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chaderic20

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Everything posted by chaderic20

  1. chaderic20
    Thanks for the insight into the process, Cory!
  2. chaderic20
    Yay! Three trips to Des Moines!
  3. chaderic20
    Has the radio broadcast schedule been released anywhere yet? I haven't been able to find anything. I'm ready for some sounds of spring!
  4. chaderic20
    I guess I'd probably lean towards Odo on this one, but I'd be happy with Paxton too.
  5. chaderic20
    Strictly between these two, I'd go with La Stella. But if the Twins sign someone like Simmons or Semien to play SS, or less likely, trade for Story, that drastically alters the Utility man landscape on the roster.
  6. chaderic20
    My preference in order would be: 1. Neither - rotate internal options 2. Ozuna 3. Cruz I think we have more than enough hitters internally that can be (maybe even NEED to be) rotated through the lineup regularly to fill the DH spot. Ozuna isn't locked into DH only, he can also play outfield, I would guess could probably even play 1B. We've beaten the odds on Cruz's production falling off a cliff the past two years, let's be happy with that and move on instead of rolling the dice one more time against even steeper odds. Also, I keep seeing people excuse Cruz's declined performance at the end of last year with "he had a sore knee." Well, that's what happens when you're 40+ years old. You wake up in the morning with a sore knee for no apparent reason. Or a sore back, or neck, or shoulder, or wrist, or...
  7. chaderic20
    One possibility I don't think I've seen mentioned is Donaldson being DH, Polanco moving to 3B, and signing one of the free agent SS to a one or two year deal while waiting for Lewis to show up. Improves defense at SS, but costs some at 3B, but that's not as important a defensive position as SS, so I think that's an overall win. Plus it should help keep Donaldson in the lineup more consistently, and he should be able to provide as much production as Cruz.
  8. chaderic20
    I'd love to see a Twins-affiliated Saints team come through Des Moines a couple times every year!
  9. chaderic20
    Who's playing the other 80 games at 3B?
  10. chaderic20
    I said basically this exact thing in another thread the other day (http://twinsdaily.com/topic/44054-play-with-the-twins-payroll-at-twinspayrollcom/?view=findpost&p=999930). Now is the time to be investing in free agents while they're cheap. You take a financial hit for the first couple years, but make it back in years 3+ of the contracts by still having them under contract for cheap and winning lots of games, which means more fans, and more playoff money. Or even then trade those cheap contracts down the line for big prospect hauls.
  11. chaderic20
    I feel like the presumed depressed market of baseball provides an enormous opportunity for the Twins here. If everyone else is decreasing payroll by 10%-20%, we can "increase" our payroll by 10%-20% by just not decreasing actual dollars spent. Revenues were down this year, and there's a decent chance they will be next year too, but looking at that and saying we have to cut payroll, I think, is very short sighted. If we even just maintain relatively the same budget we can probably lure in two, three, or four impact free agents to medium or long term deals at fairly reasonable rates. Sure, you've taken a financial hit for a couple years, but if it pays off for the next 3 or 4 years after that, it's worth it. So, with that in mind, here's what I came up with for just $2.5M more spent than this year: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15H3LMLiHjRKVvGDGbP8LFptPJymjbg9fN3OqrDa-BFE/edit?usp=drivesdk You can argue the specific players, I don't care, cuz my main point is that I think everyone is missing the opportunity being presented by the broader market to get some big long term gains by taking a short term hit. (And yes, I know this is easy for me to say since it's not my money.)
  12. chaderic20
    This is the situation I struggle with as well. Multiple times this year there were runners 1st and 3rd with one out and we played the infield in, a weak grounder was hit through the pulled-in fielders that, had we been at normal depth, would have been an inning-ending double play. So instead of no runs and inning over, we allowed the run, got zero outs, and there's still runners on first and second/third. I'm fine with pulling the infield in in other scenarios, but this one specifically bothered me.
  13. chaderic20
    Wade is in baseball's version of the "friend zone". You can't say anything really bad about him, he's a great teammate, he's got some great qualities, he's the perfect fallback option, and he'll find the right person team someday, but it's just not the Twins.
  14. chaderic20
    For reference, assuming we end up second in the division, here's how we compare to the AL East and AL West second place teams, which are almost guaranteed to be NYY and HOU. These three teams will be the 4-6 seeds in the playoffs. Yankees (31-22 overall) vs DIV total: 22-14 vs DIV final 20: 10-6 Remaining games: 4 at TOR, 3 vs MIA Astros (27-26 overall) vs DIV total: 17-16 vs DIV final 20: 4-9 Remaining games: 3 at SEA, 4 at TEX The Astros will almost certainly be the 6 seed. So, unless we happen to catch the White Sox, we will play the Yankees in the first round of the playoffs. The only question is whether it will be in Minnesota or New York. The Twins are currently 1 game up on the Yankees for the 4 seed, which currently gives us home field advantage in this series. The Twins are 21-5 at home so far this year and 12-17 on the road, while New York is 21-7 at home and 10-15 on the road. So both teams are clearly playing much better at home and so would prefer to have home field advantage.
