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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    I don't understand how you can give full credit to this FO when it comes to "completely turning around a mess of a franchise," but then not hold them primarily responsible when the team flames out in the postseason. If this team is their creation, and we laud them for the division titles and regular season win percentage, why don't they share an equivalent level of blame for the postseason failures?
  2. KirbyDome89
    Every statement huh? In '19 KC and Detroit lost over 100 games while the Sox lost 89. The Twins didn't benefit? Kyle Gibson and Martin Perez soaked up starts that entire year. Guys like Matt Magill and Blake Parker were getting innings in the bullpen. That's depth? The Pressly trade wasn't a bad one? I don't see the irrationality in pointing these out.
  3. KirbyDome89
    It wasn't rosy at the major league level that particular season, but the young players in the organization at that time have played a massive role in the success the club has had the last few years. Does that not seem like a fortuitous situation to inherit? IMO Cruz is probably their most impactful signing/trade and you left him off your list. I'll pick on the other names just a bit though. Odorizzi was subpar in '18, he had a really nice first half in '19 before regressing in the second, and he was pretty meh in a short season last year. Pineda missed '18 due to recovery (as expected at the time of signing) and then missed half of '19 due to injury and a suspension. He started 5 games last season and didn't throw an inning in the postseason because the Twins were swept.....again. I wouldn't add Colome to any impact list. Donaldson certainly is the biggest move the FO has made, and I supported it, but he missed over half of last season due to injuries. Maeda had a great year. I tend to agree with gunnarthor's assessment of him moving forward, but he was impressive last year, even if it was only 11 games. At least at the major league level, I'm not sure I'd say this FO is responsible for the complete turnaround. As has been pointed out, they've augmented the roster, and I think there's legitimate debate as to how well they've done that. Of course there's the modern revamping that has gone on behind the curtain so to speak, and we haven't had a chance to see most of the draft picks from '17 to present day. My push back is directed at the notion this FO inherited a roster that needed to be rebuilt.
  4. KirbyDome89
    I'm probably inclined to agree; I'd roll the dice on Paxton's injury history because of his ceiling, and I think Quintana offers the same floor as Happ with a slightly higher ceiling to boot. Ideally any of those three would take that back end spot, rather than it being a revolving door. Shoemaker has been injured and/or below average for 3+ seasons now. There's no real reason to trust Thorpe or Smeltzer, and I'm not high on Dobnak starting for any extended period of time either. I'm guessing you have Balazovic and Duran as the 6 & 7? If one or both of them could solidify a rotation spot it'd be the best case scenario, but that's a lot to ask of two guys who've thrown almost exclusively in A ball the last few years. The 5 spot is shaky, and that puts pressure on the front of the rotation that is already dealing with Berrios' trouble finishing seasons and Pineda's penchant for DL stints. Are we counting on Maeda to replicate his '20 as well? In a vacuum Shoemaker as a depth piece or ST competition is fine, but similar to what I said in the Happ thread after his signing, the issue is that these guys won't be used as such.
  5. KirbyDome89
    Berrios Maeda Pineda Happ Shoemaker/Dobnak/Smeltzer/Thorpe That back end is far from confidence inspiring.
  6. KirbyDome89
    If performance in 2020 is the determining factor for this season then you have to feel pretty good about the pitching staff. They were at or near the top of the league for the 60 game season. Do you see that continuing for 2021? I'm far more concerned about the rotation and bullpen regressing back to the mean than I am about the offense failing to do so over a full season.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Appreciate the advice. I'm officially under 5K owed for federal loans (I finished private ones a few years back) as of my last payment, which was the only reason I was considering dabbling in either stock. Similar to TheLeviathan, I'd probably only pump in a few hundred dollars but it sounds like that $$ could either be put towards better investments or running down my loan payments while I'm interest free. Maybe using the money to subscribe to the stock advisor would be a decent compromise as well. Definitely not a diamond hands guy either, at least not at the level some redditors proclaim to be. Who knows, maybe the most vocal ones aren't the guys with lots on the line, or maybe they really just don't care and the potential loss is worth the statement they're sending. Either way, my goal would be to take a little risk and make a little $$.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Honest investment question here; is it worth it to get in on AMC (GME ship has sailed?) from an earnings standpoint? The diamonds hands movement on r/wallstreetbets is incredibly entertaining. The **** RH pulled yesterday and the gaslighting from supposedly credible media sources is disgusting. I'm pulling for the so called "unwashed masses," here, but chipping away at student loans during this 0% interest period would take precedence if my investments likely would be lost.
