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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Brooks Lee is not a starting caliber player at the MLB level currently. He's probably okay as a utility infielder. He doesn't have the physical tools to handle shortstop right now, and given his chronic back issues, I just don't see there being an obvious path to improvement to get to where he'd be able to handle SS on a regular basis.
  2. bean5302
    The Twins are not the source of the $500MM in debt. The Twins franchise is the collateral for it as the Pohlads borrowed against the value of the Twins to support their other failed business ventures. The Pohlads cannot sell the Twins without wiping the debt clear. Once they don't own the Twins, they can't borrow against the team, either. Their cash / liquid asset reserves are undoubtedly insufficient to repay the debt, and by the time they get done with tax gain on selling the franchise, they're probably less liquid selling the team at like $1.2B than they would have been just keeping the team. There's marginal value selling unless they can get the buyer to pay off the giant debt. It would be a good idea for MLB to change rules in regard to allowing owners to borrow against their teams to support other business ventures.
  3. bean5302
    I don't see a significant difference in the quality of the roster between Cleveland and Minnesota the last couple years. What their managers got out of their teams is a huge difference.
  4. bean5302
    It feels fairly clear at least that ownership sets the guideline for the maximum budget for the next year before the current season ends based on historical quotes/articles; however, it also seems clear they're willing to adjust that guideline (Correa x2) if the front office makes a case. Joe Pohlad is not an owner. He's a spokesperson for ownership and liason between ownership and the front office. Whether or not Falvey is a micromanager, I have to believe that's pure speculation on the part of everybody making a comment here. I base my opinion on results Falvey's leadership has brought. Regardless of what his management style is, the results haven't been there.
  5. bean5302
    No idea how Falvey runs the shop. I just know the results haven't been good on the field or in the stands. Falvey is the last stop for roster construction, front office performance, and now game day experience. He's been given more autonomy and assets to work with than any of his divisional rivals. Generally speaking, that's when responsible leadership (in this case ownership) pulls the plug. Colorado is supposedly looking at Thad Levine. That would be interesting.
  6. bean5302
    Ownership role: Make reasonable assets available when setting budgetary guidelines. Approve organizational goals. Hold executive leadership accountable. Last 3 years, opening day payroll, 2023-2025 MIN = $154, $127, $142, total = $423MM CHW = $181, $123, $74, total = $378MM DET = $122, $98, $145, total = $370MM KCR = $92, $115, $126, total = $333MM CLE = $89, $98, $100, total = $287MM The Twins are the only team in the AL Central who hasn't run a sub-$100MM opening day payroll in the past 3 years.
  7. bean5302
    Pablo Lopez - Acquired by trading All Star Cost Controlled Infielder who was a prospect Falvey inherited, signed to an extension. Simeon WR - Acquired by trading All Star Cost Controlled Starter who was an MLB prospect Falvey inherited. Joe Ryan - Acquired by trading All Star free agent signing Nelson Cruz coming off a season where he earned MVP votes. Chris Paddack - Dylan Bundy/Chris Archer re-tread type who we apparently don't have in our rotation anymore? Acquired by trading All Star closer Taylor Rogers (inherited) and future All Star cast off Brent Rooker. So yeah, you can build a pitching pipeline if you have a bunch of All Star surplus players, especially ones you inherited from the previous GM regime that are fueling all your success as a GM.
  8. bean5302
    Falvey is the biggest problem with this organization. It was almost the sole duty of the Pohlad's to recognize some people don't have the skill set to be successful no matter how nice you think they are or how hard they work or what process they put in place. Falvey has failed miserably as a GM president of baseball operations.
