the roster and they don’t have the money to do anything about that. Besides, Rocco is supposed to be back and there is no way Rocco can win with a young roster. 2. The Pohlads are looking to cut costs and reduce their losses in what is certainly going to be a down year in ‘26. Why throw good money after bad, especially when TV money can’t bail you out. 3. There is not going to be baseball in ‘27, at least not very much of it (best case scenario). This is another reason to cut payroll and hoard young talent in ‘26. It also means that high cost players currently under control for two more years (Lopez, Ryan, and even Jeffers and Ober) really only have one year of control left. And none of them are coming back in ‘28. Zero chance of that. Given the intention is not to win in ‘26, but to develop young talent, there is much more value in trading those players this off-season for even more young (cheap) projectable talent than there is in paying/keeping them for a futile ‘26. Lopez and Ryan should and will be traded. 4. The Pohlads do want to sell. They didn’t sell this year because they couldn’t get the price they wanted given the team’s poor financial condition, performance and outlook. They think they can get more value by holding on to the team into ‘28 by cutting costs, getting a new TV deal, a better CBA, and effecting a rebuild. Look for the team to be back on the sale docket in ‘28. Sadly, this is probably the smart decision. So it’s going to be an additional couple of tough years for us Twins fans. But we can all comfort ourselves by reading TD articles about how good and can’t miss our prospects are.
  22. Nashvilletwin
    He will only be 27 in ‘28 - the first time we will really care if he’s truly any good. Plenty of time to bring him along slowly. No reason to rush him.
  23. Nashvilletwin
    1. Keaschall - graduating soon 2. Abel - #2 starter upside 3. Culpepper - stick at SS and hit 4. Tait - long way off yet; but highest ceiling Rodriguez will never see any consistent major league time. All hat, no cattle. He’s one bust we can’t blame on Rocco. But in all seriousness, the odds that any single one of these players (including Jenkins), let alone more than one or all of them, reach their major league potential under Rocco are slim to none. There is zero history to contradict that statement. Sorry, but just keeping things real on the TD today. How we can continue to trust that talent to Rocco is beyond me.
  24. Nashvilletwin
    Bets?
  25. Nashvilletwin
    Nope, you’re wrong. There will be a host of team willing to go all in to win in 2026 and still have first crack at long term control over both players post 2027. The market will be robust for both of them.
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