Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    What's Left at First Base in Free Agency?


    Nick Nelson

    It is perhaps the clearest area of need on the Twins roster. Top options are already coming off the board. Who might Minnesota's front office still be targeting on the free agent market at first base?

    Image courtesy of Matt Krohn-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    The past few days have seen two of the top free agent options come off the board at first base. On Friday the Houston Astros reached agreement with Christian Walker on a three-year, $60 million contract, and on Saturday the Yankees came to terms with Paul Goldschmidt for one year and $12.5 million.

    Realistically, the Twins were probably not in the running for either player – certainly not Walker, given their constraints. But given their glaring need at first base, it was fun to dream on the possibility of an impact addition at this level. There are still a few high-caliber options remaining in the field, but more likely the Twins are aiming for the mid-to-lower tiers. 

    Here's a quick overview of remaining free agent first basemen (per MLB's tracker), arranged into my own subjective tiers with the pros and cons of each from Minnesota's standpoint. Listed alongside each player is his age and his fWAR over the past twos seasons. The top tier, from my view, is now down to one.

    Top Tier 

    Pete Alonso (30, 5.0 WAR)

    • Pros: Elite power hitter, durable, consistent offensive production, and still in his prime.
    • Cons: Will command a high salary a multi-year commitment.
    • Viability: High impact but out of financial reach given the Twins' constraints unless they make other moves to clear payroll.

    Mid Tier 

    Carlos Santana (39, 4.5 WAR)

    • Pros: Experienced, excellent plate discipline, strong clubhouse presence. Still productive offensively and (especially) defensively while approaching 40.
    • Cons: Age raises concerns about durability and potential decline.
    • Viability: Affordable on a short-term deal, a good fit as a veteran stopgap.

    [Update: We learned shortly after this article was published that the Cleveland Guardians are signing Santana to a one-year, $12 million deal after trading Josh Naylor to the Diamondbacks. So that's another option off the board!]

    Justin Turner (40, 2.2 WAR)

    • Pros: Battle-tested veteran, strong hitter, and can fill a hybrid DH/1B role.
    • Cons: Advanced age and limited defensive value.
    • Viability: A reasonable fit if the team values his leadership and is willing to rotate him at DH.

    Connor Joe (32, 2.0 WAR)

    • Pros: Versatile defensively (1B/LF/RF), solid OBP skills, affordable.
    • Cons: Lacks the power typical of a first baseman.
    • Viability: A cost-effective platoon or depth piece with some upside.

    Donovan Solano (37, 2.0 WAR)

    • Pros: Familiar with the team, reliable contact hitter, affordable.
    • Cons: Limited power and defensive range.
    • Viability: Reunion wouldn't be a terrible idea, but he's better suited for a utility role rather than full-time 1B.

    Anthony Rizzo (35, 0.5 WAR)

    • Pros: Veteran experience, previously an excellent defender and hitter.
    • Cons: Recent concussion issues and other injuries have significantly impacted performance.
    • Viability: A risky signing but could be worthwhile if health concerns are resolved.

    Ty France (30, 0.3 WAR)

    • Pros: Still relatively young, a bounce-back candidate with potential for improvement.
    • Cons: Recent performance dip raises concerns about reliability.
    • Viability: A low-cost gamble with potential upside.

    Josh Bell (32, 0.2 WAR)

    • Pros: Switch-hitter, power potential, and streaky offensive bursts.
    • Cons: Inconsistent production and below-average defense.
    • Viability: Worth considering if available on a short-term, incentive-laden deal.

    Bottom Tier

    Joey Gallo (31, 0.6 WAR)

    • Pros: Familiar with the Twins, elite power, and defensive flexibility.
    • Cons: Poor contact skills and declining offensive performance.
    • Viability: Likely not a strong candidate to return given fit concerns at 1B.

    Yuli Gurriel (41, -0.5 WAR)

    • Pros: Veteran with postseason experience and strong contact skills.
    • Cons: Age-related decline and minimal upside.
    • Viability: Low-cost emergency option, but unlikely to contribute meaningfully.

    Ji-Man Choi (34, -0.5 WAR)

    • Pros: Capable of getting on base when healthy, low-cost option.
    • Cons: Poor recent performance and injury concerns.
    • Viability: A reclamation project at best.

    Rowdy Tellez (30, -1.2 WAR)

    • Pros: Power potential. Great name.
    • Cons: Struggles with consistency, defense, and overall value.
    • Viability: A buy-low candidate, but better options are out there.

    Gavin Sheets (29, -2.4 WAR)

    • Pros: Youngest of the group with untapped potential.
    • Cons: Defensive liability, hasn't hit in the majors.
    • Viability: Possibly of interest on a minor-league deal.

