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Nashvilletwin

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Everything posted by Nashvilletwin

  1. Nashvilletwin
    Of the QO FAs, Bauers coming of a WS win might be the one most likely to accept the QO and stay with the Brewers. Just a h gut feeling.
  2. Nashvilletwin
    Thanks. I like Bauers too - a lot. We could sign both Arraez (2B) and Bauers (1B) to play the right side of the infield with Clemens in a super utility role. That’s really strong! The negative is that we still don’t have catching as there probably isn’t enough cash to sign Jeffers as well. If we could also sign one of the better defensive catchers who might be significantly cheaper than Jeffers, then yes. For me, on the margin, I prefer Jeffers and Arraez to Arraez and Bauers if we could only afford to sign two - and thereby play Clemens at 1B. Of course, we could sign Bauers and Jeffers and play Clemens at 2B until Houston arrives. In that case, Culpepper would move to 2B and Clemens to super utility. That would be incredible as well. Coming off the WS win it’s my hunch that Bauers is the most likely of the FAs with QOs to take the QO if the Brewers won’t commit to a longer term deal. If that hunch proves right, then its definitely back to Arraez and Jeffers for me.
  3. Nashvilletwin
    Buxton can play in the OF as many days as he can. Certainly he’s going to keep playing in the field when’s he’s healthy, duh.
  4. Nashvilletwin
    Arraez and Jeffers. Both please. Clemens to 1B. Lewis and Larnach gone. 2027 starting lineup: 1. Keaschall, LF 2. Arraez, 2B 3. Buxton, DH 4. Jenkins, CF 5. Jeffers, C 6. Clemens, 1B 7. Lee, 3B 8. Rodriguez, RF 9. Culpepper, SS Bench: Caratini, Martin, Ross/Kriedler, Gonzalez/Roden. When Houston comes up, he plays SS, Culpepper moves to 2B, and Clemens, Arraez provide 1B and DH flexibility. That’s a competitive and fun to watch lineup. It will win a lot of games, make the fans happy, and keep the development plan on schedule.
  5. Nashvilletwin
    Re-signing Jeffers is our #1 priority this off season. Why? 1. Starting C for two years. Platoons with Lackey in late ‘28. Helps transition the young C. We have zippo at C until Lackey can become a decent, reliable every day player in ‘29. 2. 1B and DH in ‘29 and possibly ‘30. This is where good hitting catchers go at the end of their careers. Also, both slots are positions of perennial need for the Twins. 3. Veteran presence to transition the young pitching staff and catchers in particular and our other young hitters in general. Given transitioning minor leaguers to good major leaguers is one of the worst attributes of this organization despite being perhaps the most important, this role for Jeffers provides huge value and is worth real money. 4. Speaking of money, the Twins have it. With Buxton, Lopez and Correa off the books by the end of ‘28 and with most positions being held by cheap, younger talent, there are no issues on the cash front whatsoever. Any three year deal in the $45-55MM range makes sense. If an option year is needed for year four, don’t hesitate. C’mon TTT and JZ - get it done!
  6. Nashvilletwin
    100%! A salary cap/floor CBA may help on the margin, but for the Twins to truly be competitive, they must make better roster building decisions and better transition their successful minor league talent into average or above every day major league players - two areas in which they’ve had very little success since Falvey and Rocco showed up.
  7. Nashvilletwin
    Lee 1B ultimately is not silly if Culpepper ends up being a better fit at 3B and we fill 2B with someone else (Arraez, Clemens, Dubon, etc.) If we had pulled the trigger on the Ryan for Arias and Tolle trade, Lee would be playing 1B on Houston’s arrival more likely than not with Clemens as the super utility.
  8. Nashvilletwin
    Agree. Sign Arraez to play 2B. When Houston arrives, Culpepper moves to 2B, and Arraez and Clemens share first base and DH with Buxton/Keaschall. They can platoon LH and RH. Lay up move. Sign Jeffers too.
  9. Nashvilletwin
    In terms of getting any significant value in return, the Joe Ryan ship has sailed and is already far out to sea. A mixture of delusions, fan/press induced pressure, and short-termism is a dangerous and deleterious combination when tying to build a true contender. Sad.