  9. KirbyDome89
    So we're counting on: 1) Pineda being available for a full season, 2) Maeda continuing to be the pitcher we saw for 11 games last year, and not the 4 seasons prior 3) Berrios to avoid his annual late season fade 4) A revolving door at the 5th spot being productive And if all of that shakes out in favor of the Twins they'll have a rotation that "isn't that bad, could be pretty good, but isn't top tier." Yikes.
  10. KirbyDome89
    They needed this. When Buxton inevitably misses time, having Polanco, Arraez, and Kepler/Cave as the middle of your defense isn't exactly inspiring. There shouldn't be any hand wringing over Simmons' bat. He isn't being signed to provide an offensive boost. There are plenty of bats on this roster capable of making up for his average offensive output.
  11. KirbyDome89
    He's one PIneda DL stint (not unlikely) away from being a guy that needs to give the Twins at least 5 innings in a playoff game. A 38 year old, soft tossing lefty, with a track record of postseason struggles, and the expectation is 5 or more solid innings? Pass. He's only a depth piece if he's used as such, and as the current number 4 I doubt that's the case. Hopefully it changes by opening day.
  12. KirbyDome89
    I'm glad the Sox are f***ing this up. As a Twins fan why wouldn't we want them to hire La Russa over more qualified candidates? La Russa's political affiliation, or his critique of a politicized organization doesn't make him a "racist." There's no need to grasp at straws to label him as such in order to justify his dismissal. His relationship with his daughters or his marital strife is equally as irrelevant. If Chicago ownership decides to go another direction after his most recent DUI incident conveniently came to light then that's their right. It doesn't have to go any further than that. If some of you are so disgusted with La Russa's hire, watching the hometown team must be agonizing as well. The Twins roster isn't full of choir boys. Also, Cora somehow gets a pass from the morality police on his legitimacy as a managerial candidate? Smh....
  13. KirbyDome89
    Not to mention the Twins have the advantage of playing one of, if not the easiest 60 game schedules in all of baseball. Nearly 2/3 of their games are against teams that finished 10 games or more under .500, and 1/3 of them are against two of the worst teams in baseball. Maybe Cincy and the Sox rise up, but right now I'd say this shortened schedule works in favor of the Twins.
  14. KirbyDome89
    I meant leverage in getting a deal done. Of course any of the three teams could back out at any point, nobody is being held hostage in the negotiations.
  15. KirbyDome89
    Both MLBTR and TD had projections higher than what Berrios submitted. They're not gospel, but dragging a guy you need to extend to an arbitration hearing over 300K seems to be losing the forest for the trees.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Me too, but I think Boston believed they were getting a true starter prospect in Graterol. I'm sure they're pushing for either Balazovic or Duran. I'm also not sure what leverage, if any, the Twins have right now. If the roles were reversed and MN was parting with a generational talent like Betts, I can't imagine the uproar if their only return was salary relief and a pitching prospect with uncertain medicals + a throw in.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Where did I even imply that was the standard? They gave up a top pitching prospect for an average pitcher. As I said in OP you quoted, it's an understandable move. I agree with Steve though, in regards to where their season ends, I don't think the addition of Maeda moves the needle much. This strawman has popped up a few times in this thread. I've seen posters suggest they aren't happy with the trade based on value lost/gained, but I haven't seen any "fantasy," proposals, so I'm not sure why this is even being brought up. Count me amongst the feeble minded then. This organization hasn't won a single playoff game since 2004, and they haven't won a single series in nearly 20 years. This isn't the only team in the last two decades to possess elite talent. The results of choosing not to supplement it, and "hoping to get hot," speak for themselves. I'd rather not see a repeat....
