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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Berrios, hope Kenta bounces back, hope the FO is able to fill at least 2 rotation spots with something other than fliers and projects? I didn't say the outlook was roses but giving away Berrios all but guarantees a full on rebuild, not a reset for a year or two. Conversely, what's the pitching plan if he's moved? What team is giving up a front end prospect that's a year or two away from the majors for the opportunity to pay Berrios to be that guy? If Kenta bounces back this year or next we're likely having this same conversation about him; good pitcher on a bad team with 1.5 years left. We've seen the difficulty this organization has had filling a few back end spots each year, I don't want to imagine what the rotation will look like with 4 slots open. If we agree that the Twins are light on pitching prospects, how many eggs are we putting in that basket? Maybe it's selfish, but I'd rather not race towards a stretch of baseball like we watched in the mid 2010s. If they're going to tear things down to the studs and be terrible again, I'd rather the Twins at least take one more shot at putting a good team on the field for 2022 and hold a fire sale next July if necessary.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Dealing Berrios isn't punting on only one year and then kick starting the next Twins run for 2023 and beyond. I hope everybody advocating for a trade realizes that. Balazovic hasn't thrown a pitch above high A yet. Duran has 37 unimpressive innings at AA; I guess we'll see how AAA goes this year. Both are currently on the DL, which itself is another hurdle. Van already said it, the pitching pipeline in this organization isn't exactly about to burst. Expecting either of the prospects to replace Berrios or even jump into the lineup within the next 1.5 years and be effective at the major league level seems overly optimistic.
  3. KirbyDome89
    I definitely agree Berrios would bring back a better return, but wouldn't dealing him essentially be signaling the beginning of the rebuild neither of us think is necessary at this moment? The Twins would have to replace 4/5 of their starting rotation for next season, not to mention fill in the the talent gap left by Berrios' departure. I don't have much faith that this FO can adequately fill three spots for next year; losing Berrios would seemingly make that issue insurmountable.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Astudillo's last 14 ABs: .429/.429/.857 Astudillo's previous 50 ABs : .280/.275/.380 Even the 50 AB sample before his recent power surge is buoyed by a couple multi hit games to start the year. He spent the three weeks prior to this little streak slashing .220/.214/.293. I don't even see an average offensive player. The weak bat coupled with his inability to be even an average defender at whichever position the Twins deploy him is the reason for the criticism, and it's valid.
  5. KirbyDome89
    I'm not sure I'd include Berrios in the blame game. Kenta has been disappointing but his HR rate won't stay this high, and if the expectation was that he'd pitch at or near where he was last season then that's on the FO. I was in favor of the extensions Kepler, Polanco, and Sano received. The Kepler and Polanco deals looked phenomenal after their '19 breakouts. Neither one is a financial albatross and if development breaks right the Twins could have Kirilloff, Larnach, and Arraez to step in. Of the three I think Sano has the best chance to turn things around. If he's indeed going to be a worse version of Mark Reynolds then his contract will sting a bit but I can't fault the FO too much for these moves. They're misses, but I think their on field impact (hopefully) will be small. The FO has always used the dart throw/waiver wire approach with the pitching staff, and I've bitched about it for years. This season the Twins just don't have the offense, or the back end anchor(s) to hide it. It's year 5 of Falvey, and developing arms was his claim to fame when he came over. Where are they? I can't understand the Rocco angst. 14%? Really? Apart from purposeful sabotage, I don't know how he could negatively impact a game so much as to be responsible for such a large percentage of the losing. Yeah, I've disagreed with some substitutions, bullpen usage, and quibbled over lineups but these guys are all (allegedly) professionals and Rocco can only cook with the ingredients he's given.
  6. KirbyDome89
    In his last 16 games not counting tonight he has a .234 OBP and overall a .604 OPS. That's brutal....
  7. KirbyDome89
    Colome was gifted that K to start the 8th as well. The guy just can't be anywhere near games that are close at this point. The Twins don't have the luxury of finding out whether he can regain some semblance of a major league pitcher.
  8. KirbyDome89
    The 2006 comps came up a lot in '18 when the Twins got off to a lackluster start. That '06 team had 2 pitchers performing at a Cy Young level and they went 37-15 through June and July. There really isn't anything about this 2021 version to suggest either is happening. I think the more realistic hope is that Chicago and Cleveland stall out around .500 and the Twins can capture the title with a win total in the high 80s/very low 90s a la 2003. That still requires MN to play at a 95ish win pace for the remainder of the season on top of getting some help. I realize these were some "not all hope is lost," scenarios but the fact that it's late April and the Twins might already need a May like '15 is pretty brutal.