  10. Nashvilletwin
    Let’s hope so, but it’s the AFL……
  11. Nashvilletwin
    Why I’m a fan of re-signing Jeffers: 1. We could 100% use him to be our primary catcher for the next two years. Diaw is probably closest to being ready. But there should be no expectation that Lackey, Tinney, Tait or DeBarge will be ready by opening day 2028. 2. We still have 1B issues and our pipeline to fill the position is basically zippo. Jeffers 100% could be an above average fielding and hitting 1B in ‘29 and into ‘30. He could also platoon at DH. 3. The Twins are going to need some solid vets as we start bringing on the next core of youngsters. Buxton is gone after ‘28 and who knows about Lopez after this year. Jeffers would be an invaluable veteran presence particularly to the young catchers and pitching staff. For a team that struggles to transition players into successful major leaguers, that presence is worth real money. No one on this site should pretend it’s not. 4/$65MM or 3/$50MM with a mutual option for $10-15MM in year 4. We have the money, the positional need and the need to invest in our youngsters. Get it done TTT and JZ!
  12. Nashvilletwin
    What happens next? He refuses it and we start negotiating a long term deal with him along with several teams. If he signs with us - super. If not, we’re hedged.
  13. Nashvilletwin
    A haunting failure by Falvey not to trade Ryan for Arias and Tolle. 100% deserved to be fired just for that. It’s hard to imagine the impact those two players could’ve had for nearly a 3/4 of a decade on the Twins. Might end up being one of the biggest screw ups in Twins history (ok, outside of Big Papi).
  14. Nashvilletwin
    The question is not if the Twins can trust these three rookies; rather, the real question is will they stick with them and invest in them through the entire year. They are rookies - they will stink from time to time and possibly over some relatively long stretches. But will the coaching staff and front office go delusional again and mess up their continual development or will they stay with the plan to build for the future? The single biggest issue/failure with the Twins organization over the past decade has been transitioning young proven minor league talent into every day average or above major leaguers. These three players - and you can throw Houston and eventually Lackey (and Lee and Keaschall to a certain extent as they are not out of the woods yet) in there as well - are the future of this team as a contender over the next five years. They can’t afford to take a short term point of view in what will likely be a truncated season anyway.
  15. Nashvilletwin
    1. Jeffers would catch for ‘27and ‘28. DH and 1B for ‘29 and ‘30. 2. Arraez can play 2B or 1B along with Clemens until Houston comes up and Culpepper moves to 2B. Then Clemens and Arraez play 1B and DH (along with our fourth OF - Buxton) and Clemens is also super utility. 3. I can’t get over how stupid Falvey was to turn down that Boston offer for Ryan. Tolleson is already better than Ryan and can you even imagine an infield of Arias, Houston, Culpepper and Lee (1B)? What a huge mistake that was.
  16. Nashvilletwin
    If the Twins don’t at least make a QO to Jeffers, then they are bigger idiots than many of us have thought. Wasn’t the QO the saving aspect of not trading him? Isn’t “We’ll keep him through the rest of the year because we will at least get a top drafty pick for his QO” the bs we all were fed at the deadline? Now we might not only have given up a good return trade asset (Eyason from the Orioles for example), but also a draft pick? Holy cow. If there is to be no QO, then ONLY reason for not trading Jeffers at the deadline was to increase the chances of re-signing him. The rationale of “going for it” is complete hogwash only to be held on to by the most delusional fools, especially with no QO. But to not re-sign him AND give up the draft pick would be incredibly stupid - or just keeping with the Twins MO.
  17. Nashvilletwin
    Precisely why Arraez should be one of our top targets. He and Clemens both (individually and together) have the positional flexibility to cover 1B and 2B (plus DH and Clemens also in OF) thereby not blocking Houston at all. A pure 2B FA would not bring that flexibility and, if Houston is promotable, could create more of an impasse with Culpepper.
  18. Nashvilletwin
    Why do we need a 2B this year? Clemens plays 2B until Houston arrives, then it’s Culpepper. Given the projected lockout, that may happen early in the “season”. It would be so Twins like to sign an expensive 2B that gives the team a reason not to bring up Houston,….
