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ToddlerHarmon

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Everything posted by ToddlerHarmon

  1. ToddlerHarmon
    If the taxi squad doesn't count for service time, Celestino, or Lewis, might be a good plan for an injury replacement for defensive center fielder. Cave and Wade can, but shouldn't. Kepler can, but then right field suffers. Similarly, Javier might be a consideration for shortstop defense.
  2. ToddlerHarmon
    Another delightful contribution from Parker. The little "like" check just doesn't seem like enough
  3. ToddlerHarmon
    I agree that the Revere comparison is a stretch, but this is a good analysis of *why* As for comparing to Knoblauch, you have to remember his value (and his batting statistics) were greatly enhanced by his speed and extremely intelligent baserunning. Arraez is not in that class.
  4. ToddlerHarmon
    vs RHP: Arraez Donaldson Cruz Kepler Sano Rosario Garver Polanco Buxton vs LHP: LOLOMG
  5. ToddlerHarmon
    Odo, Maeda, and Hill all look like good candidates for shutdown 4- and 5-inning pitchers. Which is great, if we make sure we have several 2- and 3-inning relievers. May, Duffey, and Littell certainly could do that if the workload is managed. Put them on a set 3-game rotation, and you might have a recipe for keeping the starters fresh and effective
  6. ToddlerHarmon
    9 guys who made at least one all star game, including a HOFer, 3 guys who are next tier at worst. I'll take it, especially when Devon White, Steve Yeager, and Jay Buhner may be the *floor* for their Twins comps. Helluva lineup
  7. ToddlerHarmon
    Accurate and unlikely to shake out much different, noting as you did that Chacin and Wisler have to earn it. A very comfy roster.
  8. ToddlerHarmon
    "We’ll all have to wait to see where Donaldson bats in the Twins lineup; manager Rocco Baldelli doesn’t seem to know" If I were Baldelli, I'd be writing uniform numbers on bingo balls. He can't miss
  9. ToddlerHarmon
    Echoing others, it is frustrating to see that May never failed as a starter. But hopefully the rebirth of the fireman role will let the Twins wring out maximum value.
  10. ToddlerHarmon
    Got it, UZR is overall results, and OAA is situational results. If overall is worse than the sum of its parts, then infielders were being put in bad situations. Thanks!
  11. ToddlerHarmon
    Good article, and I agree with the premise that infield defense is less important than it used to be. However, I also believe that defense is deeply undervalued by the statistics we have available. Like elite talent, defense has a way of showing up in the postseason. Perhaps that is just confirmation bias (winning team also got lucky enough to have opportunities to make good plays, but weren't any more likely to do so), or perhaps talent and defensive skill are by definition anti-stochastic, i.e. difference makers. One minor bit: if the Twins infield UZR was -20, and their OAA was -15, doesn't that imply that they employed the shift to a 5-out advantage? You implied the opposite. Or did you quote the numbers backwards?
  12. ToddlerHarmon
    Yes. From the fans' perspective, 29 teams lose every year. If only one team reaps the ultimate fan reward, there is little to be gained from taking on an average level of risk. Put your chips in on a player. Sixth best team is not what you are playing for.
  13. ToddlerHarmon
    I'm okay with Sano at third in 2020, in hopes he improves. However, it seems to me that his limited range stretches Polanco too, so something needs to give. Is it just me, or did Polanco do much better defensively when Gonzales was filling in at third every day?
  14. ToddlerHarmon
    Maybe turn the question inside out. Who do you want to pitch twice in Yankee Stadium if necessary? Berrios. So he starts game two and five. Odo thus starts one and 4, with a short leash in one, knowing that Berrios can save the bullpen in 2.
  15. ToddlerHarmon
    I'm guessing that Romero's and Gibson's appearances were because we don't get any more chances to evaluate them against good lineups fighting for their lives. So this may have been to see if Romero can be considered for the playoff roster, and if Gibson could be a bullpen option.
  16. ToddlerHarmon
    I don't know, but it is gratifying that the top two WAR performers were both signed to cheap, long-term contracts this winter right before breaking into all-star production levels. Gratifying for future competitiveness by itself, but also gratifying as evidence of the front office's skills in identifying talent.
  17. ToddlerHarmon
    Liked for proper use of "penultimate"
  18. ToddlerHarmon
    My difference from the OP: 1) Adrianza over Miller 2) Gibson over Littell, sending Perez to the bullpen I'm more sure about 1 than 2. Injuries bring in: IF: Astudillo OF: Miller RHP: Littell LHP: Thorpe And I differ on the starting lineup. No platoon: catchers need scheduled days off, and with this offensive bliss, why would you: Cruz Garver Cron Arraez Sano Polanco Rosario Buxton Kepler
  19. ToddlerHarmon
    jz7233 nailed it. Not only does Sano hit 4 of the 10, no one else hits more than 1. If Sano is on when the playoffs start, I feel pretty good, no matter who we are facing.
  20. ToddlerHarmon
    This brings up a question: has a pitcher ever got a Win without throwing a pitch? Same situation as Duffey, but before the first pitch, he picks off a runner. The rulebook would seem to say that's a win.
  21. ToddlerHarmon
    Not to turn this into a bad thing, but doesn't this indicate that MarGo should be hitting near the bottom of the order, instead of his usual 3rd or 6th?
  22. ToddlerHarmon
    Edit the headline please, move the "with" to the right of Matt Canterino
  23. ToddlerHarmon
    Dusten Knight was released by Pensacola three weeks ago, and is now in the Mexican League. I don't know why.
  24. ToddlerHarmon
    Hmm. The three items you notice: the bottom hand not drifting early, the top hand not turning early, and the bottom arm not folding in to the body, all could be indicative of more relative strength in his bottom (left) arm and wrist. Strength training can eliminate strength asymmetry. Buxton is noted for his powerful (right) throwing arm. Are the improvements due to his left arm getting stronger and catching up? Plus, what was the name of the magic cow?
  25. ToddlerHarmon
    Actual question here: does it work that way? I was walking around assuming that once a team non-tenders you, you are a free agent and are contract-to-contract forevermore. But I agree that Falvine decided on a simple definition of low-risk contract: two years or less. And be willing to cut bait on a poor performer even within that short time frame. A simple concept - merit based pay, but it is working out spectacularly.
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