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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Ummmmm... why?
  2. bean5302
    Glad to see Dobnak get another opportunity. He's certainly earned a look based on his performance in AAA. I could see the Twins keeping him or trying to free up some cash by DFA'ing him to see if another team grabs his contract.
  3. bean5302
    Exactly. Nobody thinks the Tigers will trade Skubal, but if the Twins did trade for him, Jenkins is the only piece they have which is valuable enough to start the conversation.
  4. bean5302
    So you're saying it's not possible for the Tigers to acquire an ace, say like Corbin Burnes or Blake Snell in this offseason free agency? It's not honestly debatable the Tigers are looking to compete immediately, I don't think.
  5. bean5302
    Don't agree Baltimore has rotation issues. They have a pretty solid playoff rotation even as of today. ERA/FIP 1) Corbin Burnes 2.45/3.48 2) Grayson Rodriguez 3.82/3.63 3) Albert Suarez 3.62/3.69 4) Zach Eflin 4.11/3.63 5) Kremer 4.20/4.88. Word is they're in on Flaherty hard, too. If they land Flaherty, that rotation is likely going to be a real force to be reckoned with.
  6. bean5302
    Because the Tigers want to remain relevant immediately. They're not in rebuild mode. They'd trade Skubal if blown away, not because they want to. They're building and aiming for the playoffs, even potentially this year. They want guys they can use now or next year. Jenkins probably isn't that desirable as a headliner because he's so far away. Ober = 30ish, Jenkins = 60ish, Festa = 12ish, Keaschall = 20ish. = 122 total, and typically, you have to overpay when combining multiple pieces to trade for a single piece.
  7. bean5302
    Even Jenkins would barely get the ball rolling for Skubal. Baseballtradevalues. Jenkins is about 60. Skubal is 104. Skubal is one of the most valuable players in all MLB. He's basically what Chris Sale was when he was traded to Boston. Ober + Jenkins + Festa + Keaschall would likely get it done.
  8. bean5302
    Brooks Lee's bat has been on par with Kyle Farmer's, and he's the only guy who is or is likely to be on the 26 man from your list. If you're aiming for .500 baseball for the next 5 years, keep all your prospects. If you're aiming for playoff relevance for the next year or two, you move them in the right scenario.
  9. bean5302
    Adam Plutko is a 32 year old MLB journeyman who came back after washing out of MLB in 2021. Plutko pitched very well in Korea from 2022-2023, giving him a MiLB opportunity back here in the states. I'm not sure he'll stick in baseball or not. He might be serviceable as a spot starter, but I don't think he'd get anything better than a MiLB contract around the league. He's been better than his prime in some ways (walks), but he lost some K rate he had back with Cleveland in the minors.
  10. bean5302
    In the interest of technical accuracy, I will assume you are correct. I'm not even going to look it up though, since I don't think there is a single team in baseball worried about a $1MM buyout, LOL.
  11. bean5302
    I think it's clear the Twins have a need for a bullpen arm at this point. Not because of the results, but because Stewart is down 2mph so you have to think something isn't right there or question how reliable he'll be as a quality BP arm down the stretch. I was hoping Varland and Stewart could provide the the Twins with the quality front of the bullpen options, but Stewart doesn't look like that guy right now, and the Twins have kept Varland in the rotation far too long in St. Paul.
  12. bean5302
    Definitely agree. Woods Richardson really does look the part of a quality MLB rotation arm. Whether that's a #3 or #5, it doesn't matter because it's still a huge huge win vs. what was expected of him after last year.
  13. bean5302
    I just don't like Kikuchi much so I wouldn't give up much for him. I don't think he's going to be better than Lopez, Ryan or even Ober so what I'd give up for the guy isn't much.
  14. bean5302
    Similar deal would probably be Cory Lewis + Yunior Severino + Deshawn Kiersey. Quite a bit to part with for a Kikuchi rental IMHO.
  15. bean5302
    Pretty concerning about Brock Stewart. Looks like he's down about 2mph and it's showing in his results. Seems like Woods Richardson might just be getting a correction to his 3.27 ERA / 3.56 FIP to be more in line with his 4.18 SIERA and 4.22 xFIP entering the game.
  16. bean5302
    Yep, I was wrong on this one. I was looking at 2023 as if it were 2024.
  17. bean5302
    Sorry you didn't recognize his name so he must suck. More value than anybody on the Twins not named Carlos Correa (or Buxton, lol) for 2019+ and guaranteed for 1.5yrs at $10MM total. fWAR 2019+ Byron Buxton = 15.3 Tommy Edman = 15.2 Pablo Lopez = 14.9 Max Kepler = 12.7
  18. bean5302
    I really wanted Zac Gallen, but the Diamondbacks stormed back instead of floundering. All of my evil finger interlocking in front of my face posing was for naught.
  19. bean5302
    Cardinals gave up a lot. Edman is a 4-5 WAR infielder with 1.5yrs of control $2.3MM this year and $9.5MM next year. Like if the Twins had traded Brian Dozier in 2017 at the deadline instead of 2018.
  20. bean5302
    I'm not sure (insert perfect pitcher) is available?
  21. bean5302
    Why do they have to build a bunch of strawmen? The Twins do not lose money every single year. NOBODY HAS SAID THEY DO. The Twins have lost money since 2019 on a cumulative basis because of colossal losses in 2020, and a big loss in 2022 as the Twins expanded their payroll but revenues didn't follow. In 2023, had the Twins not made or advanced in the playoffs, it's likely they would have lost money. The Pohlads cut expenses, seemingly to about where they'd need to be to turn minimal profit if the the Twins missed the playoffs this year. They absolutely should expand their payroll in my opinion as they're in the playoff chase and they should expect revenue from that source. If you add up the 49MM loss in 2020, the 10MM profit in 2021, the 27MM loss in 2022 and the 19MM profit in 2023 you get ($47MM) net in losses since 2019. There is data behind the values. Most of it comes from Forbes, and they're a far more reputable source than the backside of angry fan commenters.
  22. bean5302
    Passan reported the Pohlads are keeping money tight to their chest.
  23. bean5302
    Snell does not make $31MM next year. He makes $15MM next year and $15MM in 2027 (deferred from 2025) if he opts out. The only way he opts out is if he's hurt for the full season in 2025. Basically, shoulder surgery or TJ. That's it.
  24. bean5302
    If Snell finishes the season with an ERA under 4.50 and an FIP under 3.70, he's opting out. He owns a 3.34 FIP right now. 9 starts remaining. 48 innings or so. A 3.90 ERA and a 4.00 FIP for the rest of the season get him to guaranteed opt-out land. He won the Cy Young last year, and he's pitching better this year than last. The chances he can't pitch better than a 4.00 FIP are remote. He will not cost a top 30 MLB prospect. That's insanity. BaseballTradeValues has Snell as 0 value (PTBNL), though he's certainly worth more than that. He's 100% not getting anything better than a org 5 prospect. Not happening. He can't receive a QO from SF, he's going to opt out unless he gets a serious injury and the Giants are not making the playoffs. Risk of injury or watching him walk for free. The Giants are pushed into the Luxury Tax and they'd like the reduce the burden.
  25. bean5302
    $5MM this year then opt out. worst case scenario $15MM in 2025 $15MM in 2027 Snell may not be the answer, but he's the highest probability at a low cost. IDGAF about mid rotation guys. We have plenty. They do. not. help. us. The Twins are making the playoffs regardless of whether or not they stand pat. A #4 starter doesn't do a thing for us because we don't ever see them in the playoffs. We get bounced before they pick up a baseball.
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