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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    Do you do single factor analysis in complex situations?
  2. old nurse
    As a guide that is about as accurate as a defensive metric there is decline with age. How much decline is going to vary with each individual. There is nothing definitive about an aging curve. Yes there is an average line there. How wide is the spread of the data plots? As Plouffe has an injury history, it would be more likely for him to be below the curve. If he trains well, eats well, etc, that could bring him above the curve. Dozier plays a position that see wear and tear. Again, there are factors that push above or below the line. What skills age faster? Are those the skills that these guys rely on? Age alone means little.That should be evident from the curves from 2 different eras.
  3. old nurse
    a few more beers
  4. old nurse
    Sveum played only a some games at 2b. After he missed a season with injury he was never the same player, either. Dozier has had 2 years above average play at 2b. Even being inconsistent will make you an above average 2b. Neither is enough to say sign Dozier to a long term contract. 28 and how many years of team control versus the life expectancy of a MI remaining good without chemical preservatives?
  5. old nurse
    The Twins probably wouldn't have had quite the pitching prospects they were looking for,, but dang.
  6. old nurse
    Beane can draft pitchers but his 2014 position players were acquired by trade or FA (Crisp, Moss, Cespedes). Even then, this year his rotation this year was mostly acquired through trades due to injuries
  7. old nurse
    Many Cubans have come over. For every Abrue there is a Miranda. The thing is the price has gone up. The Sox won their gamble, the Yankees did not. Miranda's Cuban statistics were as good as Abrue's. That is why it is hard to put any faith in Cuban statisics. Chapman has been a flamethrower to come out of Cuba. You do not know if they will be able to adjust to the speed.
  8. old nurse
    68 million over the last 7 years netted Santana, Arcia, Vargas, with the promise of Sano, Polanco, Kepler, Thorpe Diaz, et al. There may be 20 that did not work out, but there return.
  9. old nurse
    Many of us might not mind the condition where your age went down a year rather than up, but Tomas just turned 24
  10. old nurse
    This is where the analytics department comes into play. Is there going to be more of an improvement in his offense. If yes then sign
  11. old nurse
    Since I have been called demented on this board a time or two, help me out here. When has there ever been a front loaded contract outside of the Cardinals? The only reason to frontload a Dozier contract is to trade him long before the contract is up.
  12. old nurse
    If they could extend Zimmerman you have a brilliant idea. I would say that is a huge if.
  13. old nurse
    Still think he is Viciedo lite. I also think he was a better option than what the Twins have ready for the OF.
  14. old nurse
    When organizational filler is your all star at 2b and outfield you might have a hole or two in your system.
  15. old nurse
    http://www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20141126&content_id=101064366&fext=.jsp&vkey=news_milb&sid=milb
  16. old nurse
    Which you will not get with 2 players taking 36% of your payroll
  17. old nurse
    Molitor is a far different person than Gardenhire. If he looks at baseball a different way than Gardenhire you have your change. You do not know what thoughts Gardenhire ignored, or what he took in from others You do not know the same for Molitor. New ways of thinking is a nebulous term. What do people expect to happen? There is a new pitching coach so that leaves offense and defense. If there were different people running the team Parmelee would turn into an 800 OPS sort of player and play defense? If there were different people running the team Parmelee would turn into an 800 OPS sort of player he was at AA and play stellar defense? Those that complain of the no outside voices, tell me where the staff failed Parmellee to not be the player he was in the minors.
  18. old nurse
    Can anyone claim any of the coaching hires do not know their baseball? At best you could make that claim for Everyday Eddie. Know one really knows the work he has done coaching to say one way or another.
  19. old nurse
    Uggla or Utley, which one will Dozier become as he ages?
  20. old nurse
    If Plouffe can stay healthy for a couple years he will get a big payday as a 3B, not LF. As a 2b Dozier is not near as valuable as Saeger, though he could get there as long as he works on his defense.
  21. old nurse
    The hard push to sign Hunter may be a hard push to sign a veteran backup kind of contract This is the Twins, you know.
  22. old nurse
    Castillo was a salary dump, by the Marlins, even though his salary really wasn't that outrageous for his production. The prospects were pretty minimal
  23. old nurse
    The creator of the screwdriver did not set out to invent a prybar.
  24. old nurse
    Consider if Santana became league average for AL shortstops the last 5 seasons in BB%(6%) and K% (slightly less than 17%). He would be striking out less, but walking more. In a 400 AB season, it would result in about 16 more balls in play. That would not be enough to offset regression. On the other hand, if his 2013 AA season was indicative of what Santana could do, BA .297, K% 16, BB% 4.1 his BABIP was .353 Less strikouts, but also less walks. Thus it ofsets regression of his BABIP if while stiking out less, he also gets less bases on balls
  25. old nurse
    Blockbuster time? Arcia, Pinto, and May or Meyer for Walker, Saunders, and Hicks (AAA catcher). I would start out offering Aaron Hicks and another prospect rather than Arcia, but if they are in win now mode it might not do it.
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