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    Brooks Lee's Career is Off to a Rough Start. Can He Be Fixed?

    Brooks Lee was considered a “safe” big-league contributor when he was drafted. Is it time to start worrying about that assessment?

    Cody Pirkl
    Image courtesy of © Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

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    Everything was coming up Twins during the 2022 MLB Draft. Several players were picked unexpectedly high in the top seven, leaving the Twins with one of the better position players by consensus, in Brooks Lee. While he lacked superstar upside and loud tools, he was as much of a sure thing as any draft pick can be to be an impactful player. Unfortunately, three years later, this assessment has yet to play out.

    Lee was billed as a switch-hitter whose contact-oriented approach and plate discipline would more than make up for his lack of standout power. Defensively, he held his own at shortstop, but had the potential to be an elite defender anywhere else in the infield. While we’ve seen flashes of the latter, Lee’s offense has not come around as hoped thus far.

    In just under 500 plate appearances, Lee is slashing .240/.279/.351. He’s been 26% worse than a league-average hitter (according to wRC+) in that time. Defensively, after a decent debut last season, he’s been a poor fielder at every position by Defensive Runs Saved this season, and Outs Above Average paints a similar picture. As a result, he's been a replacement-level overall player.

    In short, Lee has not lived up to expectations so far. While it's still early in his career, there’s reason to be concerned, even if it may not be time to panic. Lee’s struggles defensively are probably the most surprising development. With a lower-ceiling offensive profile, the hope was that good defense would still make him a very valuable regular, even if the bat left something to be desired. Lee has been flexible defensively, but the metrics don’t show a player who can be carried by his glove. Young players often struggle with the bat early on, but defensively, Lee’s struggles have been almost equally pronounced.

    Offensively, 500 plate appearances are hard to draw too much of a conclusion from. The concerning part about what we’ve seen from Lee is his complete abandonment of the plate approach with which he previously succeeded for his entire baseball career. His discerning eye at the plate has been nowhere to be found; he's walked less than 5% of the time in his career. While he’s struck out less than 20% of the time, this can be attributed to his lack of plate discipline and ability to make contact. Lee is often flailing away at pitches outside of the zone and bouncing them in play for outs.

    Brooks Lee has looked completely overmatched at the plate for almost his entire time at the big-league level. Even his white-hot June looks like a mirage more than an actual development, fueled by an unsustainable .431 batting average on balls in play. He’s followed that month up with one of the worst of his career so far, showing that he hadn’t made any strides in his plate approach. For a floundering Twins team lacking offense, Brooks Lee has undoubtedly been part of the issue.

    The question, at this point, is where the Twins go from here. The Twins are set to sell at the trade deadline, making the rest of the season a wash. On one hand, Lee can continue to get everyday playing time and potentially figure things out. On the other hand, Lee has made very few strides offensively at the highest level so far, and it’s worth asking whether his broken plate approach can be fixed more easily against lesser competition.

    Depending on where Luke Keaschall is in his elbow rehab, he’s set to return in the coming weeks and will be deserving of a spot on the roster. While there are other candidates to be demoted, such as DaShawn Keirsey Jr., swapping these two out wouldn’t open up much playing time. The Twins may see an opportunity to give Lee a reset and try to bring him back in 2026 with a more competitive offensive approach.

    Lee was expected to be a near lock for everyday playing time by now, and a demotion would be another disappointing chapter in his career. Unfortunately, it appears to be a real possibility. While there is still plenty of time to turn things around, Lee doesn’t have an endless amount of time to cement himself as a core starting player on the Twins roster.

    Between the sale of the team and another failure of a season, the regime that drafted him could be on their way out. Another group may not look at him in the same light as the one that took him at such a high place in the first round. In addition to Keaschall, Kaelen Culpepper continues to surge up the organizational infield ranks. The team also drafted Marek Houston in the first round this year. Houston's defensive reputation surpasses Lee’s, and he'll likely be a valuable regular if he’s able to hit at all.

    Maybe Lee could flip a switch and fix whatever is broken, making all of these logistics a non-factor, but it’s time for him to start showing some progress. Whether it comes in the Warehouse District in Minneapolis or Lowertown in St. Paul, the Twins need to determine the best way to help him turn things around. This version of Brooks Lee isn’t the one drafted eighth overall, and the further we get from that draft, the more worrisome it becomes.

