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rdehring

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Everything posted by rdehring

  1. rdehring
    I know what I said about Gonsalves, that he was a bit over rated. Always believed that he was going to be at best a guy that would battle for the #5 spot in the rotation. On the other hand, he was a good pick at whatever round he was taken. Once you get to round 3 or 5 or whatever, not many make it and he appeared to have some upside.
  2. rdehring
    What a great look at an off-season plan, Nick. The best article I have read in a long, long time. Couple of things, however. You included Romero in the group to open the season in the minors. Isn't he out of options? My heart is torn from my chest every time I read one of the numerous dump on Eddie articles this winter. With that said, however, I am not opposed to trading him for the reasons mentioned. My biggest question is what his exodus would do to the chemistry of this team? Knowing not a lot about Iglesias, I question including Balazovic in that deal. We have two pitchers in the minors that I believe have a chance to become that true shutdown ACE, Graterol and Balazovic. For that reason, I would prefer trading anyone from that next group, someone like Duran, Alcala, Colina, Rijo, etc. Yes, I know that the prospect you are highest on may never pitch an inning for the Twins and some other middle of the road prospect, say Ober, may become the next Warren Spahn. But let's hang on to the one or two that we feel has the best chance of being special. Finally, I expect the Twins to extend several of their arbitration players this winter, say, Buxton, Berrios and the reliever closest to free agency from the trio of Rogers, May and Duffey. They will spend several million extra as part of doing this, thus, the payroll would either need to surpass $140mm or they would need to find $5mm+/- savings from your budget above.
  3. rdehring
    Thanks for a reasonably positive post about Eddie. Will second, or third, those comments above about his drop off being related to his injury.
  4. rdehring
    I see Smeltzer beginning the season the same place he ended 2019. That is teaming with the likes of Thorpe, Graterol and Dobnak on the 7am flight to Minnesota from Rochester. I love how the Twins handled their need for a long reliever last year. Keep one of your best three or four starters from AAA in the big league bullpen. When he gets into a game and throws 3 or 4 innings, send him down and bring up the next guy. While in Minnesota he gains big league experience, earns a big league check and is limiting his innings (important for Graterol). When back in Rochester, he is stretched out in the starting rotation. When the need arises for a starter, one of the five comes up and is ready for go for the Twins every fifth day.
  5. rdehring
    That's your opinion that Rosario is coming off his worst year as a pro. My opinion is that he is a core member of this team, an important part of what made the Twins what they were in 2019. Furthermore, he played a good part of the season on a gimpy ankle. Wasn't the same player the last couple months of the season. When healthy, he is one heck of a player who I want on the Minnesota Twins. For whatever reason, I know others are down on him. Kind of like a lot of folks were down on Kepler last winter. Will agree, there are arguments for none of the core getting extensions this winter. Doesn't mean the FO shouldn't work their tails off to get a couple signed. This group came up together as winners nearly every stop of the way through the minors. Time to get after it and win one on the big stage.
  6. rdehring
    As I mentioned on another post, part of that $70mm everyone is talking about will be used to extend several young players. Shouldn't be a huge part, but I see them spending $5-$10mm extra on extensions to several of Berrios, Buxton, Rosario, Sano and one or two of their young relievers. Is also true that they could spend $70mm on new players, then go a step further to extend a couple of those guys. My biggest concern is that they get at least two of the four mentioned above inked to extensions similar in length to Polanco and Kepler. Love the chemistry of these young guys, lets keep them together long-term.
  7. rdehring
    We need to keep in mind that there should be several extensions that will eat up part of that $70mm everyone keeps talking about. Shouldn't be a big part, but could certainly be $5-$10mm if they extend several of Buxton, Berrios, Rosario or Sano. Could also be extensions for a couple young relievers. Hasn't Dyson already been waived and he elected free agency? Count me among those who wants all of the other arbitration back in 2020.
  8. rdehring
    Also thinking how disappointing it was that we wasted the #4 overall pick that year. Just took a look at the 2013 draft. There were 10 pitchers drafted after Stewart, only one (Marco Gonzalez, drafted by St. Louis) has done anything special in the big leagues. Granted a couple could be late bloomers and still do something, but not what I expected when I starter my research. Truth is 2013 was a terrible draft for pitchers. Didn't look to see what has developed from later rounds, but you can't blame the Twins for missing guys that weren't considered top prospects that year.
  9. rdehring
    Hamels and Teheran would both be very interesting as the Twins #4 starter, following Berrios (#2) and Odorizzi (#3)...assuming Jake accepts the QO. The interesting question is who can be obtained on a deal similar to when they traded for Odorizzi. A good #3 starter with a couple years control who can be had for one of those minor league prospects who needs to be added to the 40-man. You know, the next Odorizzi for Wander Javier.
  10. rdehring
    With the 40-man at 31 today, they could add up to 9. BUT, they need at least 3 spots for starters and that assumes one of last year's rookies takes the #5 spot...which is questionable. So they probably need 4 spots for starters. I can see three more players likely to be removed from the roster as they add pitchers, Hildenberger, Harper and Poppen or the new guy. Put all these moves together and it is unlikely they will add more than 7 or 8 at the max. The player I disagree with you most, Seth, is Jax. I see him as a must add as I see him being one of the few from this list who could contribute by late summer. With his limited innings while in the Air Force, I see a much bigger upside than most. The biggest question marks to me are Chalmers, Celestino and Javier. Will be shocked if all three are added. I think the Rijo situation may be a bit like Santana and will be suprised if he isn't added as I expect him to be gone if he isn't.
