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chaderic20

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Everything posted by chaderic20

  1. chaderic20
    Also, can we get the bullpen usage back as an embedded image in the article? Some of us can't open google docs...
  2. chaderic20
    I've always thought inherited runners that score should be split between the SP and RP based on which base they were on when the RP came into the game. Runner on third when the RP comes in and he later scores, SP gets .75 earned runs and RP gets .25. Runner on second scores, .5/.5. Runner on first scores, .25/.75.
  3. chaderic20
    Batting right-handed against a right-hander is difficult for those who have been doing it their whole life. I highly doubt Polanco will be able to just switch to facing righties as a righty, which I assume he has not done for a very long time, and have any more success than facing them as a lefty, even though that is currently a struggle for him as well.
  4. chaderic20
    Thanks for the insight into the process, Cory!
  5. chaderic20
    Yay! Three trips to Des Moines!
  6. chaderic20
    I guess I'd probably lean towards Odo on this one, but I'd be happy with Paxton too.
  7. chaderic20
    Strictly between these two, I'd go with La Stella. But if the Twins sign someone like Simmons or Semien to play SS, or less likely, trade for Story, that drastically alters the Utility man landscape on the roster.
  8. chaderic20
    My preference in order would be: 1. Neither - rotate internal options 2. Ozuna 3. Cruz I think we have more than enough hitters internally that can be (maybe even NEED to be) rotated through the lineup regularly to fill the DH spot. Ozuna isn't locked into DH only, he can also play outfield, I would guess could probably even play 1B. We've beaten the odds on Cruz's production falling off a cliff the past two years, let's be happy with that and move on instead of rolling the dice one more time against even steeper odds. Also, I keep seeing people excuse Cruz's declined performance at the end of last year with "he had a sore knee." Well, that's what happens when you're 40+ years old. You wake up in the morning with a sore knee for no apparent reason. Or a sore back, or neck, or shoulder, or wrist, or...
  9. chaderic20
    One possibility I don't think I've seen mentioned is Donaldson being DH, Polanco moving to 3B, and signing one of the free agent SS to a one or two year deal while waiting for Lewis to show up. Improves defense at SS, but costs some at 3B, but that's not as important a defensive position as SS, so I think that's an overall win. Plus it should help keep Donaldson in the lineup more consistently, and he should be able to provide as much production as Cruz.
  10. chaderic20
    I'd love to see a Twins-affiliated Saints team come through Des Moines a couple times every year!
  11. chaderic20
    Who's playing the other 80 games at 3B?
  12. chaderic20
    I said basically this exact thing in another thread the other day (http://twinsdaily.com/topic/44054-play-with-the-twins-payroll-at-twinspayrollcom/?view=findpost&p=999930). Now is the time to be investing in free agents while they're cheap. You take a financial hit for the first couple years, but make it back in years 3+ of the contracts by still having them under contract for cheap and winning lots of games, which means more fans, and more playoff money. Or even then trade those cheap contracts down the line for big prospect hauls.
  13. chaderic20
    I feel like the presumed depressed market of baseball provides an enormous opportunity for the Twins here. If everyone else is decreasing payroll by 10%-20%, we can "increase" our payroll by 10%-20% by just not decreasing actual dollars spent. Revenues were down this year, and there's a decent chance they will be next year too, but looking at that and saying we have to cut payroll, I think, is very short sighted. If we even just maintain relatively the same budget we can probably lure in two, three, or four impact free agents to medium or long term deals at fairly reasonable rates. Sure, you've taken a financial hit for a couple years, but if it pays off for the next 3 or 4 years after that, it's worth it. So, with that in mind, here's what I came up with for just $2.5M more spent than this year: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15H3LMLiHjRKVvGDGbP8LFptPJymjbg9fN3OqrDa-BFE/edit?usp=drivesdk You can argue the specific players, I don't care, cuz my main point is that I think everyone is missing the opportunity being presented by the broader market to get some big long term gains by taking a short term hit. (And yes, I know this is easy for me to say since it's not my money.)