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    14 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Anyone giving up on a top 100 prospect after a year of ML playing is lacking in patience, and it is good they aren't a GM. 

    To be clear, I'm not saying he's good or bad (he's not good), I'm stating that the lack of patience on this site is staggering. 

    I don't think anyone is saying waive the guy, but I would ask: when was the last time a Twins draft pick turned into an above average MLBer, much less started slowly and turned into even an average player. Look at the roster -- has anyone other than Buxton been drafted in the last 10+ years and turned into an above average player? You can preach patience, but there is not much precedence of it working out.

    1 hour ago, nicksaviking said:

    At the end of June he had a .725 OPS and .311 OBP. Not great, but also not article worthy. Then looking at game logs, he hits a 1-12 skid at the plate and gets benched for two games and since then it's been a pattern of two games on, one game off. 

    The only hitter who has reached his potential on this team is a 31-year-old who took 10 years in the league to do so. I just don't think this team has a manager that can or will do the things needed to develop young hitters. And if you're going to be a low payroll team, you have to have one of those.

    He has actually only started one game since the ASB. He needs to play and be given one position with occasional starts at SS for Correa.

    55 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    You gotta play Bader & Castro if Team is trying to win games…….. Bader in OF pushes Castro into the infield. Can’t make developing players a priority when still in a Playoff race

    Is this the same Bader that the Mets benched in the playoffs last year.  I like Bader but he is a fourth outfielder and is not an everyday player.  So you are going to hinder Lee's development for a player that is not an everyday starter for a playoff team.  This is why this team will continue to tread water 

    I have not given up on Lee, he should play (someplace) nearly every game the rest of the year. Same with Keaschall when he is called back up. If he continues on like he has then IMO he is a cheaper version of Castro, where he can be the infield utility player next year, but if another team thinks he is more than that and makes an offer, well I am listening, but it wouldn't come cheap because he is valuable to the Twins as a super cheap insurance/utility player. 

    IMO they don't have much time to figure out Lee and Lewis, it has to be decided this year, With Keaschall and Culpepper knocking on the door, it can't be like Miranda, Julien, Wallner, Keirsay where they IMO left them in the minors longer than they should have. 

    53 minutes ago, Riverbrian said:

    And the end result of that is a severe lack of developed players that has built up over years of not making them a priority in a playoff race. 

    Who is this mystical player that the Twins have failed to give a chance to develop? I keep hearing from people on this website that the Twins are at fault for refusing to give their young players a chance, and for the life of me I can't begin to guess who the hell they're referring to. 

    Or is this your "let Larnach hit LHP!" soapbox again? 

    Lee has looked uncomfortable at the plate for awhile now. Tons of half swings and swords, getting fooled by curve balls. It's not time to give up on him, he's still young. If Keaschal hits really well upon his return, maybe Lee could use a reset in St Paul. That is, if Castro isn't traded. Keirsey has NO business being on this roster. Martin is hitting over .300 in AAA, call him up. He can be a corner OF and play second, plus he's not an automatic out like Keirsey. Seeing him come up to bat late last night just made me groan, seeing that .100 batting avg....

    17 minutes ago, LambchoP said:

    Martin is hitting over .300 in AAA, call him up. He can be a corner OF and play second, plus he's not an automatic out like Keirsey.

    Martin could have been a decent major leaguer, but for the fact that he's another Twins player that can't play a competent defense at the major league level, making his 90 OPS+ pretty untenable. 

    Lee just needs to play one position so he can focus on his hitting. I could care less about any power out of Lee, just let him spray the ball around the field. 

    I think people are forgetting about him just being drafted in 2022 and he has been in the majors for 2 years. How many times have top picks never made it to AAA, let alone the majors?

    2 hours ago, NYCTK said:

    Who is this mystical player that the Twins have failed to give a chance to develop? I keep hearing from people on this website that the Twins are at fault for refusing to give their young players a chance, and for the life of me I can't begin to guess who the hell they're referring to. 

    Or is this your "let Larnach hit LHP!" soapbox again? 

    You consistently fail to understand my points. And you do so belligerently. Place me on block and stay clear. 

    Asking me Who... Is another example of your failure to understand.

    Who? Exactly!!! That's my point.

