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ToddlerHarmon

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Everything posted by ToddlerHarmon

  1. ToddlerHarmon
    Any idea why Duffey didn't pitch the sixth? Was Rocco hoping he would be there for a save, or a later-inning emergency? Winning this game would have been a dagger to Cleveland. Still, I'm happy to see a nice outing from Hill.
  2. ToddlerHarmon
    Assuming Pineda will be back in the rotation next week, we only need to fill one start. I'd rather that be Duran on a short leash than another bullpen game.
  3. ToddlerHarmon
    In hoping that Berrios' struggles are a phantom, I wondered whether his bad August performances, now that we can include this one, are about jumpy fly balls and not fatigue. The BABIP numbers hint at that, but they don't explain the poor control and the anecdotal ground balls slipping through that you chronicled. So now I'm back to worrying
  4. ToddlerHarmon
    Mickey Hatcher, Lew Ford, the aforementioned Bombo, jumped into my head as guys who (briefly) played way over their heads to the delight of fans
  5. ToddlerHarmon
    Mickey Hatcher, Lew Ford, the aforementioned Bombo, jumped into my head as guys who (briefly) played way over their heads to the delight of fans
  6. ToddlerHarmon
    8,000 per game on average! How many games has Target Field had paid attendance that low? I'm guessing 0.
  7. ToddlerHarmon
    It looks like the secret sauce is that Dobnak's four seamer and two seamer have similar horizontal movement, and maybe hitters can't really recognize the pitch and guess the late vertical "movement". So they are always just high (grounders) or just low (popups). Whereas other pitchers with more movement may generate whiffs from such trickery, Dobnak gets the (preferred?) result of bad contact. Analytics has definitely revived vertical differentiation of pitches as a tactic for pitchers. Is this a case of "tunneling" two fastballs, rather than a fastball/breaking ball combo?
  8. ToddlerHarmon
    Stashak was good and all, but disappointing the Twins couldn't finish the Trevor-Tyler-Tyler-Taylor combo. Ah well, there's another game tomorrow.
  9. ToddlerHarmon
    TEN wins? In twelve starts? Yes that is just one hot streak (a la Radke's 14? straight), but that is a very tall order. Similarly 25 HR in 60 games. I fear Bailey and Dobnak may stumble, and there's not much room for that. Non-bold prediction: Twins make the playoffs
  10. ToddlerHarmon
    Buxton and Sano look back on track as of today, so... No, we have baseball's no 1 lineup. I will say that it's interesting that the projections have Rosario as 5th best hitter, but many expect he will deservedly hit in the 8th spot. Due to the difficulty in projecting Arraez and Garver. But also, do the projections not like Polanco?
  11. ToddlerHarmon
    Nick, thank you for saying something. This is not something that should be ignored. For my part, I was hoping to hear Twins Daily's take if only to get a clear recap of the events. As for Kepler, I think we can ask that he educate himself, and reserve judgment until next time. I'm ok with athletes not jumping into political frays, but he has inadvertently done so. Now he has an opportunity to gain community support, and not be just a guy wearing our favorite uniform.
  12. ToddlerHarmon
    If the taxi squad doesn't count for service time, Celestino, or Lewis, might be a good plan for an injury replacement for defensive center fielder. Cave and Wade can, but shouldn't. Kepler can, but then right field suffers. Similarly, Javier might be a consideration for shortstop defense.
  13. ToddlerHarmon
    Another delightful contribution from Parker. The little "like" check just doesn't seem like enough
  14. ToddlerHarmon
    I agree that the Revere comparison is a stretch, but this is a good analysis of *why* As for comparing to Knoblauch, you have to remember his value (and his batting statistics) were greatly enhanced by his speed and extremely intelligent baserunning. Arraez is not in that class.
  15. ToddlerHarmon
    vs RHP: Arraez Donaldson Cruz Kepler Sano Rosario Garver Polanco Buxton vs LHP: LOLOMG
  16. ToddlerHarmon
    Odo, Maeda, and Hill all look like good candidates for shutdown 4- and 5-inning pitchers. Which is great, if we make sure we have several 2- and 3-inning relievers. May, Duffey, and Littell certainly could do that if the workload is managed. Put them on a set 3-game rotation, and you might have a recipe for keeping the starters fresh and effective
  17. ToddlerHarmon
    9 guys who made at least one all star game, including a HOFer, 3 guys who are next tier at worst. I'll take it, especially when Devon White, Steve Yeager, and Jay Buhner may be the *floor* for their Twins comps. Helluva lineup
  18. ToddlerHarmon
    Accurate and unlikely to shake out much different, noting as you did that Chacin and Wisler have to earn it. A very comfy roster.
  19. ToddlerHarmon
    "We’ll all have to wait to see where Donaldson bats in the Twins lineup; manager Rocco Baldelli doesn’t seem to know" If I were Baldelli, I'd be writing uniform numbers on bingo balls. He can't miss
  20. ToddlerHarmon
    Echoing others, it is frustrating to see that May never failed as a starter. But hopefully the rebirth of the fireman role will let the Twins wring out maximum value.
  21. ToddlerHarmon
    Got it, UZR is overall results, and OAA is situational results. If overall is worse than the sum of its parts, then infielders were being put in bad situations. Thanks!
  22. ToddlerHarmon
    Good article, and I agree with the premise that infield defense is less important than it used to be. However, I also believe that defense is deeply undervalued by the statistics we have available. Like elite talent, defense has a way of showing up in the postseason. Perhaps that is just confirmation bias (winning team also got lucky enough to have opportunities to make good plays, but weren't any more likely to do so), or perhaps talent and defensive skill are by definition anti-stochastic, i.e. difference makers. One minor bit: if the Twins infield UZR was -20, and their OAA was -15, doesn't that imply that they employed the shift to a 5-out advantage? You implied the opposite. Or did you quote the numbers backwards?
  23. ToddlerHarmon
    Yes. From the fans' perspective, 29 teams lose every year. If only one team reaps the ultimate fan reward, there is little to be gained from taking on an average level of risk. Put your chips in on a player. Sixth best team is not what you are playing for.
  24. ToddlerHarmon
    I'm okay with Sano at third in 2020, in hopes he improves. However, it seems to me that his limited range stretches Polanco too, so something needs to give. Is it just me, or did Polanco do much better defensively when Gonzales was filling in at third every day?
  25. ToddlerHarmon
    Maybe turn the question inside out. Who do you want to pitch twice in Yankee Stadium if necessary? Berrios. So he starts game two and five. Odo thus starts one and 4, with a short leash in one, knowing that Berrios can save the bullpen in 2.
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