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GNess

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Everything posted by GNess

  1. GNess
    If trading Buxton only nets "maybe" one Top 100 prospect why would the Twins trade him unless he absolutely demanded a trade.
  2. GNess
    Judging trades by winning or losing is rather arbitrary and frankly doesn't really provide much insight because trades are best understood in context. With this series of trades the FO did the following: - Emptied out one of the best bullpens in MLB. It will likely take a few seasons to build it back. No need to move Duran, Varland or Jax given the money saved with the Correa trade. Furthermore, gutted the bullpen by trading Stewart for Outman - which made almost no sense. - Surrendered the 2026 season most likely, especially so if they trade Lopez or Ryan and subsequently see Buxton waive his no trade clause. - Put significant value in acquiring future assets seeking upside development. Which is far from certain particularly given that the Twins haven't been real successful developing talent. I imagine the sheer number of prospects added will see at least a few contribute eventually. - Reduced payroll possibly just to the financial benefit of ownership if some / most of the saved payroll isn't used on players who are ready now to help the Twins compete. This looks like a serious reset for the franchise and not necessarily for the better at least in the short to medium term,
  3. GNess
    Yes. The premise that the AL Central is weak enough for the Twins to contend seems dubious.
  4. GNess
    This projection looks like a floor/baseline for the Twins in 2026. (And not a very encouraging one at that.) Not sure what resources if any beyond smart trades, they'll have to make some moves to improve things, but this roster needs some moves.
  5. GNess
    It would be a surprise if Roden's bat is as good or better than Larmach's.
  6. GNess
    The Twins are in an awkward self-imposed spot n which they are semi-competitive if they keep Buxton, Lopez, Ryan and Jeffers. But they are actually a good bit away from being a serious threat. While they have reasonable depth in the minors, it's not like they have a bunch of high end prospects who project as MLB All-Star level players. (Jenkins? Who else?) Nor have they shown much expertise in bringing out the best in the prospects they have had and do have currently. Most professional franchises which find themselves in such a spot lean heavily into trying tø spend and trade their way out or tear it down and become really adept at acquiring prospects and effectively developing them into productive major leaguers. This is premised on the idea that the organization is genuinely interested in competing for championships. I remain a skeptic in terms of the actual intentions of ownership and the FO. based on their actions and inactions. Given those parameters it would appear the Twins may be experiencing a prolonged bout of mediums and lows. Like many others I will stick around to watch it unfold and support the Twins with hopes that somehow they'll thread the needle. (Maybe that makes us a small part of the problem inasmuch as it in some ways allows for the organization to maintain the status quo.)
  7. GNess
    I don't understand the. need to be concerned about the emotional, mental and spiritual state of Twins fans on TD. It's ok to be excited about the young emerging players or to grouse about the incompetence that brought the Twins to this place. Both seem valid to me.
  8. GNess
    Jackson strikes out....often.
  9. GNess
    Trading Lopez or Ryan might cause Buxton to waive his no trade clause. I imagine the return if MLB ready players / pitchers could keep Buck in place.
  10. GNess
    Does the projected upside of Gonzalez, Jenkins and/or Rodriguez allow the Twins to move on from Larnach and/or Wallner - likely the case. One obvious caution - I recall that both Larnach and Wallner crushed minor league pitching on their way to the big leagues as well.
  11. GNess
    I guess a trade for Vlad Guerrero fell through so the Twins went to Plan B and installed Clemens as the starting 1B in November.
  12. GNess
    If the Twins can't find a SS option clearly better than Lee internally or in the bargain bin of free agency they. just need to go with Lee. Why waste very limited resources on a player who doesn't provide a likely upgrade. Sad reality for a franchise that seems to draft SS on the regular.
  13. GNess
    Bravo Twins FO.
  14. GNess
    I am not inspired by these quotes - at all.
  15. GNess
    If I give Shelton a fair chance or not doesn't really matter. If he gets the Twins to develop and on a solid path towards success I will praise him, if he fails to do so I will wonder why he was hired in the first place.
  16. GNess
    I am not sure yet what to think of this hire, but it feels somewhat like a Rocco redo.
  17. GNess
    It ˆs commonplace to point to successful outliers such as Houston or Baltimore and conclude, "we can do that - they did it." Well, first it is not that simple because championship level player evaluation, player development, timing of trades and increasing expenditures are a product of skill, ability and a touch of luck by the key decision-makers in the process. What about the Twins key decision-makers make it likely they can pull this off? I guess there is hope.
  18. GNess
    As is common for a major re-build such that the Twins are conducting players improving their performance is crucial. Unfortunately, it is a huge challenge for so many players to do so: Lewis, Lee, Wallner/Larnach, Julien, Abel, Matthews, Festa, Sands et al. But I agree with many posters - Lewis is by far the most impactful if the Twins are to be competitive.
  19. GNess
    The Twins are simply not in a position to cut the production potential that Lewis still possesses. What other realistic option do they currently have at 3B? Do they need more holes to fill?
  20. GNess
    Good article which brings in to focus the idea of relative value. The context for the Twins is it doesn't appear that the FO believes they can contend next season therefore trade all their valuable current assets for future assets. In my mind that is faulty logic that sets up 100 loss seasons. Most successful rebuilds have a few core productive players on which to build. (Lopez would be such a core player!)
  21. GNess
    Well stated. As a fan I would prefer consistent excellence, but that''s not realistic so I try to enjoy all phases of being a fan. That includes when the team is struggling to get it right and sharing my views and learning of others' views of what is going right/wrong with the team with a community of Twins fans such that gather on Twins Daily can be embraced as a positive part of the experience.
  22. GNess
    A small-mid spending team like the Twins has even more pressure to draft well. Here are the first round picks for the Twins since 2015: 2015 Tyler Jay 2016 Alex Kirilloff 2017 Royce Lewis / Brent Rooker 2018 Trevor Larnach 2019 Keoni Cavaco 2020 Aaron Sabato 2021 Chase Petty / Noah Miller 2022 Brooks Lee 2023 Walker Jenkins ./ Charlee Soto 2024 Kalen Culpepper 2025 Marek Houston / Riley Quick Looks mediocre at best.
  23. GNess
    If the Twins tear it down completely as your scenario plays out - wow that would be really grim. That's a roster that would have almost no chance to even be semi-competitive.
  24. GNess
    Lee is more likely better suited to a role as a. utility player. He has a little pop in his bat and can reasonably play SS, 3B and 2B. At his age there is still room for improvement even as an athlete with a great off-season program so it may be too early to make a determination on him. Complicating matters for Brooks is the up coming competition. Culpepper and Houston who both seem to be potentially tracking to be better options at SS long term.
  25. GNess
    Great info about Twins draft and develop results - but kind of depressing.
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