Twins 5, Cardinals 4: Ryan Kreidler Comes Through as Twins Rally to Take Series

Box Score:
Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley: 6 2/3 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 7 K (101 Pitches, 66 Strikes, 65.3%)
Home Runs: Victor Caratini (4)
Bottom 3 WPA: Ryan Kreidler (0.38), Yoendrys Gómez (0.16), Caratini (0.13)
Win Probability Chart (Via BaseballSavant):

The Twins are on life support, slipping further away from a .500 record as the trade deadline looms a month and a half away. Royce Lewis, Kody Clemens and Byron Buxton are raking, and if you're an optimist, there is lineup help in Triple-A St. Paul. But the pitching is still a liability, so a June surge to keep the veterans in tow feels unlikely.

A wild card in that equation is Taj Bradley, who started today against St. Louis. Bradley was a revelation early, but since hitting the IL with a pectoral injury in May, the right-hander has seen his command evaporate, with 12 walks and little success over his four starts since returning.

Bradley came out dealing, throwing much more competitive pitches around the zone while hitting 99 MPH with his fastball. He struck out two in the first and didn't allow a hit until a single in the third inning—to 9-hole hitter Nathan Church on a splitter. 

The Twins lineup was tasked with facing right-hander Michael McGreevy, a young pitcher who succeeds in the Sonny Gray mold, featuring six pitches he can throw for strikes and despite a lack of premium velocity. The Twins made him work in the first, with Buxton rifling a double to the left field corner and Lewis drawing a hard-fought walk. McGreevy then fell behind 3-0 to Josh Bell, before inducing a tapout to end the inning.

Bradley allowed a home run on a hanging curveball in the fourth to the red-hot Alec Burleson, who recently homered in four straight games (make that five out of six). But Bradley didn't get scared out of the zone, striking out Jordan Walker and Lars Nootbaar convincingly to end the frame.

The Twins' two struggling free-agent pickups flipped the score in their half of the fourth. Bell singled, and Victor Caratini launched a massive home run 411 feet to give the Twins a one-run lead.

Looking for the shutdown inning, Bradley worked a quick 1-2-3 frame, overpowering Jose Fermin on a fastball down in the zone for the finishing strikeout. At that point, he had thrown 57 pitches.

Perhaps he should have been taken out at that point. His command again abandoned him in the sixth, as he walked Church and fell behind 3-1 to impressive rookie JJ Wetherholt. Wetherholt got a fastball to his liking, knowing Bradley did not want to walk two in front of the meat of the Cardinals' lineup, and rocked it 380 feet to flip the score once again.

The Twins tried to rally in their half of the sixth. Bell singled once more, and Caratini drew a walk with one out. Alas, Brooks Lee hit a sharp liner to Blaze Jordan at first, who speared the ball and tagged out Caratini retreating to first.

Bradley nearly made it through the seventh unscathed, but allowed two bloop singles with two outs before giving way to Anthony Banda to face Wetherholt. Wetherholt scoffed at his platoon disadvantage and flipped another single to left to score the Cardinals' fourth run.

These Twins aren't great, but they do have some fight in them. They began the seventh against lefty Jojo Romero by pinch-hitting Austin Martin, who struck out while wasting the Twins' last challenge. However, Luke Keaschall drew a walk, Ryan Kreidler singled, and Buxton singled as well, bringing in Keaschall. Clemens then singled, loading the bases for Lewis. A fourth straight single brought home Kreidler, and the game was tied. Buxton waited to see the ball drop and was unable to score, a rare occurrence.

Andrew Morris struck out the side in the eighth—impressive, considering two of the hitters he faced were Walker and Nootbar. The bottom of the eighth began with two quick outs before Keaschall got hold of a George Soriano fastball for a line drive double. Kreidler then worked a seven-pitch at-bat, resulting in a double off the wall in left-center field that gave the Twins the lead.

Yoendrys Gómez got the ball for the ninth, and the first ball in play was an impressive diving stop and throw from Kreidler, combined with a great scoop at first from Lewis. Fermin was initially called safe, but the play was overturned on replay review. Gómez struck out Church and got Wetherholt to fly out to cement the victory.

Stuff I'm Tracking:

• Buxton's trade value may never be higher than it is right now. You start to wonder if a package similar to what the Padres gave up for Juan Soto in 2022 is in play. Both players had/have two and a half years of team control remaining. While Buxton is maybe a shade or two less proficient as a hitter than Soto was, he offers still elite-ish defense at a premium position, excellent baserunning and a cheaper contract. The Soto trade netted the Nationals James Wood Jr., Robert Hassell III, C.J. Abrams and Mackenzie Gore. Hassell has been a bust, but was considered an elite prospect at the time. The other three players have all become All-Stars. Gore was then flipped this past offseason for five more prospects who are all performing well in the Nats' minor league system. I love Byron Buxton, but if his legacy ends up being that he brought in a boatload of talent to supplement a Walker Jenkins-led team that has a (potential) salary floor in place, I'll be happy to see him win in another market.
• Tristan Gray made an error at shortstop that could have led to a big inning with Bradley struggling in the sixth. He looks like he is constantly looking to homer at the plate, which is cute but perhaps misplaced for a hitter with a .385 slugging percentage and middling exit velocities. He's fine as a pinch-hitter and flexible defensive replacement, but there is no real upside here- Ryan Kreidler would be my choice to start at shortstop. Not to say Kreidler does have upside, but he looks like the most capable shortstop on the Twins' roster currently (he also went 2-2 with two clutch hits).

What’s Next: The Twins head to Texas for a three-game set against the Rangers. The Twins have not announced a starter, while they will face prized trade acquisition Gore (4-5, 4.18 ERA). Gore has been up and down with his new club, and the Twins will need to be patient as the righty has been somewhat wild, yielding 4.2 walks per nine innings.

Postgame Interviews:

Bullpen Usage Chart: