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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    He's well over 2K career PAs with a .331 OBP and .824 OPS. What team is turning their nose up at that?
  2. KirbyDome89
    23 ABs and we're 7 days into the season....
  3. KirbyDome89
    I know I sure do. After racking up 2 hits in his lone start this season I'm ready to pencil him in at the top of the lineup for the the foreseeable future.
  4. KirbyDome89
    No, the difference is I'm not using speculation about no hitters ruining entire careers and suspect association claims regarding the medical necessity to remove him from in game, in an effort to rationalize the decision. As far as I know the only things I pointed to were his low pitch count relative to a "normal range," and the decision of the current manager and FO to let him throw over 100 pitches in a CG to begin the season a few years ago. Again, if you're just going to appeal to authority posting in dedicated fan threads seems like an odd choice. When does 2020 become an example of "if you give them an excuse they'll use it?" Honestly. He made starts all through the shortened regular season & brief postseason, he went through an offseason routine, he had a normal ST, and he isn't coming back from any sort of injury/surgery ect. At some point it's 2021. Numbers like 125, 130, (140?) ect aren't really relevant because they took him out at 84, while he was mowing down that Brewers lineup. Maybe he continues on that pace which would put him right around his CG pitch total after 8 innings. Maybe he gets a couple quick outs. Maybe he starts to labor or gives up a hit. The point is, he wasn't afforded to opportunity for any of the above scenarios to play out.
  5. KirbyDome89
    I didn't have a problem with it a few years ago; I certainly wouldn't have decried Berrios getting a similar opportunity the other day. I know you don't actually believe individual awards/accomplishments don't matter to these guys. Yes, it's a team sport, but I can't imagine a single pitcher would tell you they wouldn't want the opportunity to achieve something rare such as a no hitter at the major league level.
  6. KirbyDome89
    That's an interesting twist on what I actually posted. Rather than making assumptions about points I didn't make, instead, let's assume you're capable of searching through medical journals and finding peer reviewed articles that are comfortable making any sort of concrete statement when it comes to pitch counts, and then show me that Berrios was maxed out at 84. That is the bar you've chosen to set after all. Save everybody the time reading your replies and just copy paste "They know more than us," in every thread...
  7. KirbyDome89
    Ignoring the assumed knowledge of where the line for manageable is, and what happens when it's crossed, he threw 84 pitches yesterday, which doesn't even put him into the typical workload range. The guy started the season with complete game just a couple years ago but letting him to continue to cruise yesterday was foolish and risky? Disagree.
  8. KirbyDome89
    That seems like a bit of a false equivalence no? We're going to discount the anterior capsule surgery and his age at that time? Personally I disagree with pulling Berrios, but there's a defense of that decision which doesn't involve speculation that Johan's career ended because he was allowed to complete his own no hitter.
  9. KirbyDome89
    The walks are the most encouraging part of Buxton's day. His power, as well as his skills on the base paths and in the field have been on display for a while. My concern is the strikeouts in the first two ABs. Dialing in his K% and BB% is an ongoing battle, and I expect some volatility. It was the manner in which the strikeouts occurred that was troubling; he simply looked overmatched facing Woodruff. It was like watching the '15 or '16 version of him, where he on the defensive the entire AB rather than attacking with a plan.
  10. KirbyDome89
    They put 5 runs despite leaving 13 men on base. A timely hit in the 5th or 6th off of Peralta and the game is borderline out of reach entering the 9th. That's far from a pathetic offense.
  11. KirbyDome89
    No joke, thought this was an April Fools article.... I had to take off heading into the 9th but I assumed the game was in hand. Yikes...
  12. KirbyDome89
    Crowing about versatility is meaningless without context. Astudillo is a below average defender at every position he plays. The Twins have 4 OFers and a super sub in Arraez. Each position on the team has a defensive backup that is more capable than Astudillo. His "versatility," isn't valuable given the current roster construction. Offensively he has zero plate discipline, doesn't hit for power, and despite his ability to put the ball in play it doesn't find a hole often enough to compensate for what the rest of his offensive game lacks. There are better ways to fill the 26th spot.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Garlick's awful 2020 isn't a concern though? He's also posted a K rate north of 30% in each major league stint so I'm not sure how he alleviates any perceived contact issues. Basically he doesn't seem like a viable insurance policy if you're truly worried about Kepler, Buxton, and Cave.
  14. KirbyDome89
    You're concerned about guys with proven MLB track records, but rostering Kyle Garlick provides insurance?
  15. KirbyDome89
    Garlick has had a similarly high K% in each of his major league stints. I know you're not carrying the torch for the guy, but if the right side of the LF platoon is going to be "sink or swim," I don't know why the team wouldn't just turn to Rooker. He was an advanced college bat when they drafted him, he's already hit well in the high minors, and he looked pretty good in a small sample last year. If Garlick is going to rot on the bench and we Arraez get significant time in LF then that's another story I guess.
  16. KirbyDome89
    I'd encourage you, and those liking your post to take a closer look at those MLB.com numbers and cross reference them....
  17. KirbyDome89
    The last time we saw him in that type of role he posted a .678 OPS, and despite the contact skills he's never really hit for a high average either. He plays multiple defensive positions at a below average level, he doesn't draw walks to get on base, and he doesn't hit for extra bases. If he's playing 1/3 of the time then I think it actually does do some harm.
  18. KirbyDome89
    I'm just not going to buy that he's currently so fragile that he needs to be protected from major league pitching, but 6 months ago he was alright to debut in a postseason elimination game after a year off. Also, no, the Twins didn't have to debut Kirilloff; they chose to do so. They could've rostered Wade instead of Kirilloff and even with Buxton's mid series injury Marwin could've taken over a corner OF spot with Adrianza taking over at 3B. Neither scenario is particularly appealing but if the goal was to "protect the kid," then they could've done it. It sends the same message that opting not to roster ST standouts does; ST performances don't carry much weight.
  19. KirbyDome89
    100% agree. I think he likely plays even less than that. I'm against rostering a "break glass in case of emergency," player with options remaining. I view it as a waste of a spot. Rocco has kept the catcher postion around a 50/50 or 60/40 split, I wouldn't be too worried about either Garver or Jeffers getting PT. Honestly, I think Garver needs to show that last season was a fluke before we start trying to get his bat in at 1B or DH. Arraez is a fair point. I'm unsure how hard Donaldson will press to start the season so there could be some extra games at 3B and Rocco has been good at juggling lineups to get guys in. The OF is admittedly crowded with Kirilloff; I guess I'd argue that it'd only be that way for a month and if by the end of that time both Rooker and Kirilloff have made a case to stay the Twins would have a "good problem," on their hands. For me it's simple, I think the value of Kirilloff on the roster is greater than Astudillo + a 14th pitcher. I'd much rather the Twins start a season with their best possible team. Adjustments can certainly be made. I'd be surprised if Kirilloff is back in 2 weeks, even if Rooker struggles. I think the Twins are in a nice position to protect service time so the impetus for a call up has to be pretty great.
  20. KirbyDome89
    If he struggles then he goes down and faces the subpar extended ST pitching he's already lined up to see for the next month. There isn't anything lost by giving him major league ABs right now other than starting his service clock, and if six years from now the Twins are on the fence then things likely didn't work out as we'd all hoped they would. If he's going to be at the facilities and in the clubhouse I don't see why they wouldn't just give him the roster spot at that point. Kirilloff made his MLB debut in a postseason elimination game after not playing in a real baseball game for over a year. That kind of flies in the face of protecting his psyche and making sure his timing/rhythm is perfect before exposing him to high level pitching, no? I'm not dumping on Cave, he's fine as the left side of a platoon, but he's just that; a platoon OFer. Obviously there's value there, but he's not so talented that we should bemoan the fact that he may lose some ABs to a prospect like Kirilloff. Prospects have to break in somehow, and on a good team like the Twins it'll likely be at the expense of somebody with a major league track record. If my outlook had Kirilloff as a platoon OFer I wouldn't be irritated with his demotion.
  21. KirbyDome89
    If Astudillo's primary contribution is utility, and Kirilloff fills that same role then I'd argue that they are related. While Kirilloff isn't a pitcher, there also isn't any rule that requires a team to carry 14 arms, so yes, that 14th pitcher is being given a spot over Kirilloff as well. Kepler plays 26/29 games Cruz plays 25/29 games Sano plays 25/29 games Cave & Rooker platoon 25/29 games That isn't anywhere close to an equitable outcome. If there's still angst over PT, Buxton can also take a couple games off which means Kepler or Cave can slide over to CF. I guess we'll just disagree on how much of an impact Kirilloff starting those games would have.
  22. KirbyDome89
    It wouldn't be an even split, I agree. If Kiriloff starts one out of every 7-8 games at DH and 1B that gets him 8 starts. 3 games in LF and another 3 in RF and he's playing half of the games. Sano has had trouble with injuries for a while, and Cruz started to break down the last time the Twins played a full season as well. I don't think a few extra days off early in the season is the worst thing. Kepler giving up 3 games isn't huge. The only person it really impacts is Cave, as he's the left side of the OF platoon, and if we're worried about a platoon OFer not getting enough April ABs because the top hitting prospect in the organization is on the roster....well.... IMO being in a major league clubhouse and playing 50% of the time is more valuable than participating in simulated games in extended ST. If BP is the answer to keeping him in a rhythm then he can certainly get plenty of that on the days he isn't starting for the Twins.
  23. KirbyDome89
    If he's moving between all 4 spots everybody you named will still get more than the lions share of PT. I don't see Kirilloff having much impact on Rooker, they're opposite sides of the platoon. I'm not sure what's evaluate with Cave. Personally I'm over Astudillo. The best thing he can offer is positional versatility and carrying Arraez + Kirilloff covers everything except the catcher position. He's not a good defender, and his approach at the plate isn't all that reliable either. The eighth man gets buried in bullpen at times. I don't know how often we should expect to see the 9th man. Again, I don't see the value in giving two active spots to players that we'll see sparingly, and/or only when games get out of hand. My concern is twofold. I think the scenario I laid out is more valuable to both the team on the field and Kirilloff; I'm also worried that there will now be a reluctance to call him up early in the season to avoid the service time aspect you highlighted.
  24. KirbyDome89
    You don't think there are enough ABs between LF, RF, 1B, and DH in the 30 games the Twins would play before the AAA season begins? Astudillo on the active roster is redundant, as is the bulk of relief arms. There's definitely a path to keeping Kirilloff around. He would at least have a role. I don't see the value in keeping a 2nd backup catcher or the 14th bullpen arm on the active roster to start the season.
  25. KirbyDome89
    If you slightly tweak your threshold numbers the Twins had 5 pitchers throw 49+ innings and another 7 throw 25+ innings. I think that paints a much different picture. What group in the 21' pen are you penciling in for 60+ innings? Of the guys that threw the lion's share of innings in 19', May is gone, and Rogers & Smeltzer are each coming off of a pretty bad season, albeit a shortened one. I don't see much of a comp with the 15' Royals.
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