  19. Nashvilletwin
    Position players: Jeffers or Kelly at catcher. Bauers or Arraez at 1B. That’s it for position players.
  20. Nashvilletwin
    No one is advocating for Larnach, Wallner or Bell to be on the ‘28 Twins. Defense does matter. But so does offense. Jeffers provides us with probably the best combination at C over the next two years until our young guys show up. And if he still produces at the plate in ‘29 and ‘30 as a 1B/DH, that would be great. Arraez we could live without, of course. But, hey, when heathy he is a great option to play 1B while providing flexibility at DH and 2B for at least the next two years. Clements is a really good baseball player and should be a Twin for a while playing a super utility role and likely being in the lineup more days than not. Do we have better options at C and 1B than Jeffers and Arraez? If so, the list of possibilities cannot be long.
  21. Nashvilletwin
    Lackey and Tunney do not arrive to open the ‘28 season. That’s not happening. Here is an alternative for the opening day ‘28 offense that is wishful thinking, but creates both a contender as early as ‘28 as well as positions the team for success in ‘29-‘30. This proposal requires two significant signing this off season: Jeffers and Arraez. Jeffers is critical: Arraez is more of a luxury. LF Keaschall. CF Jenkins. RF Rodriguez. 3B Lee. SS Houston. 2B Culpepper. 1B Arraez. C Jeffers. DH Buxton C2 Diaw. Super Utility 1 Clemens. Roden/Gonzalez/Ross/Winokur/et al fight it out for the other utility roles. Buxton, Clemens, Culpepper and Arraez provide positional flexibility to cover the OF and both sides of the infield, Jeffers moves to 1B/DH in ‘29 making room for Lackey at C. Tinney and Diaw also make the ‘29 club providing C/1B/OF flexibility. Buxton and Arraez are more than likely gone for ‘29. Agree that Lopez has a chance to sign an extension and be a part of the rotation in ‘28-‘30.
  22. Nashvilletwin
    Priority extension list: 1.A. Bradley 1.B. Keaschall 2. Jenkins 3. Culpepper 4. Houston 5. Abel 6. Prielipp 7. ERod 8. Lackey The top three - Bradley, Keaschall, and Jenkins - make sense to do this off season. Culpepper not quite, but if it happened - ok. The rest not yet.
  23. Nashvilletwin
    Two very unbold suggestions (#1 and #2) and one (#3) ridiculously stupid. Signing a single reliever to a multi year contract is bold? Probably over half the league does that every year. Trading a decidedly and proven mediocre at best Lewis is not bold; instead, keeping him to take innings and ABs from any player who potentially could be our 1B of the future would be the bold (and stupid) decision. We should not trade any young, controllable asset who is likely or probable to play an important role on this team starting in ‘28. To do so would be boldly idiotic. You want three bold moves the Twins should/could make this off-season. 1. Sign Jeffers to a four year deal to play catcher and ultimately 1B and DH. 2, Sign Arraez to a two year deal to play 1B and DH with an option for year three. 3. Given the off season may last until June, trade Ryan before the season starts and re-sign Lopez to a three year hometown deal. Here’s a fourth: fire JZ and hire a GM who knows how to build a young team.
  24. Nashvilletwin
    Hahaha, (tongue in cheek) they could do a lot worse and have…. In all seriousness, it’s all about understanding how you can create a competitive advantage given the industry dynamics and your own strengths and weaknesses. Twins more recently do not seem to understand that if they truly want to win a championship as a small to mid market, financially constrained team in the current MLB. They cannot spend their way to a championship. That is clear. Hoping to catch lightning in a bottle any given year is also not a strategy. The best way to for a team like the Twins to create a competitive advantage is to be better at DEVELOPING their own cheaper talent and to be building windows by continually trading expensive talent for cheaper and better future talent when the window is clearly not open. There really is no other way for the Twins to build a championship team in this environment. And, if this strategy is pursued correctly and continually with commitment, it’s highly probable that the team would truly be competitive more years than not. Executing that strategy may not be that easy per se. However, understanding the competitive dynamics of the industry and how one must compete is not that hard (that part is not rocket science).
  25. Nashvilletwin
    Little League? My three year old grandson knows this already…
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