The 5 Best and 5 Worst Moves of the Derek Falvey Era

[ashbury]

9 hours ago, NYCTK said:

Matt Wallner is an interesting player. I am becoming more and more of a "hater". He cleans up in low leverage situations and disappears when it counts. At least thusfar in his career: 

 

 

	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA
Low Leverage	507	0.267	0.367	0.591	0.958	0.403
Med/High Leverage	465	0.191	0.318	0.369	0.687	0.308

b-ref.com splits page for the player provides another, related point of view.  If you divide up his plate appearances between situations where the game is within 4 runs, or not within 4 runs, he racks up immensely more OPS value in the latter instances. 

Across the majors you might see 4-5% better OPS during garbage time, and that's sort of intuitive.  It's not typical for a player to be 50% better.

Almost all of Wallner's above-average OPS is built up when the game is more or less decided already.  Without those PA he has a below-average OPS.

It's statistically amazing, really.  He's totaled just under 1000 PA by now, and the garbage time is basically 15%, but it's so off-the-charts that it moves up his overall numbers misleadingly.  WPA is the only commonly cited stat I can think of that tips us off to look deeper into his splits.

I'm not a hater.  I'm a rooter.  I'm rooting for Matt Wallner (and his coaches) to figure this out and make the majority of his appearances productive.