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chaderic20

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Everything posted by chaderic20

  1. chaderic20
    I don't want you to be right, but I'm afraid you probably are.
  2. chaderic20
    Instead of using BABIP to determine luck, I was curious what looking at BA vs xBA would show. According to Baseball Savant the Twins have a BA of .245 and an xBA of .255, for a difference of negative 10 points. So at first glance there appears to be a little bad luck, but not a ton. But I noticed it also says that for MLB as a whole BA is .236 and xBA is .243, for a difference of negative 7 points. So really the Twins have only been 3 points of BA more unlucky than MLB as a whole. So, that means we're only losing 3 hits per 1,000 at bats to bad luck, when compared to the rest of the league. Some rough mental math tells me that's about 1 hit every 9 or 10 games. When put that way, that doesn't really seem like much to me. Not even close to being able to blame that for a 13-26 record. Twins pitchers on the other hand have actually been getting a little bit lucky using this method. Twins pitchers are giving up a .256 BA vs a .270 xBA, for a difference of 14 points. Again, MLB as a whole has 7 points difference, meaning Twins pitchers are actually giving up 7 fewer hits than expected per 1,000 at bats, relative to the rest of the league.
  3. chaderic20
    Also, can we get the bullpen usage back as an embedded image in the article? Some of us can't open google docs...
  4. chaderic20
    I've always thought inherited runners that score should be split between the SP and RP based on which base they were on when the RP came into the game. Runner on third when the RP comes in and he later scores, SP gets .75 earned runs and RP gets .25. Runner on second scores, .5/.5. Runner on first scores, .25/.75.
  5. chaderic20
    Make 'em pay Larnach!
  6. chaderic20
    Ball hit Lynn. He seems ok.
  7. chaderic20
    They already tried to de-incentivize homeruns by deadening the ball. Problem is all that did was change the three true outcomes from K/BB/HR to K/BB/Warning Track Flyball.
  8. chaderic20
    Batting right-handed against a right-hander is difficult for those who have been doing it their whole life. I highly doubt Polanco will be able to just switch to facing righties as a righty, which I assume he has not done for a very long time, and have any more success than facing them as a lefty, even though that is currently a struggle for him as well.
  9. chaderic20
    And then when he give some BS answer, another writer needs to follow up with, "No, seriously WTF was that?"
  10. chaderic20
    Toby Gardenhire is probably a more likely candidate than Ron.
  11. chaderic20
    I assumed the daytime starts were just weather precautions. Starting at 1:00pm gives you a roughly 12-hour window to get a game in before having to call it a night, whereas starting at 7:00pm only gives you a 6-hour window.
  12. chaderic20
    Entenfurz
  13. chaderic20
    Missed that, but still, isn't this why we have three catchers? Pinch hit JD here and then put Garver in to catch.
  14. chaderic20
    Isn't this why we have three catchers? Pinch hit JD here and move Astudillo to Catcher.
  15. chaderic20
    If Big Mike put his hat on crooked, suppose we could send him back out as Colomé?
  16. chaderic20
    Good news! Our next two games aren't scheduled to have a 9th inning!
  17. chaderic20
    You're crazy.
  18. chaderic20
    I'd go with: Arraez Buxton Cruz Donaldson Kepler Polanco Sano Garver/Jeffers Simmons
  19. chaderic20
    From ESPN: "Milwaukee acquired right-handed pitchers Chad Sobotka and Patrick Weigel in the deal."
  20. chaderic20
    April 1: Twins defense is going to be great this year! . . . April 6: Polanco SS, Astudillo 3B, Rooker LF, Cave CF
  21. chaderic20
    You should switch the 13th and 14th innings. Then you'd have them in order of increasing run expectancy for 0 outs.
  22. chaderic20
    Wait, the whole toilet spins in Australia?
  23. chaderic20
    So, does this make Arraez the opening day LF or opening day 3B? First ever opening day LF to play 0 innings in LF?
  24. chaderic20
    Ah, you're one of those that always takes "literally" literally, instead of the commonly accepted usage for the past couple hundred years of using "literally" figuratively for emphasis, which I was obviously doing since, as you pointed out, I had just described an option. But, I digress... Using DirectTV's RSN search by zip code tool, it says to get FSNorth in my zip code I have to get the Premier package, which requires a two-year commitment, starts at $135/month for first year, then goes up in the second, but doesn't say what to, but I'd guess $20 or $30 a month more. That means over the two year contract, let's say an average $150 per month. But, don't forget the $10 per month RSN fee, installation, taxes, fees, and equipment rental. All told, probably looking at $200+ per month for two years, which is closing in on $5,000 total at that point. So, is there literally an option, yes, but is there a realistic/sane option, no. Whereas, if MLB didn't have asinine blackout restrictions on MLB.TV, I could subscribe to that for two years for less than $250.
  25. chaderic20
    As Amesfan said, here in central IA (Des Moines for me) you can't even get FSN North on cable packages, or if it does happen to be available, its only in the Super Max Uber Sports Pack Deluxe+ that costs an extra $150 a month, on top of the normal $150 cable package. Yet, we're still in the MLB.TV blackout area for the Twins and five other teams (cuz MLB apparently doesn't want people in Iowa to watch any baseball). So we're literally left with no legal options here. It's pirate streams, VPN to hide location, or signing into FSGo with a family/friend's account who lives somewhere that can get FSN North with their cable.
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