Nine of twelve
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Everything posted by Nine of twelve
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The Twins Have All Eggs in Ryan Jeffers’ Basket
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Of all players in major league history who fit this description, we were fortunate (and spoiled) to have had the best ever.- 23 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- mitch garver
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If I were a major leaguer I'd want to play in the field too. But a player still has to do what's best for the team, and what's best for the team is to have its least-skilled fielder serving as DH. And of the organization's top players, that man is probably Arraez. I'm sorry, but that's just how it is.
- 22 replies
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- gilberto celestino
- byron buxton
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That's the case if you want to do things incorrectly and evaluate a trade based only on what is true right now. The correct way to evaluate a trade is to look at career performance. Maybe Alcala will not do anything more, or maybe he'll be highly valuable. My crystal ball is in the shop, so we'll just have to wait and see.
- 25 replies
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- sonny gray
- kenta maeda
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So was Aaron Hicks at age 23. So was Whit Merrifield. So were a lot of other good MLB players. No matter what your opinion of his current status is, it's too soon to know what he will be in 5 years.
- 25 replies
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- sonny gray
- kenta maeda
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OK, let's say for the sake of argument that Arraez' arm strength is above average. But the problem is that his range isn't, his glove isn't, and his speed isn't. With Sano probably gone, and with Buxton, Kiriloff, and Larnach healthy (I hope) I'd like to see him DHing and leading off almost every game.
- 22 replies
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- gilberto celestino
- byron buxton
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The Loss of Smeltzer Brings Dozier to a Close
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm afraid that his peak value was a pretty low peak, and no team would have offered a player who was likely to become a major leaguer.- 15 replies
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- devin smeltzer
- brian dozier
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The Loss of Smeltzer Brings Dozier to a Close
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree about the smoke and mirrors comment in the OP. He could be effective at times, but only at such times when his control was perfect. And if he were right handed with exactly the same stuff he would have been even less likely to succeed. Roster spots need to go to potential up-and-comers, not 27-year-olds who are borderline at best. So it is the proper move to thank him for his efforts and his service and to wish him well in his future endeavors.- 15 replies
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- devin smeltzer
- brian dozier
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Too soon to know. Celestino has been improving and is still pretty young. Alcala has the stuff to be a shut-down reliever if he recovers for next season.
- 25 replies
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- sonny gray
- kenta maeda
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Good point. I had an off-season trade in mind when I wrote my post.
- 25 replies
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- sonny gray
- kenta maeda
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Baseball is so different from the other three major North American sports. This shows how difficult it is to project the future of young players and how long it can take for a young player's skills to develop.
- 17 replies
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- luis arraez
- nick gordon
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Pressly and Berrios were both trading deadline transactions in seasons where the Twins were not going to make the postseason. I doubt either would have been traded if the Twins had been in the race. Would they have been traded at the end of that season? Maybe, although Berrios' contract would have expired. I've said many times that any and every player should be traded if the organization is improved as a result. We got Celestino and Alcala for Pressly, and Martin and Woods-Richardson for Berrios. It's easily possible that we will have won both trades after we look back at it a few years from now. So trading Maeda and/or Gray would not worry me.
- 25 replies
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- sonny gray
- kenta maeda
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The Twins New Shortstop for 2023?
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm not on Twitter, but someone who is told me that there was a tweet that Correa has officially opted out.- 42 replies
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- jose iglesias
- carlos correa
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The Weirdest Move Minnesota Could Make
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As I said, I don't think Pagan is the pitcher Pressly was or is. Nor did I say that I thought the Twins should keep Pagan. The similarity is that, based on his pitches, Pagan should be getting better results than what we have seen. I don't think anyone expects Pagan to suddenly become a lock-down closer. But from what I read he has the pitches that should enable him to give an inning of decent pitching on a regular basis.- 56 replies
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- emilio pagan
- chris paddack
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Will the Twins Pursue Aaron Judge?
Nine of twelve replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Who wouldn't want to have Aaron Judge? But there is no way the Twins will be able to match the offers he will receive elsewhere. Not even close. Big money teams will make big offers, if for no other reason than to jack up the amount the Yankees will be forced to pay. I'll bet the Red Sox will be prominent in that group of teams. (Wonder what Judge would look like with a beard.?) But don't get any ideas; the Yankees *will* be signing him in the end. It's the same situation in which the Twins found themselves in 2010, only amplified to a ridiculous degree. The Twins knew they had no choice other than to meet Mauer's signing requirements, and Mauer and his agent knew that too. The same thing applies here. The Yankees have the wherewithal to beat any other offer and still be OK financially. The Yankees know it, and Judge and his agents know it. And Yankee fans know it. That fan base would be beyond irate if he lands anywhere else. The only thing we don't know yet is how much the Yankees will wind up spending. -
This should play, as long as Kirilloff and Larnach are healthy. I still have hopes that Celestino can be that righty. He's young enough for us to expect improvement, but the improvement has to be there before I'll be convinced.
