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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. One could hardly tell the difference last year between Skubal or Sale pitching versus what Ober was doing. Sure thing
  2. When they announced what the bullpen was for the Saints I commented that it looks like the bullpen will be on DFA candidates for the big league team. Dobnak surely knew that he would have a DFA or two in his future. Any time the long man goes long, it will be vacation time in St Paul
  3. I also stated what he would have to do to get there. That is quite a leap in performance to do from a solid starter to an elite one.
  4. Robbie Ray, Porchello, R.A Dickey were one year wonders, Juechel and Arrietta had 2 great years in a row. My post had nothing to do with career years. It was a simple statement of fact that to get to the elite levels Ober and Ryan have to lower the HR/9, BB%, and increase K%. I would also contend that they would have to be a lot better than the pedigree pitchers as the career years might be construed as luck
  5. Cy Young award winners usually have a WAR over 5 unless it is a league wide down year. Just like Ryan, for Ober to be in contention for the Cy he would have to increase his K%, decrease his walk % and give up about 1/3 less home runs. That will get their ERA below 3, which they haven’t done for a season, Easy peasy
  6. Buxton has a no trade clause. Buxton has a contract through his age 34 season. Buxton will have made over 100 million by the end of the contract. After everybody gets their cut (taxes, agents, accountants) he should have made over 50 million. If there is no malfeasance by the accounts and the agents there really isn’t any reason to keep playing. There is no reason to think after 13-14 injury filled seasons that anything different is going to happen
  7. The spring games do not necessarily have a teams regular starting lineup so even the first three innings may not even be representative of the team. Their AAA prospects other factor would be are pitchers working on a pitch so they might not be always throwing a better pitch. If they have for example been working on a cutter, they may throw that a few more times to find out if it doesn’t work on a batter
  8. Canterino was optioned. The minor leagues only have the 7 day IL according to MLB.com. To use Canterino’s 40 man spot they would either have to DFA him or activate him and then place him on the 60 day IL. CBA would have what the teams are responsible for with an injured player. If it doesn’t change his paycheck they could probably DFA him while injured.. As a minor league player on the 40 man I don’t know if he is part of the union. As we all know from last year once the season starts they can’t demote an injured player.
  9. Their best pitching prospect is coming off an injury year. Their AAA prospects really did not do all that well when called up. I think Castellano was left unprotected to see if they could wrangle a better prospect out of someone.
  10. If a trade is not worked out beforehand a Rule v players in order to be sent down have to be made available to the other teams that could have drafted him for the 100k fee. If no teams want him, he must be offered to the Phillies for 50k. If they don’t want him back, then the Twins can send him to the minors. If they have traded for him, he is no longer under rule v. After all that and he is still a Twins player, if the Twins want his 40 man spot they can DFA him.
  11. There are times I am not bothering with articles anymore. This is should have been one of them. Rankings have bias. Fangraphs FV has a bias towards performance at higher levels. The article once again is clickbait.
  12. Wallner had the second highest OBP last year. Considering the horrendous t start last year, he might actually be the best choice.
  13. fangraphs.com/buying-generic-plate-appearances-by-lineup-spot/ They on’t let ne put the link in, but you should be able to figure out how to get there. I thought I had credited rotgraphs for it. Then there is the problem that TD is giving me 2 point type to try to read when making a comment. Sorry if any words ere autocorrected into something unintelligible it must be a fefarious plot to keep me from posting
  14. Diff Batting 1st 4,856 22,598 4.65 0.43 600.00 – Batting 2nd 4,856 22,077 4.55 0.32 586.17 13.83 Batting 3rd 4,856 21,530 4.43 0.21 571.64 28.36 Batting 4th 4,856 21,039 4.33 0.11 558.61 41.39 Batting 5th 4,856 20,569 4.24 0.01 546.13 53.87 Batting 6th 4,856 20,054 4.13 (0.09) 532.45 67.55 Batting 7th 4,856 19,485 4.01 (0.21) 517.35 82.65 Batting 8th 4,856 18,923 3.90 (0.33) 502.42 97.58 Batting 9th 4,856 18,305 3.77 (0.45) 486.02 113.98 Total 43,704 184,580 4.22 – 544.53 55.47 PA/GS: Plate Appearances per Game Started PADiff/G: Plate Appearance difference per Game Started PADiff/600: PADiff/G prorated to 600 PAs From rotographs
  15. I doubt anybody is worried about service time. If Canterino is paid less being in the minor leagues it would be a budget thing for this year.
  16. The only two players who don’t need to be worried about starting fast are Buxton and Correa. The players out of potions might have to worry about splinters. In general it is not a fast start that is needed, it is being competent. If they are looking lost at the plate then change will happen.
  17. So where is the statistical analysis of size mattering for 1b play? It would take a fairly large sample size.
  18. Cleveland trades for Framber Reyes types who have one year of 1.5 war than perform at replacement level for a couple years before they move on from them.
  19. I was going too add the last begat of “let us try something different”
  20. Lance Lynn begat Perez, who begat Hill who begat Happ and Schumacher who begat Bundy and Archer
  21. Yup, 63% of all private industry jobs are created by small businesses. Them there tax cuts are going to create lots of jobs
  22. Worse yet, i think they were mostly the minor league players. I a not going to check that closely, but I think Funderburke has been pitching the late innings, aka vets, go hit the shower
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