    Do any of these options interest you? Who would be at the top of your list? Or do you find these targets uninspiring enough that you'd prefer turning to the trade market or rolling with in-house candidates? Let's hear your thoughts in the comments.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    Friday night, Marek Houston's first homer came in a 6-run 7th inning. His second home run gave his team an 8-2 lead an inning later. He's 3-for-5, 2 HR (5) and a stolen base, his 15th.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    2 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    There are no $$$ to spend. Right? How is a GM going to sign guys that are getting whisked away with no ability to spend? I agree, after trades are made - there could be some $$ available but being aggressive to trade guys that everyone knows you need to trade quickly to free up $$ isn’t a very good bargaining position. IMO, they need to be patient and figure out who has needs and how they can help fill Twin’s needs. Tough to do, with any good clarity & bargaining power, in December.

    I would agree. We also have to remember, even if we don't like it, this FO has never been a player in the first half of the off-season. The exception being signing Jason Castro quickly out of the gate. This one no different, don't expect moves until around February 01 if they do happen.

    19 hours ago, 1985Fan said:

    Santana just signed with Cleveland for one year @ $12M. 

    If they can’t swing a trade for Diaz or some other quality 1B hitter, then let Miranda play there. If they want to platoon, and we know they will whether makes sense or not, then platoon Larnach there. 

    FalZoll - lets go get Diaz!

    21 hours ago, Brandon27 said:

    I let Miranda,lee and julien fight it out to play first cause other probably going play 3rd a day other going be the DH 

    Cleveland, Chicago , Kansas City and Detroit are probalby hoping the Twins do that.

    Looks like another glass of Gallo wine next summer.

    3 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    I'll state again a 1B target to platoon (not replace) with Miranda, Romy Gonzales (BOS), He just mashes LHPs, great at PHing, a very solid glove that can platoon anywhere on the INF or OF (when not needed at 1B), he's very cheap to obtain (BTV 1.3 surplus trade value) & cheap 4yrs availability.

    Sounds like a reasonable last resort type of move in a month.

    9 hours ago, Doctor Wu said:

    I agree, Once again, Twins fans wait and wait, while the GM plays his own waiting game, hoping for bargains or "creative" trade ideas falling into his lap, and meanwhile any possible good fits are being signed by other clubs. Same old. 

    I know this probably doesn’t need to be said but Falvey’s job is to build the best club he thinks he can within the budget constraints placed upon him - he has at least a broad plan…….it’s flexible based on what happens, weekly/daily - it’s not his job to make quick moves so the fans feel better.

    Going into Spring Training there will be 25 teams that aren’t completely comfortable with how they are constructed - everyone isn’t done making moves nor satisfied with their roster by Christmas………Falvey has to be creative and look for leverage not only to be able to shed payroll to gain flexibility but to get back the right guys that he thinks will help!! Get ready to be patient.

    6 hours ago, PatPfund said:

    I don't see the glaring need for anyone on this list (other than Alonso who is more likely sign on Mars than here). Until he tweaked his back, Miranda wasn't just passable, he tied an all-time record for consecutive hits, and posted monthly 'sOPS+'s of 123, 110, 160, and 203. He's your 1B. Julien should get a shot at being the LH option, and Larnach should get work there. (If the Twins move Vasquez's or Paddack's contract, Castro plays a lot of LF, if not then Martin can play the position with flex for E-Rod's likely arrival at some point.)

    Going with Miranda as the primary 1B also undercuts the stupid idea of moving Royce Lewis to 2B (a position notorious for career-wrecking knee injuries). Brooks Lee, Julien, Castro, and Martin can cover the space, letting Lewis actually get (hopefully) healthy extended time at 3B. Keaschall may also be there by season's end.

    Keaschall had elbow surgery late summer…..he will not play 3B anytime soon. I think his bat plays at 1B…….he could make sense for the platoon against LH pitching at 1B (since Miranda has good reverse splits v. RH pitching). He’ll need major reps this Spring!!

    No trade nor FA infield: (starter/depth)

    Lewis/Lee/Miranda - CC/Lee - Castro/Lee/Keaschall - Miranda/Keaschall

    6 guys for infield - Same 2 Catchers - Larnach - Martin - Kiersey - Buxton - Wallner = 13 guys

    Trade Paddack - Duran - Matthews - Julien for some help somewhere ……..lump in Vazquez and get some more $$ available for one splash signing.

    2 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I know this probably doesn’t need to be said but Falvey’s job is to build the best club he thinks he can within the budget constraints placed upon him - he has at least a broad plan…….it’s flexible based on what happens, weekly/daily - it’s not his job to make quick moves so the fans feel better.

    Going into Spring Training there will be 25 teams that aren’t completely comfortable with how they are constructed - everyone isn’t done making moves nor satisfied with their roster by Christmas………Falvey has to be creative and look for leverage not only to be able to shed payroll to gain flexibility but to get back the right guys that he thinks will help!! Get ready to be patient.

    Agreed. There are also a dozen clubs that would love to have the financial resources of the Twins, including Milwaukee and the entire AL Central division. Everyone is doing the same thing except for a few teams.

