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TwinsAce

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Everything posted by TwinsAce

  1. TwinsAce
    I think I'd rather have Smith in the fireman relief role, especially since he can pick up grounder double plays too. Duran makes sense in the 8th or 9th inning. Honestly, Jax is probably next up in some ways, but he is so valuable being able to throw multiple innings too. Duffey is the easy answer, but I'm not fully confident... Maybe until Pagan cleans up his walks?
  2. TwinsAce
    I was curious if that meant he had a lot of looking strikeouts, but doesn't appear to be that way. The only thing that somewhat stuck out below is that maybe he hasn't had too many ABs go deep in his favor. 1 3-0 count so far, 10 2-0, and 3 3-1 counts. (20% total?) Which maybe isn't that out of the ordinary. (Carlos has 21% and Byron has 31%. Random - Byron has swung at all 7 3-1 count pitches. ? ) Jeffers also fouls off a lot of pitches. So maybe he doesn't whiff too often until that final pitch of the inning, when the pitcher attacks with his best pitch to strike him out? Orrrrr we are just talking about super small sample sizes and one of those will adjust at some point.
  3. TwinsAce
    @Jeremy Nygaard - What are your thoughts on Cam Collier? I see Keith Law just dropped his top 100 board and has him ranked second, although obviously not a mock draft. Would you expect Cam to be in the running for the top 10 and the Twins pick? (Sorry if you have mentioned him before.) Looks like Cross is ranked 9th by Law, but Berry is down at 23 due to no future position despite a top 10 bat. https://theathletic.com/3291481/2022/05/05/mlb-draft-prospects-ranking-druw-jones/
  4. TwinsAce
    Agreed - the defense was what shocked me. But at the same time, our starting lineup was mostly put together from secondary players. In addition to the three you mentioned above for defense, Gordon also misread a short flyball to left field that I think he should have caught. Arraez missed a grounder up the middle through the shift that IMO, Polanco probably would have gotten. In a game where the offense scored more than 4 runs, the defense did us in. (Plus Bundy probably struggling mentally after all of the defensive miscues.)
  5. TwinsAce
    I will say, with how nice Lewis is doing at AAA, I'm feeling better if we lost Buxton or Correa for a time since there is a good chance he'd be called up to fill the gap. Not ideal since we are talking about superstars down to potential superstar, but not horrible. I think C is the biggest worry, but at the same time, those AAA catchers can all fill the spot okay. I'm excited for Miranda to get hopefully a decent run in the majors. I'm hopeful but nervous about AK's wrist though...
  6. TwinsAce
    Maybe we can secretly trade with them via the Pirates? Give the Pirates some extra pop money for helping us out?
  7. TwinsAce
    I love watching our starting pitching right now. I'm okay with the 4-6 innings by the majority of the pitchers, especially with Winder piggybacking with Archer. I think this can be quite successful, especially if one pitcher (Ryan??) can work effectively into the 7th inning consistently with a low pitch count.
  8. TwinsAce
    I hear ya. I looked at who was coming up after that double and was like...uh oh, this isn't good. Doesn't lighten up until the 8th spot. I would say that it didn't make it easy to watch though with how far off some of those pitches were. Also - we don't win unless Jeffers dominates like he did in the 9th behind the plate. Between arguably stealing some close pitches as strikes (including the last one) and blocking that ball in the dirt, that was impressive.
  9. TwinsAce
    The only reason a premier defender like Buxton would DH would be if he was the starting pitcher the same day...
  10. TwinsAce
    Some good quotes in the Bundy article by Hayes at the Athletic yesterday regarding pitch count limits, etc. “We have a bigger statement to make,” Bundy said. “Every guy in the rotation can go deeper into games and we will, going forward. We’ve just got to be built up to that and do it safely. At some point, you’ll see all five, six of us going deeper in games.” https://theathletic.com/3244833/2022/04/12/twins-starter-dylan-bundy-is-ready-to-work-deeper-into-games-after-masterful-debut/?source=dailyemail&campaign=601983
  11. TwinsAce
    I think it is key to remember how early in the season we are...We are at the standard March spring training phase, with most starters expecting 1-2 more starts before the regular season starts. I think the Twins are doing just fine and are being smart in their usage of their pitchers so far. (Especially when arguably our biggest concern with Archer is staying healthy.) I would expect their innings to increase as the season goes on.
  12. TwinsAce
    And now we know why it is a PTBNL. They are waiting for Fangraphs to be updated. ? Seems like good news if Ken's comment about $2 million+ valuation (and so 40 FV) is true. Last year's Fangraphs list has their 10-25 prospects all at 40 FV, so seems reasonable that they found roughly 6 prospects to have on the list in that range as options.
  13. TwinsAce
    With 3 votes having the Twins in 3rd place and 2 having them with a 75-87 record, I like that you were the 3rd vote for 3rd place, but with a 85-77 record. I probably feel similar in that I expect the Twins to do well (in that same 87-84 win range), but that the Tigers will do better than expected and it will arguably be a three team race until September at least.
  14. TwinsAce
    No roster listed in this post? Or maybe this wasn't intended to be the same as the 2022 Wichita Wind Surge / Cedar Rapids Opening Day Roster Previews. Thanks for the fun quotes from Toby. I'm excited to see how the lineup and starting pitchers do. I'm assuming the starters are Sands, Strotman, Henriquez, Jordan Balazovic, and Chi Chi Gonzalez?
