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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. Nunez should be getting more at bats as he has an OPS of 2.000. One game shouldn't be what makes or breaks a season. At this point I would say that there are about 20 players underperforming expectations. There is nothing definative about the season.
  2. Negativity has won, why bother to post
  3. I am starting to think that being a pitcher for the Twins is like being a drummer for Spinal Tap
  4. There can be the stubborn my opinion based on my facts as I see them attitude that gets in the way of discussing any form of what am outsider would call reality. The implosion of the 2011 Twins is sort of unique in that it was mutiple injuies,bad trades catching up, bad luck in drafting catching up, Liriano and Morneau;s brains being scrambled as well as age and attrition. Other teams went from first to worst and stayed down a while. The Texas Rangers may be on their second cycle if this. Cleveland went through it. Someone might have to talk Ben off the ledge if it Atlanta going to go though it. it happens to teams For wh
  5. NL teams get first crack at players from NL teams. Even if the Twins had put in a claim the Cardinals would get him. The Twins would have had to trade for him. Perhaps there were no less than A prospects that the Giants wanted from the Twins as Sabean is still mad about AJ
  6. There is constructive criticism and then there is negativity. When the threads come across as just more negativity to the reader it is a turn off. One thread and done. There are other places to go.
  7. . The problem that most pitchers have that ruin their success is the ball never making it to the catcher. To bring the pitcher to the level that it matters if it Lecroy vs Lucroy catching would usually mean a plane ticket to the next higher level.
  8. Depends on what you call average. Last year there were only 21 RF had qualified numbers. If Hunter were an average bat, what of the others filling out on the other 9 teams. If you include all RF who had 300 AB, Hunter looks to be about a the 1/3 point, or well above average. Against league average for all RF, Hunter's numbers look real good. In the numbers games it is all how you want to spin it.
  9. Brad Johnson or Chis Weinke might have had the most success as a past FSU qb in the NFL. Mauer might have had a similar type career in the NFL Bowden might have won another championship or 2 as Mauer would have beat out Chris Rix and the rest of the team was very good. If he would have been viewed as the top qb instead of Alex Smith in 2005 , he might have received the about 50 million contract. You do have to remember that Mauer's health and luck was pretty golden when it came contract time
  10. Even though there is a reduction in factors for 2009-2011, the grades for those classes to determine success or failure can really only be an incomplete. What Gibson, Wimmers and Hicks will develop into is far from determined. If Hicks follows Hunter's career arc this could be his year. Granted he did not perform as well as Hunter did at a similar age, he still could develop to be above average. That would probably make the pick a winner for the slot over time. Gibson could be a better starter than a 1.2 WAR. The numbers Ball came up with were to look at a fair sample size of a player's performance. None of these players have had the chance for that. I would not disagree that the arly numbers are a red flag
  11. 84-78 for all of the teams in the Central Division. Ron Manfred breaks down contemplating a 5 team playoff scenario and appoints Bud Selig to solve the problem beacause who else could make a bad situation worse. Selig rules that the Twins get a first round bye. The Twins end up the luckiest team in baseball in the playoffs. That is due in part because both Mauer and Hunter are injured and the rest of the team never heard of losing in the playoffs before. I am only serious in that I believe the tams in the Central will be mediocre. I think Brock is correct in his take on the Royals.
  12. Hank Sanchez, Kyle Waldrop, Matt Fox and Jay Ranville kind of negate a little bit of the luster from those 3 drafts
  13. In Parker's time period the Twins drafted players between picks 14 and 50 in the first round. Of those 11 picks 4 have made it to the major leagues and have produced positive bWAR. Of the 222 players drafted in that time frame in those slots 67 have made it to the majors and have produced positive bWAR. From that standpoint the Twins do not look bad. Over that time period 27 players in that group have produced at least 4 bWAR, the Twins drafted one. Again,for those players drafted. The Twins sucess rate was about average. Unfortunately, they needed to do better than average. They needed to be lucky and get a very good player, 7 over that time period have produced a bWAR greater than 10, and they did not.
  14. How do the statistics change if you throw out the supplemental first round players? Some years there were 14 supplemental players, some years 34. What is a first rounder one year is a second rounder another
  15. It is pretty much out of the shortstop's control if there is someone on base so the put out is a DP or not. The higher the % of plays a shortstop makes that are a DP could indicate there is a groundball pitcher or pitchers who put a lot of runners on base. I don't think it reflects on the shortstop. If there is a baserunner and there is a play involving the shortstop, be it put out or being in the middle of the double play, the % should be near 100 for success rate.
  16. He wa GM, not president of baseball operations. Howard Fox was between Griffith and Bell. I kind of recall Fox was not in the scouting department
  17. Point of clarification please. Jerry Bell headed the sports facility comission before working for the Twins. Wouldn't Calvin Griffith have been the last baseball person to run the Twins?
  18. Do they still have to be wearing a Twins uniform
  19. Players seem to prefer to havedefined roles. Closer, set up, 7th inning. That is why Perkins gets mentally ready for any 9th inning that matters in a Twins game. I would have imagined Swarzak was gettting ready to go anytime a couple of the pitchers no longer with the team started. Not everybody is wired to ake an undefined riole. Maybe it is easier for Fein to pitch to the 4-5-6 hitters in the 8th inning than the 7-9 hitters in the 9th. Through the years there have been few people that I know could work with undefined roles. There have been attempts to try closer or bullpen by committee yet few last the season.
  20. Except for when he started, Stauffer has not pitched 60 innings in a season. It does build a case for not overusing your bullpens as perhaps the decline is as much due to overuse as age
  21. Nunez would get about $1 million, that is cheap insurance for a disaster.
  22. Delmon Young agreed to a contract for $2.25 million with incentives to 3 million. Think Delmon has a charmed life? He has collected post season checks the last 6 years. Baseball people can be superstitious , is Delmon being paid to be a good luck charm?
  23. did resting the winter before help Hicks?
  24. Very rare does a shortstop come up as a 5 WAR player, very few can maintain it. If Moncada had a career 25 war for his first 6 years, it would put him near the top of the post steroid era shortstops. At 6 mil/war, 80 million signing costs (high estimates), that would leave 70 million for salary. That might be doable. and not think you have blown through money. If he is Aybar rather than Tulo good you would not have such a good deal
  25. Maybe they are going all in on Yoan Lopez. That could be more to their risk aversion side.
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