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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. Game recap is up, so let's continue conversation there. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/34928-front-page-twins-game-recap-915-bad-defense-costs-twins-in-series-finale/
  2. If the Twins actually make the highest bid, and it's turned down, they won't want to directly say so, but they have their favorite reporters to whom they can make off-the-record hints to that effect and get the message into the papers and other outlets. They don't dare play that kind of PR game falsely, lest the player in question quietly say, "um, no," when asked to confirm. And so, in turn, when we don't see these scoops published by the usual outlets, it's a pretty good indication that that didn't happen. Players aren't turning down our good money. They're turning down our inferior money.
  3. If you go to his game log on b-r.com https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=rogerta01&t=p&year=2019 and click twice on the DR (days rest) column, this sorts his games with 0 days rest at the top. You can give him a pass for one or two worst outliers, and it's still pretty visible that he's been a different pitcher than his normally spotless self Or, you can sort on the Earned Runs column, and see that in the 11 games where he gave up any, 4 were with rest and 7 were without rest, which is basically the opposite of that ratio when he didn't give up a run. This way of looking at it reduces the impact of one bad game, because you're not looking at averages, but just counting "good game" and "bad game". Last year was a little less extreme, but of the same general pattern. I wouldn't be surprised if this were typical for relievers, and as always with relievers you are right to be wary of Small Sample Size, but I don't think this ought to be ignored.
  4. Cleveland Hall of Famer Steve Karsay, and some guy named Frank. (I hope I did the math correctly.) PS: so as to not jinx anything, I have been doing the Cleveland magic number updates only when the Twins win.
  5. Moderator's note: Your post prompted me to re-visit this thread. My reading of it is that it's rather balanced. And let's please not go off on a tangent that discusses the discussion, nor tries to lump groups of posters together. People are entitled to hold opinions.
  6. "Liked" if only because I'm a big fan of Jorge's demeanor.
  7. 18 innings of bullpen tomorrow. In a just world this be Fien, guys. This should really be Casey Fien.
  8. Please take a moment to introduce yourself in this other thread we have here: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/30592-get-to-know-each-other/
  9. "Acceptable" being also a charitable description of my imaging skilz.
  10. I hope the Twins make the same mistake with their next 22.9 K/9 guy.
  11. Just looking at his monthly breakouts... Snyder started well then hit a slump at exactly the wrong time, otherwise I think he would have gotten a mid-season promotion to high-A. Then he turned it around, and produced the season he did. It all comes down to timing, sometimes. It's only his second year in the pros, so there are competing motivations how quickly to move him. He's both old (calendar) and young (pro experience).
  12. Yeah, I was a bit gobsmacked by no-Polanco in yesterday's lineup. I guess the silver lining is that Ehire stepped in and took whatever injury bullet may have been destined for Jorge. It looks for all the world as if Rocco has pushed all his chips in on this 3-game road series in Cleveland. But this is based on an assumption of optimal lineups (modulo the handedness of the opposing pitcher, in a few cases) in each of the three games. If we don't see that, then I don't know what to say. And staking a lot on any series is really risky for any number of reasons. It's as if Rocco looked at the 1964 Phillies and decided that the solution was to pitch Bunning and Short and Mahaffey once every ten days each, down the stretch. Withholding further judgement until after the weekend.
  13. Not to brag, but I give John Bonnes the cold shoulder every time he reaches out to contact me. Because I'm just that big a deal.
  14. Got an early morning tomorrow, so I'm going to have to miss out on the fantastic comeback by our guys. Good night and Go Twins!
  15. Anti-ninja'd! / edit - and, ninja'd by SQUIRREL
  16. Three runs against Corbin. I should have taken the over.
  17. Which makes me worry if the option is 1B when Castro is catching.
  18. Well, the Sleestak just unleashed something, crossing up his catcher.
  19. These pretty well summarize my view this inning (and probably earlier). It's charitable toward Gibby, but enuf's enuf. And of course while I'm typing, he registers a K. / edit - and of course while I was typing that addendum, the run scoring double happened.
  20. For a middle infielder, Schoop is just not a very fast man.
  21. Thank you Eddie. But we need a lead, in case the game gets shortened.
  22. Little flick of the wrists give Arraez a standup double. Great effort to results ratio.
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