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    The Twins’ Bullpen is Already Full. How Does Danny Coulombe Fit?


    Greggory Masterson

    I’m not good at math, but I know how to count to eight. We’re gonna see some movement, right?

    Image courtesy of © Eric Canha-Imagn Images

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    On Tuesday morning, the Twins made their first major-league signing of the offseason. It only took three months, but by gum, they’ve done it. Danny Coulombe, the prodigal son, has finally returned to Minnesota. But in the numbers game that is a modern bullpen, there is no room at the inn, no seat at the feast, too many figs on the tree... something like that. Too many bulls!

    Before Coulombe’s signing, there were already questions about the number of arms in the Twins bullpen. Given that he has an MLB deal and a guaranteed contract, his name must be written in pen. But what does that mean for everyone else?

    Coulombe joins a list of names who cannot be sent down without first being waived—exposed to the other 29 teams for free. Those players will either make the Opening Day roster, start the year on the injured list, or be cut after spring training. That group also includes Brock Stewart, Michael Tonkin, and Ronny Henriquez. For those of you keeping score at home, that’s four hurlers who cannot be sent down. They make it, or they’re probably cut.

    There’s also Rule 5 pick Eiberson Castellano. If the Twins want to retain his services, he has to stay on the big-league roster or injured list all year (and even if he spends time on the IL, he needs to be on the active roster for at least 90 days). So, there’s five.

    After that, we need to add in Jhoan Durán, Griffin Jax, Cole Sands, Justin Topa, Jorge Alcalá, and Louie Varland. Varland probably goes to Triple-A by default at this point, but keeping the five guys locked into a spot would probably also necessitate sending both Topa and Alcalá to St. Paul. If the Twins want to have Topa and Alcalá on the Opening Day roster, the obvious moves would probably be to waive Henriquez and return Castellano to Philadelphia (or arrange a trade for him and then send him down). They could also waive Tonkin, whom they're paying $1 million. But those each kind of seem like a waste of resources. (Besides, it was waiving a recent signee on a cheap deal that lost the Twins Coulombe before!)

    There are other names—like Kody Funderburk, Brent Headrick, Matt Canterino, Huascar Ynoa, Scott Blewett, Connor Prielipp, and Anthony Misiewicz—who might play a role in the bullpen this season, but we’ve already got our hands full with those top 11.

    It’s totally possible that the Twins front office—who, mind you, have been watching the same teams we all have been—are prepping for inevitable injury concerns. Stewart missed most of the past two seasons despite dominating when healthy. Topa threw 2 1/3 innings last season. And relievers tend to get dinged up from time to time. It’s not the worst plan in the world to have more MLB arms than you can carry, but they’d seem to be banking on that being the case as soon as the doors open. At least one arm will need to be in the medical tent in order for the organization not to need to part with talent when you have 11 potential bullpen arms.

    Of course, returning a Rule 5 guy to his original team happens more often than not. There’s reason to be excited about Henriquez, but he’s by no means established and could prove tricky to carry on the active roster for a full season. Even Tonkin has been passed around the league before, and it can happen again. But all of those do require serious thought; none of them can be taken back.

    Beyond those concerns, or perhaps conversely, having five unoptionable guys in your bullpen can prevent a team from having their best bullpens, because if you dump them, you lose talent. Right now, there’s no semblance of a St. Paul shuttle for their relievers. They have five guys who can’t be sent down and five guys they probably don’t want to send down (especially Durán, Jax, and Sands).

    The Twins have been criticized in recent years for being a bit too reluctant to part with struggling veterans who can't be optioned. A move like this certainly sets them up for similar practices and similar criticisms. It's just a little crowded right now, and it's not clear how they'll release the pressure.

    Then there's the 40-man spot, given that the Twins' 40-man roster is full. Dropping Tonkin, Henriquez, or Castellano would clear a spot there, but the Twins might also try to keep all of their current pitchers. In that case, Michael Helman, Mickey Gasper, Matt Canterino, Jair Camargo, and Diego Cartaya might all be candidates. But if Tonkin, Henriquez, or Castellano were to eventually be cut for an active roster spot, that would effectively mean that two players were lost to make room for a lefty middle reliever.

    There's probably an outside chance that this move could be the precursor to a trade, but who knows. They don't pay me enough to soothsay.

    And also what does this mean for Chris Paddack? We have to ask that question whenever a pitcher moves, right?

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    Too many relievers is not that difficult to resolve...

    • Too good to send down: Duran, Jax, Sands, Alcala, Coulombe.
    • No options remaining: Stewart, Tomkin, Henriquez, Castellano (Rule 5). 

    That's nine. One will be hurt and goes on the IL. In the amazing scenario that one isn't, you either waive the one you think you can sneak through waivers (perhaps Tonkin with his $1M salary) or return Castellano. If Castellano has proved himself unworthy, you return him.