  9. bean5302
    Red Sox opening day payrolls in recent years. I have no problems with those numbers at all. 2025 = $184MM 2024 = $162MM 2023 = $176MM 2022 = $195MM 2021 = $180MM Like any well run team, the Red Sox will expand payroll as needed, but they don't spend just to spend like the Yankees, Mets or Dodgers. Seattle > Blue Jays > Red Sox > Detroit > Guardians > Yankees Brewers > Padres > Cubs > Reds > Phillies > Dodgers
  10. bean5302
    Buxton doesn't get on base. It's why he's not a 10 WAR player and won't be an MVP. That's not going to change. When he made attempts to increase his walk rate, his K rate also climbed. 2nd half .226/.287/.516 OPS .803 6.7% BB, 29.2% K, wRC+ 113 Aug-Sep .228/.292/.531 OPS .823 6.7% BB, 28.7% K, wRC+ 118 Sep alone .233/.300/.556 OPS .856 6.0% BB, 32.0% K, wRC+ 128 (5 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs)
  11. bean5302
    TBF, so have the Pohlads and Falvey based on their moves recently. Some of the crazy thinking is just trying to match the team's decision making philosophy... probably.
  12. bean5302
    Want to talk about wasting peak careers? Talk about 2004-2010. Buxton come playoff time 2015 - 138 PA, was playing 2016 - Not good, was playing. 2017 - Not good, was playing. 2018 - Injured ---------------------------- Peak after this 2019 - Injured 2020 - Injured 2021 - Bad team 2022 - Injured 2023 - Injured 2024 - Bad team 2025 - Bad team
  13. bean5302
    MiLB pitching numbers I look at. K%, BB%, WHIP, FIP, ERA. I don't think any pitchers in the Twins' minor league system had truly remarkable seasons by performance standards, but relative to what they had to prove, a few stand out. From this list, Prielipp is my choice. I reviewed several of his game logs with pitch locations / at bats and it seems like Prielipp's stuff worked against him earlier in the season. Painting the edges of the zone resulted in quite a few too many balls which were actually strike 3s, etc. The fact Prielipp was able to make it to AAA and get 82.2 innings pitched this year was great. He proved his stuff was working against higher level players, but his placement of his slider needs some work. He's got to keep it further out of the zone to reduce contact. Dasan Hill needs to throw more strikes. There are an infinite number of pitchers who've been successful getting low minors guys to chase pitches who run into a wall as soon as hitters learn an iota of plate discipline. His season was impressive, but even amongst the group considering his age, there were pitchers who were better. Not many, but a few. Hopefully, Hill can take another step forward and tighten down the control.
  14. bean5302
    Vazquez is the kind of player who should be a February signing on a MiLB contract with an invite to spring training. He's Austin Hedges, but not as good defensively. The challenge system removes any potential value Vazquez actually had.
  15. bean5302
    I don't think anybody cares about any of the specific trades. It's the combination of all the trades gutting the entire bullpen. It's a strategy Falvey employed and watched blow up in his face a few years ago as well.
  16. bean5302
    #1 lesson the Twins can take from recent turnarounds. This front office and leadership group is incompetent. With more opening day resources than anybody else in the division, this front office continues to fail to deliver results.
  17. bean5302
    I'm not optimistic about the Pohlads righting the ship. I think their hubris has been on full display over the past few years. No accountability for others means no accountability for ownership, either. The ownership needs to accept they're responsible for losing the fans and the cratering revenue. Whether it's keeping St. Peter and Falvey far too long or allowing Joe Pohlad to continue to flounder before promoting him even further under the grand strategy of nepotism, the ownership is responsible for essentially staying the course. Falvey wasn't a good president of baseball operations. So giving him Thad Levine's job to pass on to another minion of his choice (Zoll) on top of St. Peter's job seems like an obviously poor choice. Though, to be fair, St. Peter continues to have a lofty title so I wonder if it was just lip service that he's not technically in his original role anymore... Joe Pohald wasn't good in his role as the Executive Vice President, Brand Strategy & Growth so promoting him to Exec Chair was certainly a decision without merit. Ownership has invested enough money to make the team successful. They've been willing to spend and push payroll, but they didn't hold the front office accountable at all when the revenue failed to expand. Instead, ownership lowered the bar, cut salary and kept the people who failed to deliver results.
  18. bean5302
    BTV Ryan +51.8 as of 9/23/25 Ober +26.2 as of 6/26/25 Lewis +25.6 as of 9/23/25 Jeffers +7.5 as of 9/19/25 Clemens +7.1 as of 9/23/25 Larnach +6.0 as of 9/22/25 Sands +5.8 as of 9/11/25 Misiewicz +0.7 as of 6/13/22**** Tonkin +0.4 as of 3/18/25**** Hatch 0.0 as of 12/15/23**** No recent trade proposals. Probably tells you all you need to know about their tender value.
