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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. So, score tied, home team batting in the bottom of the 9th or later, runner on second, 0 out. Anyone know how to find the statistic of how frequently an IBB is issued? I would guess far less than 50%. There is much to consider beyond just setting up force plays. Who is following in the lineup or available to pinch hit? Does the pitcher have good control? Is the pitcher skilled at inducing ground balls? Which fielders are playing? And more. Also consider that if the lead runner makes an out there is a runner on base that wouldn't have been there otherwise. With runners on second and third those issues are amplified, plus an IBB brings into play that a subsequent BB, HBP, or catcher's interference loses the game. When Joe Maddon was managing TB he once ordered a bases-loaded IBB. Not in this situation, obviously, but his team wound up winning that game.
  2. I'm sure that one of 29 teams will take him on. Hope the change of scenery does him good.
  3. RsBI.
  4. Incomplete report. What was/will be the corresponding roster move to make room for him? If that has not been announced please say that.
  5. When Blyleven retired he was third in career strikeouts, behind only Nolan Ryan and Steve Carlton. Third!!! That alone should have made him a first ballot inductee.
  6. Pete Rose gambled on his own team while he was managing. That may be even worse than gambling while playing. Whether that justifies exclusion from the HOF I don't know, but it was a major black mark on his record and he deserves consequences of some kind for it.
  7. Be careful about using 2017 as a benchmark for how to approach roster management. That year was an extreme outlier for the AL. There were two outstanding teams, two good teams, two bad teams, and nine mediocre teams. The Twins just happened to be the one of the nine mediocre ones that surfaced for the postseason berth, more by process of elimination than anything. That said, this year is shaping up in a similar way. There are two outstanding teams, four or five teams out of the running, with the remaining eight or nine teams in the fair-to-mediocre range competing for four postseason berths. The possibilities are wide open.
  8. The bad news is that the Twins will not be trading for three impact pitchers. The price would be too high. The good news is that nobody else will be trading for three impact pitchers. The price would be too high.
  9. The reasons presented in these discussions for the Twins to be buyers would also be reasons for the following teams to be buyers: NYY, TB, Bos, Tor, Bal, Cle, CWS, Hou, Sea, NYM, Atl, Phi, Mil, StL, LAD, SD, SF. Including our favorite team that makes 18 teams. 60% of MLB. What makes anyone think that the Twins are so special that we would get everything on our wish list at a bargain? Based on supply and demand it's pretty much a lock that any impact player would be moved only for an egregious overpayment. So should we buy?
  10. Trade him (or anyone else on the roster) if someone offers to overpay. Otherwise, don't. Simple. Yours truly, Captain Obvious
  11. If I were to make a current power ranking that's about where I'd put this team.
  12. Do not concur. If this were 1967 there would be no superpower teams like this year's Yankees, Dodgers, Mets, and Astros. Squeaking into the postseason then meant only having to win 4 games to become champion. This team can not, IMHO, be repaired to the point where getting 13 postseason wins against this year's postseason competition is even remotely likely.
  13. Because this year's reality, frankly, sucks. We have a highly flawed team that is nigh-on impossible to de-flaw. Because we have at least three juggernaut teams to contend with if we even make the postseason. Because the possibilities of the next few years, while not "sure to be there", are still significantly more likely to produce a World Champion than this year's reality. Because trading away the future of the franchise for maybe a couple more postseason wins this year should be a fireable offense. So we'll just have to agree to disagree about me being right and you being wrong.???
  14. OK, fine. But keep in mind that really, the Twins are in about 7th place when you look at the AL as a whole. And if you add in the the NL that puts us in about 14th place out of 30 teams. Now what was it you were saying?
  15. If his knuckler truly is legitimate that's just as good as having a slider or curve or change-up as a third or fourth pitch. Maybe better.
  16. If a player is capable of playing SS at the college level he is almost certainly capable of playing 2B and 3B. That can be sorted out by the player development staff, assuming they know what they are doing.
  17. Isn't that exactly how drafting should be done?
  18. I get it. But I think it is still best to choose the player whom the committee thinks is the best overall player. Trades can be made from a position of strength for a position of need.
  19. A good major league team needs 4 full-time outfielders. In the case of the Twins, I see their outfield in the next few years as Buxton, Celestino, and two of Larnach, Kiriloff, and Kepler. That gives us 2 RHB, 2 LHB, and three (including Kepler) who can play CF. Keep all five, and Kiriloff also becomes part of a platoon at 1B with Sano and gives the team a good overall rotation at DH. That said, go ahead and trade anyone if the price is right.
  20. You all should realize that it's extremely unlikely that the ASG starting lineups will include the most deserving players. Fan voting is an incredibly poor method in that regard. As long as that is in place we have to simply accept the results. The voters get who they want the most. Even the selection of reserves is tainted by the 1-player-from-every-team constraint, among other things. In order to make it a game with truly the best players an impartial algorithm based on something akin to WAR or WPA would need be used.
  21. NIce one. I'll bet you fooled some people. He's a detriment to their pitching staff. 28-16 in games when he appears is far worse than the Yankees' record in games in which he doesn't appear (31-7, 132 win pace).
  22. Disagree. You assess any and every trade by comparing the total outlay and the total return. And we don't know the total outlay or total return until the players involved retire, are released, or leave in free agency. Or are traded, in which case the outlay and return in those trades have to be factored in.
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