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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    I like Hand but if you drop Hand and include Jovani Moran, you get Diaz without ruining your budget. Moran is good and getting better.
  2. tony&rodney
    I put a quick team together when this first came out and almost immediately made another one that was different and included Edwin Diaz. I paid him $20 million. It will be interesting to see how MLBTradeRumors pegs Diaz salary. I think Diaz would be an excellent addition for the Twins.
  3. tony&rodney
    Yes, thank you. I do know how WAR is calculated. I'm aware of the idea. People often take WAR as a value of a player, however, and this is not accurate. No team would sign Urshela for $18.9 million and the Twins may part ways with a really good player like Urshela over a possible salary of $9.2 million.
  4. tony&rodney
    Enlow is likely kept and I hope the Twins keep Stashak, but I think he gets left off the 40 person squad.
  5. tony&rodney
    I missed what expansion team did that.
  6. tony&rodney
    WAR is a fair number for relative value but it is time to totally and completely dismiss the financial value that Fangraphs, which I have read since its origination, attaches to the number. The WAR for the Twins gives us a value of more than $250 million for this years team. Enough said. Urshela presents a dilemma because his expected contract is reasonable and he has proven to be quite a good player the last few years, but there are questions about how to allocate budget, who plays where, and do certain players have any trade value. I believe the Twins should keep Urshela if their payroll will be at or above $140 million. He is a good player and unlikely to return a prospect or player of significant value.
  7. tony&rodney
    Pohlad doesn't have much of an interest in baseball. He is generally active in the community, a good business man, and baseball is a good business. If the team begins to lose money, Pohlad will raise an eyebrow. He has more important concerns in his life.
  8. tony&rodney
    Luis Arraez totally agrees with this statement. However, a healthy Jorge Polanco is a better player in the field, on the bases, and at the plate. So there is the dilemma and the answer to why Luis Arraez played first base so often this season. Can the team benefit from a trade of one of these two players? Both are very talented and exciting players who could be amazing for years. Both have injury backgrounds and questions about health. This is an example of where Falvey proves he is capable (or not).
  9. tony&rodney
    LF. SS. Time to find out if he can play.
  10. tony&rodney
    Yes, many people would like Arraez as a DH. That group of folks does not include Arraez. He hates being a DH.
  11. tony&rodney
    Makes sense for Smeltzer and the Twins to part ways. He never fit the profile of an analytic pitcher. The Twins gave him some experience and it was time to move on.
  12. tony&rodney
    Jeffers is not a catch and throw guy. He gets exploited by the better teams. More concerning is that Jeffers really struggles to block balls and pitchers have no confidence throwing the ball in the dirt. The Twins need a starter behind the plate who is defensively strong. The post is correct in that the Twins are all in on Jeffers. Why? I don't know because I cannot understand this position.
  13. tony&rodney
    Celestino can't seem to control his thoughts. Before every pitch a player needs to know how they will react to the subsequent action. Gilberto gets overly excited and imagines himself as Superman with his running and throws. Hopefully this can be contained and Celestino can allow his physical talents to achieve success. Correa is a classic shortstop. He gets to a ton of balls and makes the throw needed for every play. He reminds me of Roy Smalley. Arraez is such a fun player to watch at the plate. Arraez is not fun to watch in the field. Despite the comments from Baldelli and many fans supporting our batting champ's glove, I'm comfortable in saying that Arraez has not shown himself to be adequate in the field. I'm conflicted as to where he can play or how Luis returns the most value to the Twins. I do wonder if he could be traded for something wonderful.
  14. tony&rodney
    Sadly, I thought the same thing.
  15. tony&rodney
    Austin Martin does seem like a player that might run with an opportunity. If the Twins aren't going to sign Correa or Turner, then it could be interesting to see what Martin can do. He looked a little rough this summer at shortstop but the Twins are apparently not that into defense as a part of their strategy. Martin might surprise us, in a good way. Maybe.
  16. tony&rodney
    The difference is that the guys Atlanta have signed long term are more multi-dimensional players than Arraez. I hope you understand that this is not a diss on Luis but just an explanation of the type of player that is handed a long term contract early. Arraez is excellent but he is different than the Atlanta guys. It remains to be seen whether the Twins would offer a large long term deal to Arraez, but it doesn't seem real obvious that they would at this point.
  17. tony&rodney
    Nimmo is an interesting choice and he is a good player too, although he would be another left handed bat. He does have a better glove than all of our lefties though; I like him. I believe the Twins might have some difficulty outbidding the Mets. The price will likely be above Buxton.
  18. tony&rodney
    Arraez is more fun to watch hit than Correa and winning a batting title is impressive, but I would vote for Correa when all things are considered. Arraez is certainly a good choice though, no quibbles.
