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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Anthony Prato was a lot more impressive last year IMHO, and he didn't go anywhere when left exposed. So what if the Twins had lost him in the rule 5 pick, btw? You think a team was going to keep Severino on the 26 man the full season, especially the way he played out of the gate? The Twins would have just gotten him back again. He's #21 on our top 30 prospects for MLB. He's #40 on Fangraphs' which was just published 3 days ago.
  2. bean5302
    The chart above shows part of why Twins batters are getting hit so much. The Twins crowd the plate so if a pitch misses inside, Twins batters are more likely to get HBP than the average hitter. Pitchers are aiming low and inside because when you crowd the plate, that becomes a very difficult pitch to drive well. On top of that, late toe taps like Jeffers has makes it more difficult for him to get out of the way. Still an issue, but I agree with @Squirrel that the HBP's are not intentional. Retaliation for unintentional HBP is stupid because all it does is beget more retaliation against your own hitters. Just like when Delmon Young lost it on Jose Mijares back in 2009 because Mijares hit a guy intentionally for no good reason, and that resulted in Young taking a ball to the back next time through the order. Funderburk just missed IMHO. It might have looked like retaliation, but I don't think it was. It didn't make any sense for it to be retaliation since it came so much later, and after Funderburk had already pitched an inning plus another couple batters, and there was a wild pitch right after the HBP.
  3. bean5302
    I'd have my eyes on Snell and Ray. Robbie Ray threw 45 pitches in AAA on 6/23 so he could be back in MLB with 2-3 starts before the trade deadline. Snell is scheduled to make another rehab start in AAA today.
  4. bean5302
    I'm okay with Jax, Duran (let him throw fastballs, please), Alcala and hopefully Brock Stewart will be ready to go in a couple weeks. Move Varland into the 'pen as well with Dobnak and Boushley pitching more than well enough in the rotation at AAA. Zebby Matthews is ready for AAA. Gotta make some room.
  5. bean5302
    Yeah, I expect the Mariners to try and lock up Gilbert this offseason. I'm guessing they'll be floating like 5 years $100MM at him.
  6. bean5302
    I seriously wonder why MLB doesn't do a combine. Makes utterly no sense for a sport which is so dedicated to metrics at this point. Easy to set up the combine during the All Star Game week. It could be huge.
  7. bean5302
    If the Twins win the World Series this year, I guarantee there is more payroll flexibility. Payroll limit probably goes to $180MM next year as season ticket sales will skyrocket and ticket prices will increase a lot, too. Lots depends on how the Twins perform. I think it's pretty clear Joe Pohlad isn't going to be doing a lot of interviews in the near future without having gone through a lot of coaching, lol.
  8. bean5302
    Severino feels like a AAAA hitter to me. His wRC+ 120 overall performance in AAA is good, but not elite. I'm not sure why the Twins felt the need to add him to the 40 man last year. Sure, he had a bunch of home runs in a short stint with St. Paul, but his bat was only league average and he's far removed from being the 2B prospect he was years ago. Maybe the Twins can capitalize on this hot streak to get a small return for him this year? Really nice game out of Dobnak. Skipping him and Boushley to call up Festa, and after Varland has gotten some chances makes it pretty clear what the pecking order is. I think both Dobnak and Boushley look great as emergency depth guys at this point. Makes more sense to move Varland to the 'pen with that considered.
  9. bean5302
    I can't see any possibility of Lewis taking an incentive laden deal. The MLBPA would be against it, his agent would be against it, and the only party in a position to win is the Twins. MLB contracts do not have big escalators relative to the base contract because it guts the spirit of a guaranteed contract.
  10. bean5302
    There's a lot more of batters who make a conscious decision to not get out of the way as well. Wallner is a perfect example. He'll make no effort not to get hit. Wallner has historically ended his stance sooooo close to the plate, it makes him vulnerable to inside strikes. Double-edged sword.