  15. TwinsAce
    Yes - this. And what Terrydactyls just said too. Imagine if a few of those 10 pitchers (or more) win a spot in the Twins rotation sooner than later. And maybe 1-2 (including Duran) end up in the bullpen. That is a lot of cheap pitching and with options and mid-season flexibility. Cleveland gets a lot of grief for not spending money. The Twins though have been willing to spend money on position players and surprised us with the Carlos signing and Buxton's extension. We have a core also that is more talented than the Cleveland position player group. If the Twins pitching can even be top 15 as a young bunch (not even top 5-10 like Cleveland), watch out. That should be a recipe for success. Add in senior pitching options like Maeda or Gray...I like it. Warning - don't expect every prospect to light it up like Ober and Ryan. Some will take their lumps too.
  16. TwinsAce
    I agree - we might have lost a lot of games last year, but it was sunk at the start of the season. We actually treaded water pretty decently towards the end, and that was without a few top flight players we just signed or traded for. I don't see this as a 90 loss team, and neither do projections.
  17. TwinsAce
    I agree - I think Garlick would be a good platoon option for Kepler if they wanted to go that route. Seth - Who would you drop from the 40 man roster for Garlick, if they did keep him? A pitcher like Romero or Stashak? I feel like Enlow is getting too close to use a 60 man roster spot for him. With the 60 day injured list, he could still pitch in AA or AAA games for 30 days though, right? So if the Twins think he is back by May 1st, the 60 day list could still work and buy some time.
  18. TwinsAce
    The one thing I do like about Wallner in the OF is that arm. I'd imagine he would handle RF pretty well for the Twins with the smaller section to worry about and the ability to fire strikes from the corner. Hopefully he hits though! The fact that there were rumors on Conforto and others seems to indicate the Twins would be willing to do a surprise signing in the coming years in the OF, similarly to Correa at SS.
  19. TwinsAce
    I'm guessing this was based directly off of the Fangraph's rankings, correct? And raw power vs. game power? Or did you also look at Game Power and combine them somehow? In that sense, can't really "argue" about the way they were ranked. But interesting to see where Fangraph has some of them ranked. It does look like 60 game raw power potential includes Rosario and Mercedes, which makes sense. Any reason why Rosario wasn't listed as number 4 instead of Miranda? (55/60 vs 55/55?) I think Cavaco surprises a lot, but game power is what fans see in the box scores, which is only 35/55 right now. So kind of exciting to think he still has that potential power to tap into. Below are the hitters ranked in order of game power. Ends up with the same order mostly except Miranda drops a few based on potential game power. After looking at those guys, Cavaco seems like the only surprising 55 player. Wallner - 45/60 Lewis - 40/60 Sabato - 40/55 Cavaco - 35/55 Rodriguez - 25/55 Rosario - 25/55 Mercedes - 20/55 Miranda - 45/50 Urbina - 30/50 Julien - 35/50 Soularie - 35/50 https://blogs.fangraphs.com/minnesota-twins-top-39-prospects-2022/
  20. TwinsAce
    One would think the 2020 weird season (or no season) might be a partial reason for this, right? I look forward to these articles every year. Thanks!
  21. TwinsAce
    I agree - arguably highest upside...but I'm super nervous we won't get to see his full potential.
  22. TwinsAce
    Keith Law said the below on Caterino when ranking him 13th. Seems like the health was the main/only concern Keith had as well. (Other than changeup to continue to improve.) "but the bigger concern is whether his elbow will allow him to do so. If not, add him to the list with fellow Rice alums Jeff Niemann, Wade Townsend, Phil Humber, Cole St. Clair, Jon Duplantier, Ryan Berry, Joe Savery, Kenny Baugh…" https://theathletic.com/3115821/2022/02/09/twins-top-20-prospects-for-2022-keith-law-ranks-minnesotas-farm-system/
  23. TwinsAce
    Law's writeup mentioned that he improved his strikeouts and stuff, but the walk rate increased. Law also pointed out that Sands has struggled with left-handed batters. I added the splits below. Even with the walk rate and left-handed batters, the stat line looks pretty good. Hopefully he continues to excel this year despite being stuck on the 40 man roster. If somehow the lockout doesn't last too long and he starts off hot at AAA (or AA), I could see his chance in the majors coming sooner than later.
  24. TwinsAce
    If I understand things correctly, aren't the minor league seasons on track to start as normal, regardless of a MLB deal? (Since the lockout only impacts MLB players / 40 man rosters / players who were in the majors last year?) f so, I'd imagine there will be a lot more minor league signings as we get closer to April to help fill in the minor league rosters (especially the Saints) where 40 man players were going to start.
  25. TwinsAce
    Ha...I came here to write this same thing (including Kirk.) His contract is an easy target to people who don't notice his solid stats. But I think the other aspect is we were hoping for elite defense still for the first two years and instead we got closer to above average (or average). And the declining speed makes Cruz and Arraez look decently fast. Kind of like how some argued "Why doesn't Mauer hit more homeruns" or how Mauer lost value when going to 1B instead of C.
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