    At the second and following injuries, you start churning through those guys, who have all begun the year in St. Paul. 

    • Guys on the 40-man with options: Topa, Varland, Funderburk, Headrick and any others.

    And then after they are used up (or have proven themselves unworthy at St. Paul) and more IL moves are needed, you start churning through these guys, knowing they will require 40-man moves as well:

    • Guys on minor league contracts: Blewett, et. al. 

    If I've got anyone in the wrong category, move them, but the concept is the same.

     

    (That would have been a much shorter article.)

    2 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Obviously, adding a lefty reliever fits the platoon heavy profile of the Twins' strategy, and I'm fine with Coulombe.

    As far as where he fits in, Brock Stewart is pretty likely to open the year on at least the 15 day IL, Topa's been constantly injured across his slow moving and lengthy career. It's unlikely the Twins come out of ST with no players on the IL.

    I don't think the Twins are attached to Topa as much as people around here seem to think. He's 34, and he has 1 successful year in his 5 year MLB career. He's never pitched more than 7.2 innings in an MLB season except 2023.

    Don’t disagree a bunch on Topa but Stewart doesn’t exactly have a lengthy string of successful seasons either.

    The Rule 5 guy is certainly expendable.

    Fingers crossed for a trade to open some spaces on 40 man.

    5 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    Don’t disagree a bunch on Topa but Stewart doesn’t exactly have a lengthy string of successful seasons either.

    The Rule 5 guy is certainly expendable.

    Fingers crossed for a trade to open some spaces on 40 man.

    I didn't intend to imply Stewart does have any successes. I should have clarified "As far as where he fits in, Brock Stewart is pretty likely to open the year on at least the 15 day IL," When I write "he" I was still talking about Coulombe, not Stewart. It was poorly written on my part.

    5 hours ago, KnoblauchWasFramed said:

    I don't know what is making me literally LMFAO more right now - the move itself, or the fact that two whole articles were written about this move.

    Next we just need to add two more light hitting infielders and one more left handed hitting corner outfielder and we're set.  

    Coulombe at least fills a need for a left-handed relief pitcher.

    2 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    I didn't intend to imply Stewart does have any successes. I should have clarified "As far as where he fits in, Brock Stewart is pretty likely to open the year on at least the 15 day IL," When I write "he" I was still talking about Coulombe, not Stewart. It was poorly written on my part.

    No issues……I’m just stating Coulombe - Paddack - Topa - Stewart among others (Prielipp & Canterino) are all potential ????? Worrisome! Every Team has this issue on varying levels with their arms. It’s potentially, as you well know, how to get from “League best Pen” only on paper and #16 in reality at the end of a year.

    1 hour ago, JD-TWINS said:

    No issues……I’m just stating Coulombe - Paddack - Topa - Stewart among others (Prielipp & Canterino) are all potential ????? Worrisome! Every Team has this issue on varying levels with their arms. It’s potentially, as you well know, how to get from “League best Pen” only on paper and #16 in reality at the end of a year.

    I'll predict they finish above No. 16 in the league. 

    Outside of Duran, Jax, Alcala, and Sands, every other pitcher mentioned in this article either hasn't proven to be anything other than an average replacement level pitcher or a AAA pitcher that hasn't figured it out yet. Add in Brock Stewart not being able to stay on the field and Topa only having 1 season too.. Looks to me like there is plenty of room for Coloumbe. Do you guys even analyze what the Twins have before you write an article with all the fluff?

    28 minutes ago, rv78 said:

    Outside of Duran, Jax, Alcala, and Sands, every other pitcher mentioned in this article either hasn't proven to be anything other than an average replacement level pitcher or a AAA pitcher that hasn't figured it out yet. Add in Brock Stewart not being able to stay on the field and Topa only having 1 season too.. Looks to me like there is plenty of room for Coloumbe. Do you guys even analyze what the Twins have before you write an article with all the fluff?

    Agree that there can and should be plenty of room for a good left handed relief pitcher. The fact of the matter is that except for the elite ones, relief pitchers are really tough to predict. Alcalá had pretty good success last year, but didn't sustain it for a whole year, Stewart was lights out in 2023 (in limited innings) and Topa was also very good in 2023. If they also hit their ceiling along with Sands, Jax and Durán, it will be a very good, perhaps elite, bullpen. 

    The Twins have assembled a very high upside bullpen at a very reasonable price. I think the BP carries more injury risk than most, which should lower projections and expectations. 

    1 hour ago, stringer bell said:

    Agree that there can and should be plenty of room for a good left handed relief pitcher. The fact of the matter is that except for the elite ones, relief pitchers are really tough to predict. Alcalá had pretty good success last year, but didn't sustain it for a whole year, Stewart was lights out in 2023 (in limited innings) and Topa was also very good in 2023. If they also hit their ceiling along with Sands, Jax and Durán, it will be a very good, perhaps elite, bullpen. 

