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rdehring

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Everything posted by rdehring

  1. rdehring
    Thanks Seth, that's what I thought. What is more exciting is that none of Lewis, Rooker, Kirilloff, Larnach, and Balazovic have been around long enough so that they needed to be added this year. Heck, wouldn't surprise me if all of them get added during the season next year because they have played their way onto the team.
  2. rdehring
    Got a couple questions, Seth, and thought I would ask about your opinion to them. The Twins weren't able to find a spot to protect Anderson last year and he was traded. Was that done prior to the final date to be added to the 40-man (yesterday) or was it between then and the draft? Based on your experience, is it likely the Twins could pull off a trade for one of these players before the draft in three weeks? I assume I know the answer (no), but could a team acquire someone like Jax in a trade next week and put him on their 40-man, thus, protecting him from the draft?
  3. rdehring
    Excellent article, Seth. Thanks. Don't have a clue who it will be, but I will be disappointed if the Twins don't fill one of the three remaining openings in the rotation by a trade. Hopefully, it will be something like this with a player who will join Berrios and Odorizzi at the top of the rotation.
  4. rdehring
    Expect Smeltzer, Thorpe, Graterol and Dobnak will continue to be the 8th man in the pen via the Rochester shuttle. That is unless one of them becomes the 5th starter, which would be good as that would reduce the number of roster spots they need to find. The one need I see is for a good lefty as long as Rogers remains the go to man at the end of games. Should be a good vet out there who can fill this role without breaking the bank. Assuming they find him, adding Romo would mean someone else would need to be jettisoned from the 40-man.
  5. rdehring
    Mentioning names like that also points out, Seth, how much the Twins 40-man roster has improved. Isn't it exciting to have this problem. Unfortunately excitement will lead to sadness on draft day when someone is plucked from the organization.
  6. rdehring
    Don't know what I expected, but considering 5 or 6 was all they could protect this seems reasonable. My first observation was that 4 of the 5 joined the Twins via trade during the 2018 season. Don't know if there was a prejudice to protect players they brought into the system. But adding Smeltzer and Alcala earlier means that a year later 6 players on the 40-man were brought in via trade. That's a heck of a success story looking back at those trades. Although there usually are surprises, I see three players who have a real chance of being selected in the draft, Javier, Jax and Rijo. Expect that Rijo could be the one most likely to come back and haunt us. The player I will be most disappointed in losing, however, is Jax. Hopefully, we get lucky and none of them are selected...which I suspect is wishful thinking on my part. When you take a look at the roster it appears to be the strongest roster I have seen since I began following these guys however many years ago. Great position players with reserves that can play AND exciting prospects already on the roster. All that remains is filling out the starting rotation, adding a good lefty for the bullpen and a backup catcher. Considering that could be up to five adds, there could still be another player or two removed from the 40-man or exiting via a trade should one include a current member of the team.
  7. rdehring
    In answer to your question, YES. And so glad that you agree. I expect his rate of swinging at pitches out of the zone will actually decrease. Saw him swing at miss at pitches out of the zone when he had two strikes. And he often got to two strikes because the ump called an earlier pitch a strike that was actually a ball. As the umps become more familiar with him and stop making bad strike calls, or we get the robo ump, he will convert a few of those swings to walks which will increase his OBP and further reduce the number of strikeouts.
  8. rdehring
    Now that we are at zero minus 25 hours, I can't see them adding more than 6. Maybe even only 5. Yet all 8 of the players you mention would be at risk if not added. Hopefully, we will learn of a trade before the deadline when they have either moved one of these players for a younger prospect or included one in a bigger trade which will create extra 40-man space. On the flip side, it is nice having a organization so strong that this would become an annual problem.
  9. rdehring
    No I wouldn't. But I am one of those who doesn't particularly like Boyd all that much. Don't see him as being much better than the foursome we saw pitching a lot last September.
  10. rdehring
    Trade Rosario as part of the right package for a pitcher who makes a difference, yes. Trade him even up for Boyd, no. Trade Larnach even up for Boyd, no. Trade Duran even up for Boyd, yes. Trade all three for Boyd, good way for guys in the Twins FO to be fired!