    How can an organization with budget issues fail to produce sufficient numbers in comparison with their peers. Who? Exactly!!! You want me to name a player so you can tear them to pieces. I'm sorry I don't trust my opinion on Who? And I certainly don't trust yours. I don't even trust the front office to identify the player or players because here we are talking about Brooks Lee needing to be fixed while Brooks Lee is the only player they are investing playing time in, we are about to sell at the deadline and our budget is maxed out so we can't afford to sign players developed by other organizations. I just know that other teams are producing WHO'S. Therefore WHO IS MY POINT!!! You just keep tearing apart the individuals. 

    You want to keep hammering on Larnach... Keep hammering... Your opinion has no interest to me. My point isn't about Larnach specifically... It's about Larnach, Wallner, Kirilloff, Julien and now Clemens over the past 3 years. It's about every left handed hitter to come through these doors in the past 3 years. Why can't we develop a left handed hitter that doesn't require a right handed hitting handcuff? Other teams can do this sort of thing... we can't. That's my point... It's not about Larnach but you want to hammer on Larnach. I have no interest.  

    Jonah Bride... I could give a whatever about Jonah Bride... But I didn't give him a roster spot. When I talk about Jonah Bride burning a roster spot... I'm not pro Jonah Bride... I'm talking about the roster spot on a team that is failing to produce WHO's. Bride gets a roster spot because we have failed for multiple years now to develop a WHO!!! Why isn't there a WHO?

    Go ahead and continue to lose your mind over Martin. I could care less what your opinion of Martin is... I don't care what my opinion of Martin is. If Martin is not the guy... OK... Fine... THEN WHO IS THE GUY!!! 

    According to this article... Brooks Lee may not be the guy either. Which I find interesting because the Twins have clearly chosen Lee as someone to trust. If Brooks Lee doesn't work out... well there goes almost our entire development effort for the past 3 years down the drain. But... Hey Let's pull that plug at the first sign of trouble.

    Now please... put me on block.  

    1 hour ago, NYCTK said:

    Martin could have been a decent major leaguer, but for the fact that he's another Twins player that can't play a competent defense at the major league level, making his 90 OPS+ pretty untenable. 

    He is pretty good a 2nd but he keeps geting stuck where he is NOT very good.at fielding.

    1- The lack of plate discipline falls directly on the hitting coach. 2- We are not in a pennant race. 3- A .240 average for a limited power infielder is not terrible but his OBP makes it worse. 4- We are not in a pennant race. 5- It's too early to give up on Lee but, without consistent reps, it will be tough for him to develop further. 6- We are not in a pennant race (let's get this off our minds that we are).

    So let's see what we have after the trade deadline.

     

     

    I agree with patience but at the same time we should look at the Twins history of #1 draft picks.  One would hope that some of them would be high impact players.  Lee, Larnach, Lewis at this point just serviceable at best.  Buxton is finally producing consistently because he is healthy.

    I LOVE so much of what our current FO has done. They've brought in analytics that didn't exist previously. They've made catching coaching so much of a priority that they lost Swanson to the Yankees as a coach. (There's a difference between catching and being able to hit out of a paper bag. And that's an entirely different discussion). They've done a hell of a good job taking arms and adding velocity and adding/deleting pitches to create some very good prospects. 

    There have been past Twins players, most notably Trevor Plouffe, who have applauded a new approach with hitters not being pigeon holed with too many old school approaches, but treated as individuals with certain talents.

    But SOMETHING is missing with MILB and/or MLB instruction. Part of that, IMO, is an IDENTITY of what the Twins are supposed to be as an offensive team. 

    OBP and POWER ALWAYS lead to production and a productive offense. Whether you believe in modern day analytics or not, the numbers are there. All you have to do is look them up and grudgingly accept them. That DOESN'T MEAN you want a team filled by Gallo types! And that doesn't mean there isn't room for speed, athleticism and defense, something the current Twins team is lacking. 

    FWIW, when the Twins were playing the power game, as iconsistent as they may have been, they were amongst the top 5-10 consistently in total runs scored. ALMOST as if they were listening to a certain segment of TD. LOL, they suddenly K'd far less, and the runs started to disappear.

    Again, FWIW, and the players might be different, but the Twins AREN'T devoid of talent themselves, the Jay's are #1 in MLB offensive production with the FORMER Twins hitting coach and the Twins rank 21. Now, I'm not hating on Borgschulte who had a good reputation for the Saints and did some good things initially with the Orioles. 