  15. chaderic20
    One last update heading into the final week of the season: Twins (33-22 overall, 2 games behind CHW) vs CLE: 7-3 vs CHW: 5-5 vs DIV total: 21-17 vs DIV final 20: 10-8 Remaining games: 2 vs DET, 3 vs CIN Indians (29-24 overall, 5 games behind CHW) vs MIN: 3-7 vs CHW: 4-2 vs DIV total: 19-17 vs DIV final 20: 8-8 Remaining games: 4 vs CHW, 3 vs PIT White Sox (34-19 overall, 1st) vs MIN: 5-5 vs CLE: 2-4 vs DIV total: 25-11 vs DIV final 20: 12-4 Remaining games: 4 at CLE, 4 vs CHC The Indians are all but mathematically eliminated from the division race, and it will be hard, but not impossible for the Twins to win the division. By splitting the season series with Chicago, if the division ends up tied between Chicago and Minnesota, Chicago would win the division based on the second tiebreaker, overall division record, by means of beating up on KC and DET throughout the year. So for the Twins to win the division, we need to outright beat Chicago for the title, which means making up 3 games, when we only have 5 left to play and Chicago 7 left to play.
  16. chaderic20
    Last I've heard/read the first round will still be played entirely at the higher seed's home park. So, even if the rest of the playoffs are in a bubble, it will still be important to have that home field in the first round. Any slight advantage that can be gained the the crapshoot of a 3 game series will help.
  17. chaderic20
    Update as of 9/10: Twins (27-18 overall, 1 game behind CHW) vs CLE: 4-3 (3 games remaining) vs CHW: 4-2 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 17-14 (9 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 6-5 (9 games remaining) Indians (26-17 overall, 1 game behind CHW) vs MIN: 3-4 (3 games remaining) vs CHW: 4-2 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 16-12 (12 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 5-3 (12 games remaining) White Sox (26-17 overall, 1st) vs MIN: 2-4 (4 games remaining) vs CLE: 2-4 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 19-10 (11 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 6-3 (11 games remaining) This coming week is important for the Twins, with 3 games vs CLE and 4 at CHW. Chicago has 4 vs MIN and 3 vs DET, while Cleveland has 1 vs KC, 3 at MIN, and 2 vs CHC.
  18. chaderic20
    With three teams fighting for the division title, it seems quite possible there will be a tie for the division winner this year in the AL Central. With new tiebreaker rules this year, I thought it might be interesting to start tracking the tiebreakers. As a reminder, here are how ties will be broken this year per ESPN: "Tiebreaker games will be eliminated, with ties broken by head-to-head record, followed by better record within a team's division and record in the last 20 games within the division. If there is still a tie, the standard would be last 21 games within a division, then 22, etc." Here's how things currently stand in the AL Central. Twins vs CLE: 4-3 (3 games remaining) vs CHW: 4-2 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 13-13 (14 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 2-4 (14 games remaining) Indians vs MIN: 3-4 (3 games remaining) vs CHW: 4-2 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 15-10 (15 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 4-1 (15 games remaining) White Sox vs MIN: 2-4 (4 games remaining) vs CLE: 2-4 (4 games remaining) vs DIV total: 15-10 (15 games remaining) vs DIV final 20: 2-3 (15 games remaining) So, the Twins are in good shape right now as far as head-to-head, but are lagging in the overall division record and especially in the final 20 versus division.
  19. chaderic20
    The term "ace" is a loaded term, so I won't use that. But to me, right now, Maeda is our #1 starter. Ask yourself, if we had to win one game, who do you want on the mound? For me, it's Maeda. There's your #1, or if you want to insist on the term, your "ace".
  20. chaderic20
    I'm sure the Astros can easily afford that fine for testing out their newest sign stealing scheme.
  21. chaderic20
    Before someone else jumps on me here, I swear the article I read said it was for '21 as well, but the Times article linked says only 2020. My prediction still stands though, the number of playoff teams will NEVER go below 12 again.
  22. chaderic20
    For those who say they like this as an experiment, or for this year - the agreement is for next year as well. And if you think, after two years of the extra money generated from doubling the number of playoff teams, that either the players or owners will say "You know, I think we should go back to the old playoff format, and give up all that extra money," you're crazy. I will go on record now as saying the number of playoff teams will NEVER go back to 8, and only has the tiniest of chances of going as low as 12.
  23. chaderic20
    To try to put the difference in wealth between owners and player into perspective, just remember that $1B is to $1M, what $1M is to $1K.
  24. chaderic20
    Seems someone here made a proposal similar in concept, this just takes it a step further by restricting travel to FL/AZ. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/36617-schedule-proposal
  25. chaderic20
    Then I guess they would have to agree to cooperate a little more for a year. Sorry I didn't research the legal particulars of my just for fun hypothetical scenario.
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