  11. rdehring
    See Berrios and Odorizzi as a solid #2 and #3, in whichever order they determine next spring. Got to get someone like Wheeler who can come in and be an acceptable #1. The trade I see is something similar to when they got Odorizzi, ie, get someone as #4. Hopefully, they can do this again...get someone none of us are talking about with at least two years of control for a prospect or two outside the top half dozen or top ten. As for who would be coming or going, not a clude. That's what the FO gets the big bucks for.
  12. rdehring
    What a great view of how we are looking at Rosario. The only point you and others hit on that I question is the growing perception that Kepler didn't play when banged up. That is far from what I recall from last year. I remember him running into the wall, I believe against the Angels, and continuing to play much of the rest of the season on a gimpy knee. Yes, he developed an injury in his chest area late in the year that put him on the shelf for a few weeks. But he also played with that injury both before resting and throughout the play offs.
  13. rdehring
    This is likely the best feel good story of the year for the Twins. Getting these two, whom we have waited to perform for a long time, to pitch at a very high level of success is just flat out exciting. Can they keep it up next April? Only time will tell, but if they do the Twins don't need to go out and buy an expensive reliever as the back end of their bullpen is set. Yes, they need a solid veteran lefty who dominates left handed hitters. But that would be a complementary piece for what can be one of the better bullpens in the league. Thanks Mr. May and Mr. Duffey. Is it true that of the three, May, Duffey and Rogers, May is the first to become a free agent? If so, lets get him signed to a reasonable extension before they break camp next March.
  14. rdehring
    Very wise comment The Wise One. And I cannot disagree with anything you have written, Nick. I believe, however, that Eddie brings something more to the table. Something that isn't measured in WAR and all those other calculations I don't understand. And that is an energy that can energize an entire team at certain times. I expect a few of the writers see that in him and together with his strength in a few traditional numbers saw him as one of the most valuable players in the game. I can certainly see some Boston writer putting his name on his ballot. And I may sound like I am beating a dead horse, but when he is playing injured or while recovering from an injury he doesn't have the same energy. It is at those times when he is more likely to not run out a ground ball, jog after a ball that he may at other times catch, or go into one of his streaks where he isn't swinging like the Eddie we have come to love. I have a feeling if the Twins didn't need him in the lineup when he is beat up and he only played when healthy, a lot of those new fangled numbers would look a lot better.
  15. rdehring
    What a great look at his situation Old Twins Cap. Got a feeling you may be right on with his situation.
  16. rdehring
    This is great news. The Twins now have two of their top three starting spots filled. Need two more. If they don't get a fifth starter, have no problems letting the four young kids battle it out in spring training. Also hope the Twins talk to him about an extenstion. But doubt any of those discussions will take place until closer to ST when they know how the winter settled out.
  17. rdehring
    Let's not forget Rortvedt, Jeremy. Should be interesting seeing which makes it to the Twins first, my prediction is Ben will be the one. Other than that, love your outlook for 2020. Great seeing them keeping some bullets for the future with a budget well under most predictions. Hopefully, we will hear in the next six hours that Odorizzi will remain a Twin. Then they can start an all out push to get Wheeler signed. Looks to me that he is the next best up after the big two whom we have almost no chance of signing. Lets get it done.
  18. rdehring
    Couple of points of clarification. If a new reliever comes in to start an inning, he must pitch to 3 batters? Or is a pitcher who comes in during an inning only have to pitch to 3 batters? I understand that if you bring a pitcher in with two outs to pitch to one batter, if he gets him out he doesn't need to return to start the next inning. Also a clarification about something that was touched upon above, however, that hasn't been talked about. I understand the roster increases to 28 on September 1. I, like others I suspect, agree with a limit but think 28 is too low. Say 32 or something. Anyway, I recall one of the FO guys talking about it on a broadcast and referenced the changing of the roster with players scratched somewhat like hockey. Is that a roster for every game? Or maybe every series? If it is every game, the roster would still increase to 40, you would only have 28 of them dressed and in the dugout for each game. The other up to 12 would be in the press box? Has anyone seen the details of this or are we all grasping straws?
  19. rdehring
    Rendon is an excellent young player who just saw his value go up in the Series. But $33mm a year, no. And for 8 years, no way. Very few clubs can, or should, make that type of an investment in any one player. Expect Odorizzi is gonna cost more than $12mm per year for 3 years. Would love seeing Wheeler join a rotation with Berrios and Odor.