    The Twins have assembled a very high upside bullpen at a very reasonable price. I think the BP carries more injury risk than most, which should lower projections and expectations. 

    Alcala will be good if Rocco uses him correctly. Making him more than a 1 inning pitcher, which Rocco did multiple times last year, is what messed him up. All Stewart has done is proven he can't stay healthy and Topa has 1 year in the majors. That 1 year was decent but everyone knows you can't judge a pitcher or player by 1 good season. Which the so called experts are doing with him. He wasn't very effective for the Twins in 2024 was he? We can argue that Sands is also unproven. He had a good 2024. How many seasons did he have before that, that can be considered good? Zero. Jax and Duran are very possibly at the top of their game. Both could regress.......... a lot. The best bullpen in baseball is only on paper. Rocco loves his paper analytics. Now will he use his bullpen correctly? I doubt it.

    1 hour ago, rv78 said:

    Alcala will be good if Rocco uses him correctly. Making him more than a 1 inning pitcher, which Rocco did multiple times last year, is what messed him up. All Stewart has done is proven he can't stay healthy and Topa has 1 year in the majors. That 1 year was decent but everyone knows you can't judge a pitcher or player by 1 good season. Which the so called experts are doing with him. He wasn't very effective for the Twins in 2024 was he? We can argue that Sands is also unproven. He had a good 2024. How many seasons did he have before that, that can be considered good? Zero. Jax and Duran are very possibly at the top of their game. Both could regress.......... a lot. The best bullpen in baseball is only on paper. Rocco loves his paper analytics. Now will he use his bullpen correctly? I doubt it.

    Uh huh, so you see the glass half empty and think Baldelli is terrible with bullpen management. Every bullpen has volatility and every year we see guys come out of nowhere to be huge contributors. There are precious few guys that can be counted on year after year and those guys make good money once they hit arbitration.

    The Twins have two guys with great stuff who have been durable in the last three years (Jax & Duran). They have three guys who have lost a lot of time to injuries, but have been effective when fully healthy (Topa, Stewart & Alcalá), plus they have a guy who was very good a year ago (Sands). Adding Coulombe, who had two really good years with the O's after being satisfactory previously for the Twins and A's gives them seven guys who can pitch in late innings. In addition to that, they have quite a few more good arms who may or may not amount to anything.

    I fully expect some missed time for the relief staff, particularly Alcalá, Stewart and Topa and wouldn't be surprised by regression from Sands or Coulombe, but there's a good amount of talent there to augment a solid starting rotation and there's depth in the minors. 

    I said in an earlier comment that I think they've got a good BP with more than average injury risk. I'll stand by that. I have not tabbed them a the best bullpen in the majors or the AL or even the Central, but I think their BP will be a positive and I think adding Coulombe helps.

    4 hours ago, rv78 said:

    Outside of Duran, Jax, Alcala, and Sands, every other pitcher mentioned in this article either hasn't proven to be anything other than an average replacement level pitcher or a AAA pitcher that hasn't figured it out yet. Add in Brock Stewart not being able to stay on the field and Topa only having 1 season too.. Looks to me like there is plenty of room for Coloumbe. Do you guys even analyze what the Twins have before you write an article with all the fluff?

    The title wasn’t meant to be taken literally. Sorry if that wasn’t clear. Of course there’s room for Coloumbe. This article highlights some of the potential roster implications of his signing, given the current personnel and roster rules. It’s going to necessitate tough decisions, or a series of unfortunate events will make it easy. You’ve correctly brought up concerns like injury and performance that were also mentioned in the writeup. 

    13 hours ago, IndianaTwin said:

    I'll predict they finish above No. 16 in the league. 

    I’m not sure if you think better or worse with “above”. Assuming better? IMO, they have a great opportunity with Varland and Paddack in middle innings to be very good! Certainly they have more to like than those two…….pretty deep. Who’s going to be effective in ‘25?

    1 hour ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I’m not sure if you think better or worse with “above”. Assuming better? IMO, they have a great opportunity with Varland and Paddack in middle innings to be very good! Certainly they have more to like than those two…….pretty deep. Who’s going to be effective in ‘25?

    Sorry -- smart aleck comment on my part referring to there being 15 teams in the league. Given that, I think they'll finish better than 16th. 

     

    But yes, I think they can be very good. Last year I was optimistic because they had numbers, but they had key injuries and some guys didn't come through. This year I think they have better quality in their numbers, so hopefully that's paired with better health and continued development from people.

    On 2/4/2025 at 9:15 AM, Rufus said:

    They should never let him go two years ago.

    Actually the Orioles taught him a couple of new pitches and changed his arm angle.  He is a different pitcher now than he was two years ago.  The Twins are getting a new improved version of him




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