    2 minutes ago, tony&rodney said:

    Agreed. There are also a dozen clubs that would love to have the financial resources of the Twins, including Milwaukee and the entire AL Central division. Everyone is doing the same thing except for a few teams.

    Yep - I was pretty surprised that Cleveland spent $12M at 1B - not surprised by the player but surprised relative to budget.

    2 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    Yep - I was pretty surprised that Cleveland spent $12M at 1B - not surprised by the player but surprised relative to budget.

    Cleveland is still around $45M below Minnesota in payroll, so they figured Santana works as a DH/PH/1B. Kyle Manzardo will get a ton of the time at first base. The Guards still are looking to add an outfielder and could have another $12M to spend. That team is resourceful and always looks both short term and long term.

    1 hour ago, tony&rodney said:

    Cleveland is still around $45M below Minnesota in payroll, so they figured Santana works as a DH/PH/1B. Kyle Manzardo will get a ton of the time at first base. The Guards still are looking to add an outfielder and could have another $12M to spend. That team is resourceful and always looks both short term and long term.

    They sacrificed defense at second base and added defense at first base. Santana will make almost exactly what Naylor would have cost. Maybe they are brilliant or maybe are making dumb decisions. I guess we shall see. 

    1 minute ago, stringer bell said:

    They sacrificed defense at second base and added defense at first base. Santana will make almost exactly what Naylor would have cost. Maybe they are brilliant or maybe are making dumb decisions. I guess we shall see. 

    I think the Guards would suggest that their loss at 2B is made whole by the improvement at 1B strictly for measuring defense. Cleveland is not afraid to make moves and added some pitching in an attempt to improve the 2025 roster. You are correct in positing that we shall see. I'm curious to see  the Guards next move.

    The fact that Solano and Gallo have already done a tour of duty with this ballclub is reason enough to remove their names from the list.

    Watch Chris Williams catch on fire next year with the Mets as Alonso signs elsewhere and the Twins diddle around with 12 different guys covering 1B in 2025.

    Same thing at DH as well.

    I really do not see a workable solution on the identified free agent list.

    Jeez, am I a Debbie Downer or what?

     

    12 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    This is what the Twins want to do, not necessarily anyone else's idea. 

    That isn't really a comfort since they make the actual decisions. Like the stupid decision to try Sano in the OF. Lewis would be one of the largest 2B in baseball and brings a history of serious knee injuries to a position that demands back-to-runner shiftiness and ruins knees (career-ending ruination) more than any other. 

    7 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    Keaschall had elbow surgery late summer…..he will not play 3B anytime soon.

    Keaschall is not a pitcher, and so doesn't need the same recovery time. The surgery was delayed to give him maximum playing time last year, and then done on a schedule so that he would be fully recovered for Spring Training.

    5 minutes ago, PatPfund said:

    Keaschall is not a pitcher, and so doesn't need the same recovery time. The surgery was delayed to give him maximum playing time last year, and then done on a schedule so that he would be fully recovered for Spring Training.

    Guarantee he will not be part of the depth chart for 3B - his arm can be 115%. Lewis/Lee/Castro/Miranda are ALL currently ahead of him.

    Miranda was supposed to be ready in Spring Training this year - wasn’t…….takes time to throw every day with maximum effort coming off an injury with one’s arm. I hope he’s in the mix at 2B!

    16 hours ago, William K Johnson said:

    Again, tell Larnac and/or Wallner to bring a first baseman's mitt to spring training.

    Just let Larnach concentrate on hitting crooked pitches.  And let Wallner deal with the fact that Max Kepler's not going to be around if he decides to lay an egg at the beginning of the season.

     

    Personally the only one I would take a flier on is Rizzo.  The rest I would pass on and do internal fill.  Rizzo is coming off a couple of down years, and could be cooked so I would not invest a lot in him.  However, he was always a good on base guy and we could use that type of veteran leader type guy. 

    On 12/22/2024 at 11:06 PM, JD-TWINS said:

    Trading guys later in the offseason to free $$ that can be spent as part of facilitating a trade (being able to pay a guy coming over) at the deadline is a strategy. It’s not popular but maybe effective?

    What you write makes sense, at least for this season, with the financial restraints appearing to be real/severe as they seem for the Twins. So yes, that might be more effective. But my main gripe is that the Twins employ this waiting/late strategy every Winter, limited budgets or not, and invariably many of the players who are targeted (okay, perhaps most of those targeted players are ones named on this board, and not necessarily the ones that the front office are pursuing), are snatched up by other teams while the Twins play their usual waiting game. But you are correct in saying that might be the Twins' best strategy this time around. It's not like we are going to outbid any other teams for the better free agents out there. But if we want better players on the roster, at least ones that we didn't develop ourselves, we need to be more pro-active and more creative with deals or free agent signings. 




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...