  14. chaderic20
    This is the situation I struggle with as well. Multiple times this year there were runners 1st and 3rd with one out and we played the infield in, a weak grounder was hit through the pulled-in fielders that, had we been at normal depth, would have been an inning-ending double play. So instead of no runs and inning over, we allowed the run, got zero outs, and there's still runners on first and second/third. I'm fine with pulling the infield in in other scenarios, but this one specifically bothered me.
  15. chaderic20
    Wade is in baseball's version of the "friend zone". You can't say anything really bad about him, he's a great teammate, he's got some great qualities, he's the perfect fallback option, and he'll find the right person team someday, but it's just not the Twins.
  16. chaderic20
    The term "ace" is a loaded term, so I won't use that. But to me, right now, Maeda is our #1 starter. Ask yourself, if we had to win one game, who do you want on the mound? For me, it's Maeda. There's your #1, or if you want to insist on the term, your "ace".
  17. chaderic20
    To try to put the difference in wealth between owners and player into perspective, just remember that $1B is to $1M, what $1M is to $1K.
  18. chaderic20
    Seems someone here made a proposal similar in concept, this just takes it a step further by restricting travel to FL/AZ. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/36617-schedule-proposal
  19. chaderic20
    The difference comes from the expected performance of a generic replacement level player at that position. Lets say a generic replacement catcher hits a weak grounder to second which turns into an inning ending double play, while a generic replacement corner outfielder hits a single up the middle which doesn't score the runner but doesn't cause any outs either. So even though Kirilloff and Jeffers did the same thing, hit a 2 run homerun, the difference between what they did and what the generic replacement level player would do is greater, therefore Jeffers has the higher WAR.
  20. chaderic20
    Go all in on the exhibition aspect of the game. Throw all the players into a draft pool, have two team captains, and do a schoolyard pick. How fun would it be for the college guys to play with half your team being your guys and half pros? Pitchers can only go one or two innings, lineups must alternate college/pro players, same for pitching changes. Just have fun with it!
  21. chaderic20
    I guess I look at that list and come to the opposite conclusion. I see only one other AL team with a better top 3. Or two, depending on which Rays trio you use, but give Pineda a full season and we'd be ahead of them either way. If only one or two other teams in your league have a better top 3 than you, I'm not so sure that's the "weakness" you need to focus on improving. In fact, I'd say if you have the second best top 3 in your league, you have pretty good odds of making the World Series.
  22. chaderic20
    I can pronounce Luis just fine, thank you.
  23. chaderic20
    On today's radio broadcast Cory asked Falvey about these changes. Falvey mentioned he expects there to be "tweaks" to the 3 batter minimum rule. In particular they discussed the option of waiving the minimum if the opposing team puts in a pinch hitter. That way a team can't suddenly put in a couple righties where they had lefties or vice versa and force your pitcher to face them.
  24. chaderic20
    One could actually argue that Buxton being out showed Kepler's and Rosario's true defensive value. When Buck is in, those two don't get as many chances and so their defensive metrics go down. But when Buck is out, those two get more chances, and they show what they are truly capable of. Just because the metrics go down when Buck is in doesn't mean Kepler/Rosario are actually worse fielders. I'd say it simply means they are getting less opportunity to show their true capabilities.
  25. chaderic20
    Even if you are going to a game to see a certain pitcher, why does it matter if that pitcher pitches innings 2-7 instead of 1-6? You still are seeing them the same amount. The opener strategy shouldn't have any effect on whether you watch a game based on the pitcher. Also, while ideally your opener would do well, I don't think that's the focus of this experiment. The result I'm sure they are most interested in is the effect it has on the primary pitcher, especially in their last one or two innings. Does it improve their numbers in those innings? If so, then the strategy might have some merit, and you just need to find the right guys to be the openers. As the article said, two games with bad results from the openers (which isn't the focus of the experiment) isn't nearly enough to scrap the idea.
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