Losing Gardy and Andy while having a rookie manager adds 5 losses. Bullpen success is based on starter success and, with the exception of Hughes, the starters sucked. This led to the bullpen collapse in the last 1/3 of the season. That collapse skewed the season numbers downward. As a result, your analysis of the bullpen is based on false numbers. Use the first 2/3 of the season and you will see a slightly above average bullpen. For 15, If Hughes stays an above average pitcher and the starters improve, by an average of 2 outs per outing, then the current bullpen will be fine. There is no need for trades and help is in the minors. Nothing can keep Molitor from making rookie mistakes and the Twins will be lucky to improve to 85 losses. But it won't be the fault of the bullpen.