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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. Chicago is just the gift that keeps on giving. For all the warts the Twins do or don't have have, the Sox offer a healthy amount of perspective.
  2. Mini rant: This isn't a pitchers duel so much as a string of brutal ABs. Not exactly an original observation, and maybe I'm hitting the dog days a little early but it's hard for me to tune into games like this. Whether it's the Twins or their opponent, watching guys swing out of their asses and then sit down or make weak contact is so damn boring. Kudos to Smeltzer and Wells for getting outs, but these lineups are up there just hacking away. End rant.
  3. Concur on being proactive rather than reactive. Winder looks more than capable of giving the Twins what Bundy has to this point, plus Bundy to the pen might be an improvement on two fronts.
  4. Idk if injuries have derailed the approach so much as they weren't properly weighed when deciding it, at least based on that brief history and the starting staff assembled.
  5. No denying it, but that's also the kind of staff this FO built no? Winder missed time last year with a shoulder issue. Last season looks like an outlier as far as Ober's health is concerned, and even then he was shut down at the end of the year. Paddock's medicals have been beaten to death. Gray has missed his share of time during his career as well. If plan B was rotating in young arms, Balazovic has struggled, Canterino is hurt after missing most of last year due to injury, and SWR has dealt with his own injuries and effectiveness issues lately. Maybe Balazovic's year is a bit surprising, but Canterino and SWR being hurt or ineffective shouldn't be. I didn't include guys like Varland or Sands because I don't see them as long term solutions in the rotation, but Ober would've fit that description prior to last year, so I guess there's that. Alcala going down was tough, but even so, there were questions about which version the Twins were getting. Losing a setup man doesn't typically throw a decent pen into total free fall. They've been far and away the most glaring issue, and that's 100% due to a lack of viable arms.
  6. This. There were plenty of questions during the offseason about where the innings were going to come from based on staff construction. The present state isn't exactly shocking; it's tough to hide guys over a 162 game schedule.
  7. Cleveland probably gripes about their own pen blowing leads in 2 of those 3 games as well if we're being fair. Today though, that Guardians lineup was anemic, and honestly they were all series against anyone not named Pagan or Thornburg. Am I crazy for continuing to think the Twins are the superior team, but for some reason piss away opportunities when playing Cleveland?
  8. There's no amount of moves the Twins can make that'll have them favored in a matchup with NY, none, but that isn't the point. Solidifying holes gives them a better chance in the postseason, and that's what the focus should be. Doing nothing at the deadline with the current pen is a borderline fireable offense. This division is the Twins' to lose.
  9. Watching Cleveland flail away it's hard to believe the Twins are going to end up with a split of the last 8 games. All that angst about the division slipping away seems overblown.
  10. That's Archer. It drives me nuts. The guy is rocking a career high LOB%, career low BABIP, but a hard hit rate almost identical to last year. He continues to wiggle out of these absolute blowups so I guess there's that, but it doesn't seem destined to last. IMO he's the Pagan of the starting staff and they can keep limiting him to 3-4 IP or 2x through the order but at that point you're a starter by name only.
  11. Revisit the Berrios trade. Trade deadline proposals with little to zero chance of acceptance. Trade/extend Correa. Rocco hate/defense threads. This place is the f****** ground hogs day of tiresome takes at times....
  12. FIP and xFIP say he's pretty much where he should be. The total body is probably what you'd expect from a 5th starter, but that's a bar I think we all hoped one of the young starters would clear. I think Winder is at that point.
  13. Sure, if this is the real Bundy then he stays, but I kinda doubt that. I don't even mind if they ride him a bit while he's not terrible but I'd like to see Winder take his spot sooner rather than later. On IP alone, Winder being able to go 5-6 is more valuable than Archer with the disaster that is this bullpen. If they want to stack Bundy & Archer and readdress the logjam whenever Ober shows up I'm all for that too.
  14. Do they need to implode and be amongst the worst pitchers in the league, a la Happ and Shoemaker, for the Twins to move them though? I think Winder gives MN a better shot than Bundy to every fifth day, despite Dylan's last two outings. Almost of equal importance, it gives the Twins an actual look at a starting prospect this year. Obviously they still have half a season, and injuries/ineffectiveness blah blah blah are all in play too.
  15. I'll pass on assigning financial value top priority. I guess it's the ultimate trump card though, and it's obviously fun to repeat it ad nauseam. You should hashtag it.
  16. Your entire defense against regression is financial value... Rotation stability > dollars spent per WAR. I can't be more clear than that. Archer was signed to be a starter. Idc whether he's making $3M or $15M.
  17. I'm not even going down the rabbit hole of could've/should've done more. I'm saying Archer's value is relative to the job he's being asked to do, not just how little MN is paying him.
  18. I hope Alcala and in particular Maeda are bonuses and not Plan A.
  19. Predictive doesn't mean actually forecasting individual events during a single game, it's a more longitudinal approach. Pagan has struggled with allowing baserunners all year. Early on he worked his way out of nearly every jam. That's unsustainable; eventually those runners are going to start crossing home plate, i.e. what we're seeing now. First round is on you. Utepils Vera Cruz por favor!
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