- 43 replies
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- kyle garlick
- max kepler
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Garlick is the type of player who would be good to have in AAA so that he could fill in occasionally on the major league roster.
- 43 replies
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- kyle garlick
- max kepler
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The Weirdest Move Minnesota Could Make
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The situation with Pagan makes me think of Ryan Pressly. Pressly was underperforming in Minnesota despite having high-level talent. He was traded to Houston and immediately became a major force in the late innings for them, often closing. I don't know if the Twins were mis-coaching him or if he wasn't amenable to coaching or if it was just bad luck, but obviously something clicked for him in Houston that didn't click here. I'm not saying Pagan has Pressly's talent, but my question is whether Pagan's apparent underperformance can be turned around. If we keep Pagan it's critical for our next pitching coach to get the most out of him.- 56 replies
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- emilio pagan
- chris paddack
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One, a team can't expect to receive value in a trade without giving up value. Two, any and every player on the roster (except those with non-trade clauses in their contracts) can and should be traded if the trade will improve the organization. Arraez' value as perceived by potential trading partners may never be higher, so if he were to be traded this would probably be the best time to do that.
- 14 replies
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- luis arraez
- carlos correa
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The Twins' overall BA was .248. The BA with RISP was very nearly the same at .244. While this is not stellar it's not far from the MLB average in a year in which pitching dominated. Honestly, I think terming this as "dreadful" is poor analysis and lazy reporting.
- 66 replies
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- derek falvey
- thad levine
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Royals 4, Twins 1: Royals Sweep Twins
Nine of twelve replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was at the last two games, my first time seeing games there. It was disappointing for sure to watch how we played, but this is not surprising. It's been a tiring season and everyone knows it doesn't matter one bit whether we win any more games or not. We played literally our 6th, 8th, 9th, and 10th-string outfielders and 4th-string catcher today. And speaking of disappointing, I expected to like Kauffman Stadium more than I did. I guess it's a bit unfair, having been spoiled by Target Field for so long. The field itself was nice, and I liked the fountains. But to me the upper deck is a monstrosity. There are a LOT of bad seats way up there. I'll include a photo I took after today's game so you can see what I mean. And I was also underwhelmed by the food and beer choices, although I didn't try any barbecue because I had a good meal of that yesterday afternoon at a small local establishment. That said, I liked the fans and staff I interacted with and I will certainly be back, hopefully under better circumstances. -
I think tanking in baseball is essentially pointless. First, draft-eligible players are much more difficult to project in baseball than in other sports, Second, my guess is that tanking almost never makes more of a change than 2 or 3 positions in the draft anyway. But if it is felt that tanking needs to be discouraged via a lottery, then setting up the lottery so that a team can not advance or descend by more than 3 positions ought to do it. I don't like that a team with the 7th-best record in its league has any chance, even a remote one, to wind up with the first pick. Nor do I like that a team with the worst record has any chance, even a remote one, to wind up with the 18th pick. How could this be done? Here's how I would do it. Choose one of the first four teams in the draft order at random to receive the first pick. For deciding the second pick, add team #5 to the remaining three and choose at random. For the third pick, add team #6 to the remaining three and choose. At that point, if team #1 has not yet been chosen, they get pick number 4. Otherwise add #7 and choose the team for the fourth pick. At that point, if team #2 has not been chosen, they get pick #5. Continue in this manner until the first 18 positions are decided. From that point on the selection order stays as it would have been without a lottery.
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How Certain Should We Be About the 2023 Twins?
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A team can make an offer to a free agent but a team can't just "grab a top tier player or pitcher". Free agency is the reverse of a draft. Teams don't select free agents. Free agents select teams.- 25 replies
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- carlos correa
- jorge lopez
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The Moments that Sank the 2022 Minnesota Twins
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
https://www.statmuse.com/mlb/ask/team-average-with-runners-in-scoring-position This source shows the Twins are 12th in MLB in batting average with RISP. The Twins are also 12th in MLB in batting average as a whole. So based on this their situational hitting does not show ineptitude. They are simply typical.- 34 replies
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- tommy watkins
- emilio pagan
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The Moments that Sank the 2022 Minnesota Twins
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Regarding the position player roster, simply list every injury and that will cover all the moments one needs to consider. No team would be likely to succeed given the number of games key players lost this season. Regarding the pitching staff, see my comment above. There wasn't one key moment, or even fifty-one. The pitchers we had simply weren't successful enough to make Rocco's system work.- 34 replies
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- tommy watkins
- emilio pagan
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The Moments that Sank the 2022 Minnesota Twins
Nine of twelve replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I concur that the bullpen roster, and to a lesser extent the starting roster, was not adequate to succeed given Rocco's philosophy of pitching staff management. I'm not going to comment here about Rocco's philosophy in that regard, but I would be curious to know how much communication there was among Rocco, Falvey, and Levine regarding the type and number of pitchers needed to make his system work. Assuming there was full communication, I would be interested to read what actions you think the front office should have taken.- 34 replies
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- tommy watkins
- emilio pagan
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