  19. tony&rodney
    Atlanta has extended some pretty athletic players. Polanco and Kepler fit the profile and Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee may be reasonable bets. I wouldn't put Arraez, who is a wonderful bat, or Miranda in the same category as Albies, Acuna Jr., Riley, or Harris II. Arraez may be a better bat now but he doesn't fit in the field as smoothly. The idea is worthwhile though. I don't think the Dobnak contract will cause much disruption for the Twins.
  20. tony&rodney
    You are correct - the Blue Jays may be an opportunity to upgrade our catching. I chose Moreno because he is the most athletic. I agree with a comment that suggested the Twins would need to include some player(s) not from the 40 person roster. I do think this it is necessary to overpay if one believes it advantageous to add a guy. Trades are always difficult to predict. For example, it is reasonable to argue both for and against the trade of Chase Petty for Sonny Gray. The key would be any interest from Toronto. I could see either Arraez or Miranda as a center piece plus either Celestino or Gordon and some additions like Ober or Winder, Noah Miller and a much lesser prospect. All I really know is that the Twins need a catcher. Sanchez was much improved (almost average) behind the plate from his past traumas in New York, but he is getting slow at the plate and his cost doesn't match the production in total. The Twins just need some changes.
  21. tony&rodney
    It's kind of sad that too many Twins fans ridicule the very thought of a suggestion of someone like Aaron Judge playing for Minnesota. Have we been conditioned to accept lesser players or have we lost any hope for something grand to occur or is our reality tied to the notion that someone like Judge would never come and play for the Twins combined with the concept that the contract would totally debilitate the Twins? The Mauer contract has too often been cited as an example of a deal that tied the hands of building a roster. The notion was ridiculous from its first mention. The actual fact is that Mauer made a ton of money for the Twins. He was a bargain and never in the slightest inhibited payroll. Are Twins fans still opposed to large contracts? I don't know but the comments on Correa too often cite his salary. The best guess I would make is that Aaron Judge signs with San Francisco and his contract is never an issue for that fan base. The Twins can win with a low budget team if they have the athletes in place. I hope they find the right combination of players. I'm also fine with a low budget. I would suggest that Aaron Judge is not a bad player to have on your team if you want to win a few games and get entertained. I mean, he would immediately become the best bet to steal a base that the Twins have seen in a few years. FWIW, I don't believe the Twins are interested though. The question is ... why not?
  22. tony&rodney
    All three have some promise. The trick is how do the Twins get each of them to sign? These are three guys I like as long shots to continue their careers in the Twins minor league system.
  23. tony&rodney
    A suggestion to pursue Aaron Judge is a metaphor for hope/change. If you follow baseball and are aware of the importance of Aaron Judge to the New York Yankees and also their financial might, you also understand the minuscule percentage of a chance for a team like the Minnesota Twins in signing Aaron Judge. Nevertheless, it is a reality that anything can happen and those predictions of the 2023 Twins rosters that are identical to the current roster are just dread, even if they are correct. Hope and optimism needs some positive thinking and a return of a boring product with mediocre players and/or injury prone players across the board are just not worth the read. I don't expect that Falvey will even go so far as to contact Judge's age with a query, but I am hopeful that some reflection and levity arrives to create some positive change for the future of the Minnesota Twins and I'm fine if that means a roster that is under $100 million.
  24. tony&rodney
    Wallner had a terrific year and his ability to adapt to each level was critical in his success. He will need to continue his growth at the plate going forward and it seems like he has the bat speed and quickness to adapt. He does, however, need to make a significant leap in the outfield. Wallner seems athletic enough to succeed on the grass. He needs a ton of repetitions to improve reactions, routes, and flexibility. I think he can improve with a couple of thousand hit his way this winter. Wallner needs to get a place in Arizona or Florida (Ft.Myers ?) and have someone hit 200-300 balls his way four days a week for ten weeks. The upside is there. Congratulations to Matt Wallner on making his MLB debut. Now he needs a little polish.
  25. tony&rodney
    I totally agree. Actually we have several years of evidence of what Falvey will do and what he will say. Bundy and Archer had pretty fair seasons, but it was a little bit of a downer to know that this was an expectation for our acquisition of pitchers. Pagan did his best Colome and the Twins never wavered in their support for him. WE can mimic Falvey when we put together our make believe rosters or have a little fun. I'll put together some other possible (still unlikely) rosters just for kicks and giggles, using budgets of under $100 million and one stretching out to $150 million. I get my two hours of baseball in various forms. I do like seeing what other people throw out for rosters and appreciate the criticism of my scribbles.
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