  11. rdehring
    Agree it will be tough to succeed as a starter without a good third pitch, Mike. But he could be very successful as a reliever with the two plus, plus pitches he has.
  12. rdehring
    There will likely be several starters at Rochester with major league experience. In addition to Graterol, this could include Smeltzer, Thorpe, Dobnak, Stewart and Gonsalves. Unless one sticks with the Twins as a regular starter, I see all of them getting major league time just like last year. Get called up as the 8th reliever in the bullpen for long outings. Then after pitching, sent back to Rochester as a starter with someone else called up. I like this as it accomplishes three things that are important for most of these young guys. One, it gives them major league experience. Two, it also limits their innings as they will be pitching only 3 or 4 innings while with the Twins for a week or so. And three, it gives them a major league check for whatever number of games they are with the Twins. That's a lot of extra cash for most of these guys.
  13. rdehring
    Interesting comparison, especially how Soroka pitched only 30 innings a year ago. None of us know what the guys that will make these decisions are thinking. There is a chance, however, that they may be counting on one of their young starters taking one of those open spots in the rotation. Could it be Graterol? Certainly. But it also could be Dobnak, Thorpe, Smeltzer, or even long shots like Stewart or Gonsalves (assuming they are still Twins come spring training). If it is Graterol, I could see him paired with another starter (Thorpe? Smeltzer?) and pitching only 3-4 innings each start so that he ends the season around 120 innings. Should they bring back Pineda, expect one or two of these young guns will get the opportunity to show their stuff the first six weeks of the season.
  14. rdehring
    Thanks for a reasonable look at his situation, Nick. That's compared with all the dump on Eddie pieces I have seen the past few weeks. The player I see isn't the worst outfielder in baseball. Yes, he makes the boneheaded throw every once in awhile. But the player I watched before his injury was a good left fielder. How many hard hit balls hit along the left field line does he cut off and hold to a single? Constantly doing that is huge, albeit, he did a lot less of that after his injury. Several of his misplayed flyballs were also late in the season when he just wasn't running like the Eddie we have come to love. Will agree that he isn't the same defensively as I saw that first year he was called up, but the worst in baseball...don't care what the new numbers say...no way. I agree that we COULD see multiple trades this winter. But I think they are going to be more like the Odorizzi trade than what everyone is proposing for Eddie. Something like Wander Javier for pitcher X make sense? Or Luke Raley for pitcher Y? Or Nick Gordon for pitcher Z? That's what I am expecting. And if it is going to be 2 prospects for one pitcher I hope it happens in the next three weeks so they can protect one extra prospect from the Rule 5.
  15. rdehring
    Loved it, Stu. Thanks!
  16. rdehring
    He can play on my team. And no one who wasn't in the clubhouse every day knows what effect his injury had on his performance the last couple months. Watching Rosario run around the bases is like watching a deer run. Wasn't running like that after he returned from the ankle injury. What that did to his numbers, not a clue.
  17. rdehring
    Thanks for bringing us a great AFL season, Steve. If history tells us anything, we should be looking forward to Lewis joining the Twins in 2020. Will differ with you on where Raley is next year. I see him as part of a trade the Twins will pull off to fill one of those starting slots. Thanks again, Steve, a championship season for Twins prospects is always good.
  18. rdehring
    Only negative I see is that if he stays on the 40-man, another spot is taken that could have gone to player X. Expect there are going to be several players not added who's absence is going to be a surprise to many of us. Will any of them no longer be Twins come December? Time will tell, but I am expecting they are going to lose somebody (or somebodies) we like...alot.
  19. rdehring
    Hey Travis, great hearing from you. Curious what University you are attending, how far you have gotten, your major, etc? Are your long term plans to stick with real estate or eventually go into your area of study?
  20. rdehring
    When the Twins traded for Odorizzi, I am guessing that no one here or elsewhere thought he would be a likely target. Likewise, I don't have a clue who the Twins will target this winter, hopefully, they will find someone like Odor to make a similar swap. Then resign Odorizzi and they have three good starters at the top of their rotation. Go out and sign one of the better pitchers on the FA market along with one reclmation project (could be Gibby or Pineda) and they are better set for next season's run to the playoffs.
  21. rdehring
    No, keep him behind the plate 90-100 games per year. It makes sense to use him as DH a little more, maybe another 20 games a year when giving Cruz a rest. He had arguably the best season ever for a Twins catcher, don't mess with success.
  22. rdehring
    Yes
  23. rdehring
    Expect this week will cause the Twins to take a real hard look at adding him to their 40-man roster come November. That is unless they can swing a trade prior to then, a trade that would include Raley as part of a package for that starting pitcher.
  24. rdehring
    Who are the best two prospects we have in the minors? I would say Lewis and Kirilloff, as far as position players are concerned. Kirilloff plays first bast, left field and right field. Lewis played short most of the summer and third, center and a bit of second in the AFL. Continue playing both players at those positions and you have 7 of the 9 defensive positions covered. Either could come up in any of THEIR positions to fill in for an injury. Eventually they could come up to start in one of THEIR positions or to be a rotational starter, much like Gonzalez. After all, I recall wondering how Gonzalez was going to find playing time as we sat here late last March. Haven't looked at the stats, but I am guessing he started most of the days he was healthy. Think I will generate a new baseball term.........Rotational Starter!
  25. rdehring
    Well that's a name (Schoendienst) I haven't seen for awhile, a long while. Did you watch him while with the Cards or the Braves?
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