  19. bean5302
    Joe Ryan Career = 3.80/3.83/3.82 for ERA/FIP/xFIP 1st Half 2025 = 2.72/3.26/3.70 2nd Half 2025 = 4.92/4.77/3.84 All of 2025 = 3.47/3.78/3.75 First half, good luck with FB:HR rate + good luck with solo shot home runs. Second half, bad luck with FB:HR rate + normal luck with base runners on when home runs happened.
  20. bean5302
    No idea what problem trading Joe Ryan for prospects solves right now. He's cheap. He's got more than 1 year of control. If the Twins are looking to compete in the next 1-2 years, this move hurts the team while not clearing salary to bring in a free agent to help offset the production loss. If the Twins are initiating a full ground up rebuild expected to take 2-3 years, it makes sense, but Buxton and Lopez would probably be moved before Ryan as their salaries just aren't necessary.
  21. bean5302
    Sam Mele 1961.5-1967.5 Cal Ermer 1967.5-1968 Billy Martin 1969 Bill Rigney 1970-1972 Frank Quilici 1973-1975 Gene Mauch 1976-1980.5 Johnny Goryl 1980.5-1981.5 Billy Gardner 1981.5-1985.5 Ray Miller 1985.5-1986.5 Tom Kelly 1986.5-2001 Ron Gardenhire 2002-2014 Paul Molitor 2015-2018 Rocco Baldelli 2019-2025 Rocco Baldelli has been a manager for the Minnesota Twins so he ranks among them. Evaluating Baldelli vs. other managers is almost impossible since most fans on this site weren't old enough to remember the first 7-8 managers on the list. The managers have operated under 3 different ownership regimes with dramatically different resources available.
  22. bean5302
    Buxton's health has been stunning. I would have taken a bet for $100 that he wouldn't hit 100 games this year, let alone qualifying for a championship trophy. Buxton getting over 120 games has been a real boon to the team, but there have to be major questions on whether or not he's played his way out of Minnesota at this point based on his production and more recent statements. I really couldn't be happier for the guy, he's gained some leverage.
  23. bean5302
    Keaschall needs more plate appearances to get a good feel for what he brings to the plate. His speed is certainly impressive. I sure wish the Twins would hire a couple infield coaches who understand how to catch and throw baseballs, though. Keaschall's ceiling is being wasted.
  24. bean5302
    Joe Ryan has been much the same as previous years. Despite a brilliant first half, he owns a 4.92 ERA after the All Star Break. Ryan's season FIP and xFIP are both right in line with his career rates at 3.78 and 3.76, respectively. His ERA has outperformed this year. Despite the outstanding first half's 2.70 ERA, the regression to the mean caught up as the home run vs. fly ball rate luck faded. Ryan left the All Star break with a 2.70 ERA and a 3.71 xFIP. SIERA likes Ryan better, but it's always been seemingly bullish on him. xERA has been bullish, too. Maybe Ryan is an upper #2 guy, but he's going to have to put together a full season to rank higher than that. Then again, I'd always expected his ceiling was a #3 arm, but it's clear he works hard every year to improve his approach.
  25. bean5302
    The problem with survey's like the one the Athletic put out there is it just panders to fan outrage. Pohlads are responsible for the lousy game day experience and fan apathy but not the product on the field. The Pohlads don't draft or develop or trade or sign players. If the Pohlads were good owners, the Twins could probably run a payroll maybe $30MM higher. It's not a "drop in the bucket" but it's hardly a franchise direction alteration. Falvey hasn't produced, and Baldelli is attached to him. Falvey bears most of the weight of this issue, but I can't help but look at mediocre team like Cleveland and wonder do the Twins really not have the same talent level as them? No, the teams really are similar in talent level. One team defies analytics winning games despite analytics saying they shouldn't. The other team continuously underperforms and finds a way to put in partial efforts and melt down almost every year. Baldelli is a big problem. Just not the biggest, and I don't know as I trust Falvey with making too many baseball decisions given the track record related to his team building initiatives.
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