This winter's Rule 5 situation

[IndianaTwin]

Where do I find a list of players who must be added to the 40-man roster or be exposed to the Rule 5 draft? 

And since I don't follow the minors that closely, I'd be glad to hear speculation on who among them will be added to the 40-man. 

[Rosterman]

Anyone know who the Twins need to Rule 5 protect? I'm guessing the list is eally short. WSill Holland? Sabato?

[Major League Ready]

7 hours ago, Rosterman said:

Anyone know who the Twins need to Rule 5 protect? I'm guessing the list is eally short. WSill Holland? Sabato?

I have not double checked this list, but I think these are the players that would possibly be protected.  There are a couple others eligible but I did not think there was any possibility they would be protected.   Olivar and Cespedes are also highly unlikely. It's likely Raya, Kiersey, and Will Holland who was having a great season before he was injured.

Holland, Will	24
Olivar, Ricardo	24
DaShawn Kiersey	24
Cespedes, Rubel	24
Raya, Marco	24
Rosario, Kalai	24

[FlyingFinn]

1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

 

Holland, Will	24
Olivar, Ricardo	24
DaShawn Kiersey	24
Cespedes, Rubel	24
Raya, Marco	24
Rosario, Kalai	24

Kiersey's on the 40 man roster so isn't Rule 5 eligible. Holland (he was on the bench half the time when healthy), Cespedes and Rosario won't be selected by any team. I'm doubting Olivar will be selected and he won't be protected. I'm predicting two are protected and many will disagree with one of them - Raya and Christian MacLeod. LH starters are hard to find and MacLeod is very similar to where Headrick was when he was added to the 40 man roster.

[2wins87]

You can go to Fangraph's roster resource page for the Twins. Anyone with an "Dec' 24" under the options column will be eligible, also those with "R5" were already eligible last year and will be again.  Some of the "R5" guys will be minor league free agents as well and might explore minor league contracts with other teams.

Probably only Raya is a must protect. 

Personally, I would strongly consider Rosario too, I seem to be higher on him than most. 

I would also consider Olivar, who made it through last year but hadn't even made it past low-A.  Continuing to hit well in A+ and holding his own in AA should make him more attractive, but he's also older than Rosario and his defense at C is definitely not big-league ready, so it seems pretty doubtful that a team would try keep him on a major league roster as an outfielder.

I have a vague sense that the team might like Winkel more than me and most fans, so maybe he'd be a dark horse, though he's still behind Camargo on the catching depth chart.

For the other pitchers, I'd also throw out Adams as one to possibly protect.  His repertoire, to me, seems closest to that of a major league reliever, so I could maybe see a team stashing him, though probably still doubtful. 

It's kind of hard for me to see MacLeod getting stashed as a reliever while barely cracking 90 mph, even as a lefty, and Nowlin's control is probably way too far off.

There are a few guys like Dobnak, Tonkin, and Duarte that are easy to remove from the 40-man, along with the pending MLB free agents, so there should be plenty of space even for a couple guys beyond Raya, and I think the rule 5 will be pretty much a non-event this year for the Twins.

 

 

[Rosterman]

So few. The question is are "probable" better to add than to keep, say, a Helman, Kiersey, Camargo.

I don't think Jeferson Morales or Chris Williams worked themselves into a protective position. Adams would be an interesting add. If you see him as a bullpen opportunist for 2025.

 

[DJL44]

Spots filled:

IF: Julien, Correa, Lewis, Castro, Lee, Miranda, Jeffers, Vazquez, Camargo (9)

OF: Buxton, Larnach, Wallner, Keirsey, Martin, E Rodriguez (6)

SP: Lopez, Matthews, Ober, Festa, Ryan, Woods Richardson, Headrick (7) 

RP: Duran, Jax, Alcala, Sands, Topa, Varland, Henriquez, Funderburk, RAYA, Moran (9)

Maybe keep? Tonkin, Blewett, Helman, Kirilloff, Canterino, Severino, Winder (7)

That's only 31 on the "keep" list. They need another corner outfield bat, starting pitcher and two relievers.

[Rosterman]

Yep, still got two open spots, and you always like those extra names for removal if you do sign a free agent or make a change.

I do wonder how Severino will fit into the greater picture. And what Canterino's role will be with the Twins.

For sure bullpen arm, preferably left-handed, would be a plus. If they can find a 1B/DH with power, that would be a plus, too.