  18. KirbyDome89
    I agree with each of you to a point. I would've rather seen a big package for a big return too. Maybe that wasn't possible right now, maybe it was and MN wasn't willing to pay that price. I've expressed concern that this move is a half measure, and I 100% see it as a move that solidifies a division title but doesn't get them out of a postseason series. That said, I've bitched nonstop about the risk of handing 2 rotation spots to Dobnak/Thorpe/Smeltzer, relying on Baily, Hill, and Pineda to all be healthy and effective, and crossing your fingers that nothing happens to Odorizzi and Berrios. I think MN probably could've made it to July too, even with a poor starting rotation, but I understand why the Twins pulled the trigger here. I just don't think it's a move anybody should love.
  19. KirbyDome89
    The quality of future adds is really what's in question. Do we believe the Pohlad's view his incentive laden deal as a bargain and therefore put their theoretical surplus towards more talent? Of equal importance is whether the FO views the low cost contract as a springboard for acquiring the front end talent they need. As I said in another post, if this is a move and not the move then the Twins are off to a good start. If this acquisition means the FO is content to sit out another deadline then I think we need to reassess the deal. Agreed on plugging a rotation hole for more than one year.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Bailey, HIll, and Pineda all have serious injury histories and concerns yet all three were signed this offseason. Maeda's contract is incentive heavy based on his physical when coming to the US, and the Dodgers have been throttling his IPs the last few seasons to alleviate some of that anxiety. I think moving Graterol has everything to do with where MN sees him heading forward, and what they think they can get from Maeda. Hopefully the FO is right.
  21. KirbyDome89
    I'd say I feel kind of "meh," more than anything. MN needed an arm. I'm on board with moving prospects to make that happen. Pushing one of Smeltzer/Dobnak/Thorpe out of a rotation spot is a positive. That said, this seems like a half measure. The FO landed another mid to back end rotation arm. There's value in solidifying the starting group, but they're still lacking at their greatest position of need, front end starters. If this is a move and not the move in regards to additions then I'm in favor. If this means the FO can be comfortable standing pat in July then we're being set up for another letdown in October.
  22. KirbyDome89
    Sure, I agree that truth is unwavering no matter how you arrive at it, but that isn't what's being questioned. If we're assessing character, then Fier's motives certainly should be scrutinized. Did his moral fiber suddenly grow so strong over 2+ years that he felt compelled to blow the whistle, or was he a jilted ex that watched his former team and current rival, which kept him off the playoff roster in 17', win the AL West ahead of Oakland and make deep playoff runs, while the A's failed to make it out of the WC game? Fiers isn't the "good guy," more than any other player on that 17' roster, and he certainly benefitted from having an offense that knew what was coming.
  23. KirbyDome89
    Fiers blowing the whistle on his old team 2 years later doesn't place him in a category above anybody else on that squad; i.e. he isn't the "good guy," either. IMO his motivation for bringing the story to light is fairly questionable. Altruism wouldn't be my first guess as to why he started talking.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Brooks initially posted it, but by the logic used here didn't the Twins cheat the entire league last year, the AL Central in particular, by riding Pineda's hot second half to a division title? As far as links to MN and cheating, it's a fallacy to prove a negative. That doesn't mean the Twins are entirely innocent here. Most fan bases would be better off reserving judgement. It's entirely possible all of this is more widespread, or that using video to gain an advantage runs much deeper than what is currently being reported. We can name individual players who were caught using PEDs during the 90s/early 00s, but we also know the problem went well beyond those individuals. While MLB tries to clean up their house, they very well could be content to let Houston and Boston bear the brunt of public scrutiny.
  25. KirbyDome89
    That uncertainty about what might be available and how it stacks up against previous FA classes or trade deadlines only strengthens my point, no? There have been opportunities to add and management has consistently passed. Pitching was an issue when this FO took over 3+ years ago. It continues to be today, and the corner they've painted themselves into grows tighter every time the goal posts move. I think the price of deadline acquisitions is being downplayed. Bargains and "assigned value," aren't typically found in July, and so far we've seen no evidence that this FO is willing to move off of either. IMO there's a very real chance that this team enters the postseason with Berrios as their best arm. I hope I'm wrong.....
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