  11. bean5302
    The Twins winning 2 of 3 is the reason the Diamondbacks are a sub .500 team. Diamondback's sweep, they're 41-40. We've won or tied 5 series' against teams over .500 this year. We've beaten both of the AL Championship teams, we've beaten both the defending World Series teams...
  12. bean5302
    I didn't see a statement. I saw Funderburk being wild.
  13. bean5302
    411 would be more accurate. "Why is this happening? Can you tell me how to fix it?"
  14. bean5302
    3B is way harder on the body than CF, IMHO. More hard throws, more hard acceleration, more diving and more jumping. Center Field isn't any different than Right Field. Just a few more plays during the year, and the player covering CF needs to be able to run faster to cover the ground. Fundamentally, not any harder on the body.
  15. bean5302
    Can't do it right now. Can't have both Buxton and Lewis on huge deals at the same time. Maybe at the end of the season if Lewis remains healthy, and a new TV contract lets the Twins ownership green light $150MM+ again.
  16. bean5302
    Nobody gave up on him too fast. He was going absolutely nowhere, and he had to approach the coaches to fix his game. He's looking great now, but there was no reason to expect this turn around. Absolutely no signs Woods Richardson was a viable prospect anymore.
  17. bean5302
    I think the A's will shop him. Relief pitchers are volatile, and the Athletics are going nowhere in the standings until their new stadium is ready to open which is years away. It's reasonable to think Miller has maxed out his performance and value. It's tough to say what the Athletics can command for him, but if they hang on to him and he turns into a very good, but not elite (like he was last year) reliever, the opportunity to cash in will have flown by the A's for at least a bit.
  18. bean5302
    So glad to hear Correa's wrist was bruised and negative on the X-Ray for breaks. Still, it wouldn't surprise me if he has to miss a couple games. Minnesota hitters have been drilled an MLB leading 55 times this year (tied with CLE). Getting sick of it.
  19. bean5302
    Think I counted 6 swinging strikes in 78 pitches, good for 7.7% for Festa. Lots of foul balls in the zone which speaks to Festa's movement, but AZ missed on a couple meatballs and some 4 seamers which were in the heart of the zone. Festa gets the win, and hopefully, he gets past any jitters. It'd be even better if Festa's number and name were stitched on in the middle of his jersey rather than looking like they were off to the side...
  20. bean5302
    Tough to say. The future SoS has a lot to do with how their opponents will perform in the future.
  21. bean5302
    Agreed with the popular opinion that Raya and Soto are not similarly handled. It's quite common to see high school draft picks restrained in pitch count and innings their first full season in the minors. Definitely in regard to the start of the season and build up. Raya is in his 3rd full year after the draft. Considering he's years removed from his reported shoulder issues, the pitch count restriction is bizarre. If Raya's velo and command/control is still weakening before pitch 60, I don't see him ever building up at this point. If his velo and command/control is good, it doesn't seem reasonable not to let him pitch longer. He has never faced a batter third time through the order (never more than 18 TBF) in 2023-2024. That's not a legitimate starter prospect.
  22. bean5302
    I'd be great if it happened, but Ober would need to stay healthy while lowering his ERA / FIP by probably a full point over the next 10 years to get there. Radke had Ober's results, but Radke pitched during the steroid era when guys were hitting 50-70 home runs a year. Side note: Some people complain about Radke giving up home runs, but he was actually far below average in HR rate. Like top 20 of qualified starters good. Can't imagine how cool of a visit that must have been!
  23. bean5302
    Woods Richardson could win, but he doesn't have the name recognition or anything super flashy right now. Luis Gil - Yankees Wilyer Abreu - Red Sox Mason Miller - Will be on a top team EoY, and he's lit the reporting world on fire already.
  24. bean5302
    They're neat little cars. Too bad about their TCMs...
  25. bean5302
    It's a heck of a career. Less than 600 players out of 20,000 in MLB history have accumulated 30 career WAR. Even where he's at right now is top 5% in history.
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