  20. rdehring
    Agree with Sano because he should play and entire year and Arraez because he will have some experience. But I really believe that Kepler will be better next year and better yet in years beyond.
  21. rdehring
    Sano and Rosario for one year of Betts...no. Add Balazovic and Gordon for Price and his huge contract...h...no. As I said yesterday, Balazovic is one of four prospects who are off the table. The others are Graterol, Lewis and Kirilloff. As for the bullpen, it is 6/8 set with Rogers, May, Duffey, Littell, Stashak and the rotating starters from Rochester on the 7am flight filling the 8th long reliever spot. Will Smith would be a great addition as both the second lefty and another dominant late inning arm. Add another solid vet and the bullpen is AOK! Agree that getting Odorizzi in the fold is a must. Hopefully, we will know by tomorrow that is a done deal reducing the FO job to finding two quality starters, assuming the final spot is a battle between a vet signed to a minor league contract and the four rookies from last year. Agree that once Odorizzi accepts the QO, the FO works out a 3 year extension for probably a bit more than $36million. Or maybe he wants to stay and has another solid offer and we hear tomorrow that he resigned for 3 or 4 years.
  22. rdehring
    I said it last year and will say it again, Kepler is just scratching the surface. Don't know when, but I believe he will be in the hunt for the 'triple crown' at some time in the future. Assuming he has a reasonably long career, I expect Kepler to receive consideration for the Hall of Fame 20 or so years from now. And Arraez will be the player he is. That's a young kid who knows the strike zone as well as anyone in the game. That will keep his OBP very high. Said last year that I expect him to consistently put up years with an OBP near or over .400 with batting averages in the low/mid to mid .300's. Assuming MLB does something about the baseball, Garver and Polanco both may hit less home runs in 2020. Sano on the other hand will hit more as he should have a full season. Most of Sano's home runs are way beyond the fence, thus, hitting them 10 or 20 feet shorter isn't going to cause the frequency of his home runs to decrease a lot. I don't see a huge regression from any of these players. Expect Garver will continue to play about half the time, although maybe more like 100+ games next year. Considering the expected change in the ball, would expect his numbers to dip a bit.
  23. rdehring
    Solid look at a young man who may be more important than any other player on the team. The reason is that he could become that ACE that you can throw out there in game one of any playoff series. Have always seen him as potentially becomming another Pedro Martinez. Will he? That remains to be seen. But if he can make those adjustments you reference, he just might. Whether he does or doesn't, still believe he is a valuable member of the Twins rotation and should be extended this winter even if it requires a million or two more per year than they would like. Let's get creative, front load a few million and keep this young man a Twin for his entire career (no, I am not talking about a 10 year extension, but 5 would be nice).
  24. rdehring
    I know what I said about Gonsalves, that he was a bit over rated. Always believed that he was going to be at best a guy that would battle for the #5 spot in the rotation. On the other hand, he was a good pick at whatever round he was taken. Once you get to round 3 or 5 or whatever, not many make it and he appeared to have some upside.
  25. rdehring
    What a great look at an off-season plan, Nick. The best article I have read in a long, long time. Couple of things, however. You included Romero in the group to open the season in the minors. Isn't he out of options? My heart is torn from my chest every time I read one of the numerous dump on Eddie articles this winter. With that said, however, I am not opposed to trading him for the reasons mentioned. My biggest question is what his exodus would do to the chemistry of this team? Knowing not a lot about Iglesias, I question including Balazovic in that deal. We have two pitchers in the minors that I believe have a chance to become that true shutdown ACE, Graterol and Balazovic. For that reason, I would prefer trading anyone from that next group, someone like Duran, Alcala, Colina, Rijo, etc. Yes, I know that the prospect you are highest on may never pitch an inning for the Twins and some other middle of the road prospect, say Ober, may become the next Warren Spahn. But let's hang on to the one or two that we feel has the best chance of being special. Finally, I expect the Twins to extend several of their arbitration players this winter, say, Buxton, Berrios and the reliever closest to free agency from the trio of Rogers, May and Duffey. They will spend several million extra as part of doing this, thus, the payroll would either need to surpass $140mm or they would need to find $5mm+/- savings from your budget above.
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