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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Though Buxton’s can’t be replaced, Cave is great depth to have in AAA.
  2. jorgenswest
    Yes. They made the wild card but there wasn't an extra wild card game. There is a lot of season left. Let’s hope for a great week this week.
  3. jorgenswest
    Welcome to TD! That might be what we can expect for Gordon. How do you think Leake will match up in the playoffs against the Yankees or Astros?
  4. jorgenswest
    On June 16, 2006 the Tigers had the best record in the AL and an 11 game lead over the Twins. A good week but I hope they don’t regret the two wins they left on the table. Let’s hope this is a great week.
  5. jorgenswest
    Someone will pay up for Bumgarner. If it is not the Twins I guess we can celebrate that we will still have a top 10 system as we match up Perez against Bumgarner and the Yankees in the post season.
  6. jorgenswest
    I guess a few questions... How many plays has Gonzalez missed this year that he should have made? I can recall a great catch he made against Chicago and his catch last night in the ninth kept an incredibly fast runner off the bases. Is that balanced with several balls he should have caught like the Maldonado ball? I don’t recall others and I don’t see any on inside edge fielding. Didn’t Adrianza have a game earlier this week against the Mariners where he showed off some excellent base running skill? If I recall he was on second and took third on a ball in the dirt. His secondary lead allowed him that base. He then followed by scoring with the infield in due a nice secondary and great slide. Those don’t seem like the moves of a plodding base runner.
  7. jorgenswest
    I hope they take a run at Bumgarner. There is a lot to like here. His velocity remains at his career rate. He has a history of success in big games. He currently pitches for a team that isn’t playing any meaningful games and has a poor defense behind him. For fear of starting another Verlander thread I think there are some parallels in situation and performance. Verlander’s ERA at trade was 3.82 (87 ERA-) and Bumgarner 3.83 (91 ERA-). I really think playing for a competitive team with a good defense helped get the best out of Verlander and will out of Bumgarner. The Twins also have a competitive advantage in the market here because they aren’t on the no trade list. Go get him.
  8. jorgenswest
    If the Twins are serious about this year they are going to need to trade off some of the future. I think the Giants will find someone to give up a Graterol level pitching prospect for Bumgarner. Will it be the Twins?
  9. jorgenswest
    It might help if the Twins didn’t shuttle him and keep him in AAA until he is dominating at that level. They can shuttle other guys. I guess your comment does make me wonder what else will make him pitch tight. Would fear of failure also apply to high leverage situations? Might he not pitch as well in those situations? This is mostly on him though. He has the talent that will give him multiple opportunities but ultimately he is the only one that can get past this hurdle.
  10. jorgenswest
    I would hope they would be cautious and private about the health of their players. Beyond that they are injured or facts like they had surgery we don’t need to know.
  11. jorgenswest
    From Tom’s video he has made some changes to his arm slot. Maybe that is the edge he needs to make the next step.
  12. jorgenswest
    It didn’t take long for that hope to get shaken.
  13. jorgenswest
    I still have hope in Romero. He can get swings and misses with his stuff.
  14. jorgenswest
    The Twins need to acquire at least two relievers. One can be a veteran on an expiring contract. The other should be an emerging reliever some team control. Comps from last year might be Soria and Pressly. I think they will be able to do better than Soria. I don’t think there is any hope they will find a team foolish enough to give up a Pressly. They shouldn’t be looking for bargains. They need to be ready to pay whatever the market demands. If they have their sites set on Will Smith and Amir Garrett they have the prospect assets to get both. Pay up.
  15. jorgenswest
    Blake Parker velocity is down more than 2 mph compared to the previous two Junes. It is down from the start of this season. A drop in velocity doesn’t need to have a large sample to indicate something is not right. It could be an injury. It could be a change in mechanics. It could be age. I don’t think it is the workload. I doubt that it is random variation.
  16. jorgenswest
    I suppose it is hard to get to 1500 innings if you are well below average so that set of players may be skewed. Sano is below the median of that skewed group. I looked at the UZR by team at 3B for this year. There are 15 teams above 0 and 15 teams below 0. The Twins rank is second. I don't see support for a conclusion of terrible play at 3B where it would be necessary to move Sano off 3B in the near future.
  17. jorgenswest
    He seems like an inexpensive option. I would prefer they pay up in prospects to get a better reliever.
  18. jorgenswest
    I think people have been wondering if he can stick at 3B since he arrived in 2015. Five seasons and nearly 1800 innings and he has a career UZR150 of -1.1. He has performed as an average 3B. That won’t continue forever but it doesn’t for anyone as they approach 30. Defense declines first. Will he stick at 3B? Is 5 years sticking at 3B? The guys in the Twins front office making a living in baseball see him as a 3B. His performance suggests he will be next year. His performance as close to an average 3B with his power is an asset to this team.
  19. jorgenswest
    Two of his three walks were to Encarnacion and close to intentional. He got the following batter Vogelbach to strike out the first two at bats. It is the third at bat against Vogelbach that was bothersome. He stayed on the outside every pitch of that at bat. He needed to trust his stuff and come in hard inside. Eventually Vogelbach three his bat out there and flared one to left for an RBI. I am not worried about the walks. I do wonder if he is questioning his stuff as he pitches to Encarnacion and even coming inside against Vogelbach.
  20. jorgenswest
    I don’t care what prospect capital they spend to get there but I do care about the bullpen at the deadline. The low bar is acquiring two relievers. One can be a player like Will Smith - a late inning reliever on an expiring contract. The other is an emerging reliever around age 27 with at last one more year of control. Pay in prospects whatever the market demands.
  21. jorgenswest
    I agree. If the Twins are serious about acquiring pitching help they are not starting negotiations with Jake Cave.
  22. jorgenswest
    The Twins shouldn’t prioritize getting the best deal. They need to prioritize getting the best reliever(s). I don’t want Tony Watson because he can be acquired a good price. Pay up and get a better reliever.
  23. jorgenswest
    He won’t be a free agent until 2024. The Reds might sell high on him having a career year at age 27. He won’t be inexpensive.
  24. jorgenswest
    I trust Kimbrel more than Parker, May, Duffey, Harper... I don’t think he is the best option. I would trust Smith, Giles and Hand over Kimbrel.
  25. jorgenswest
    I would look for one of two types. They need to add someone at the top of the bullpen. There are several on the list up there that would qualify. I would avoid Diekman, Romo and Watson. Older guys used in set up roles, I think I would avoid Givens and Holland also. I would certainly want to dig deep on their command. The other type is the Pressly type. Someone with control that appears to be emerging. Amir Garrett or Robert Stephenson from the Reds might be candidates. They are top 10 in pitch/100 for sliders. Carlos Estevez and Brandon Brennan in that list also. There are a few similar pitchers in the curve ball list. How good is Barlow’s curve ball? It has top 10 pitch value but he doesn’t use it as much as his slider. Scouting is key here.
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