    But depending on who's stats you want to look at, the Twins were around 11-12 in 2024. And in 2023 they were top 5.

    That's a HUGE difference from 21 to borderline top 10, and top 5 just 2yrs ago. So is that the players or the coaches or the FO?

    Yes,  a COMPLETE lineup gives you a combination of a handful of guys who can run, you have a lineup that has a decent OB%, and you have a collection of XB power including a couple BIG BOPPERS. 

    But that's the IDEAL fantasy console game you strive for best you can.

    If nobody's noticed, the Twins still draft for power, as you should, but have also been looking for better contact bats and better athletes mixed in.

    I really didn't mean to go on a tangent here, but I had to respond to several responses.

    #1] Let Lee play daily. He's shown flashes. Let him figure it out! Unless the Twins hitting instructors are incompetent, he's got the mental ability and experience to grow. What does he possibly have to prove at AAA at this point. His glove? His glove is excellent. He's made rookie mistakes while feeling some pressure.

    #2] The FO...or the next FO...needs to re-examine some of what's being taught. They are supposedly treating each hitter as an individual? Sounds great! But have too many prospects tanked because they just didn't have the "it" factor? Or are we missing something in our development process?

    #3] PICK A PROCESS. I can clearly see from the last few drafts that you are trying to change the approach. You still need POWER, which hasn't been ignored. But you're also drafting more speed and athleticism and looking at basic contact/hitting approach at the same time.

    Keaschall ending up with a broken arm and Rodriguez continuing to be injured messes with your plans no doubt. But don't stop with a PROCESS/APPROACH that makes sense.

    Of course, that all goes out the window, potentially, when the team sells and whatever the new owners decide to do.

    But it doesn't escape the fact that the FO either hasn't found a foundation to stand on, or hasn't had the players to actually do what they want to do offensively. Or that they have reacted too late, or poorly.

    *Taylor and Bader brought some of what this team needs. But they were both more Buxton insurance initially. 

    Lee should play daily because IDK what defensive metrics say or a few bad games, I've seen him play. His glove and instincts in the field work. Let's forgive a relative rookie figuring it out. And how about less than 500 AB for a relative rookie trying to figure it out batting wise.

    I DO THINK the current FO has to answer some questions. THEY pick the MILB coaching staffs. THEY have at least partial control of the ML coaching staff. It's not all on Rocco. Its on the player, Lee in this case. But it's also on the coaches to bring out the best in a player.

    Good or Bad, he may end up being another, say, Denny Hocking. Someone who can play a position fulltime if someone is injured, but not holding his own. He will be surpassed in the next two years by others who will regularly hold down second, shortstop or third base. 

    His value may not be even as good as, say, Willie Castro right now. 

    21 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    I would be shocked if the Twins neglect to have their infielders run agility drills.

     

    Why???

    They obviously don't do anything as far as flexibility goes!

    Guys are regularly on the DL with injuries sustained running the bases (slowly) and playing basic defense (poorly)!

    Not just a Twins thing, but I get a front row seat for grown men playing a kids' game.  And doing it with a kid's discipline. 

    1 hour ago, Bodie said:

    Why???

    They obviously don't do anything as far as flexibility goes! 

    What exactly do you think the three athletic trainers and two strength and conditioning coaches do all day? Are they just sitting in the clubhouse playing cards?

    19 hours ago, Bigfork Twins Guy said:

    How come we never have 19-21 year olds come up and produce like several other teams do?

    I think this is a spot where their recent failures to groom useful players from their international free agent classes shows up.  Those are the guys who you can control at the age of 16, which theoretically gives them more of a chance to debut in the majors at an earlier age.  

    Right now, the only player on the 40-man they've acquired through international free agency is Emma Rodriguez.  Only two others - Duran and Pablo - came up through international free agency, and they were acquired via trade.  Almost the entire roster is American/Canadian/Puerto Rican and therefore came through the amateur draft.  And since most college players are getting drafted at 21, it's going to be pretty tough to have a 19-21 year old pop through when that's how you've built your roster.   It's been a long time since the Sano/Kepler/Polanco class.   This may be one of this front office's major weaknesses that sometimes gets overlooked.




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