  9. KirbyDome89
    I believe the "ready," comment was sardonic. We've heard for the last few weeks that AK isn't ready because ST stats I guess suddenly matter. Despite that the Twins brought Kirilloff up for a doubleheader with BOS when there were 5 other position players that could've started in LF. Coincidently, the call up happened to not affect his service time, as he was the 27th man. Unsurprisingly he was sent back down immediately following those games. LF has been a black hole. Neither Cave nor Garlick has looked even semi capable. What other variables am I missing? Service time manipulation is less of an indictment than saying this FO prefers to watch a LF that features Cave striking out 50% of the time and Garlick proving he's a AAAA guy.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Conversely, how many teams that got off to poor starts like you mentioned above didn't sniff the playoffs, let alone win the WS? I honestly don't understand this notion that the Twins can play sub .500 ball until June and then just flip the switch and play at a 100+ win pace for 4 straight months.
  11. KirbyDome89
    That isn't how baseball works. Split the difference and say they're 12 games under .500 by May 31st. Their record is 21-33. We'll say 94 wins captures the division. The Twins would have to play at essentially a 110 win pace for the next four months to reach that number. I'm ok with some patience; we're two weeks into the season. Digging a huge hole for the first couple months and expecting to flip a switch and climb out isn't likely to end well. There are plenty of loses baked into the schedule for even the best teams.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Good to see dutchoven45 getting some shine on TD. Twitter....
  13. KirbyDome89
    I'm not defending Astudillo, or that AB, but if his lone skill isn't even usable in PH situations his place on the roster seems head scratching. I wasn't on the Astudillo train leaving ST but his contact ability and "versatility," were touted as the reason for having him on the active roster. We know about the defensive issues, and now he's a part time PH candidate.
  14. KirbyDome89
    His ability to make contact is pretty much his only plus asset. A leadoff PH appearance in extra innings where the runner on 2nd should, at minimum, be moved over one base is likely the best way to use him.
  15. KirbyDome89
    He's well over 2K career PAs with a .331 OBP and .824 OPS. What team is turning their nose up at that?
  16. KirbyDome89
    23 ABs and we're 7 days into the season....
  17. KirbyDome89
    I know I sure do. After racking up 2 hits in his lone start this season I'm ready to pencil him in at the top of the lineup for the the foreseeable future.
  18. KirbyDome89
    No, the difference is I'm not using speculation about no hitters ruining entire careers and suspect association claims regarding the medical necessity to remove him from in game, in an effort to rationalize the decision. As far as I know the only things I pointed to were his low pitch count relative to a "normal range," and the decision of the current manager and FO to let him throw over 100 pitches in a CG to begin the season a few years ago. Again, if you're just going to appeal to authority posting in dedicated fan threads seems like an odd choice. When does 2020 become an example of "if you give them an excuse they'll use it?" Honestly. He made starts all through the shortened regular season & brief postseason, he went through an offseason routine, he had a normal ST, and he isn't coming back from any sort of injury/surgery ect. At some point it's 2021. Numbers like 125, 130, (140?) ect aren't really relevant because they took him out at 84, while he was mowing down that Brewers lineup. Maybe he continues on that pace which would put him right around his CG pitch total after 8 innings. Maybe he gets a couple quick outs. Maybe he starts to labor or gives up a hit. The point is, he wasn't afforded to opportunity for any of the above scenarios to play out.
  19. KirbyDome89
    I didn't have a problem with it a few years ago; I certainly wouldn't have decried Berrios getting a similar opportunity the other day. I know you don't actually believe individual awards/accomplishments don't matter to these guys. Yes, it's a team sport, but I can't imagine a single pitcher would tell you they wouldn't want the opportunity to achieve something rare such as a no hitter at the major league level.
  20. KirbyDome89
    That's an interesting twist on what I actually posted. Rather than making assumptions about points I didn't make, instead, let's assume you're capable of searching through medical journals and finding peer reviewed articles that are comfortable making any sort of concrete statement when it comes to pitch counts, and then show me that Berrios was maxed out at 84. That is the bar you've chosen to set after all. Save everybody the time reading your replies and just copy paste "They know more than us," in every thread...
  21. KirbyDome89
    Ignoring the assumed knowledge of where the line for manageable is, and what happens when it's crossed, he threw 84 pitches yesterday, which doesn't even put him into the typical workload range. The guy started the season with complete game just a couple years ago but letting him to continue to cruise yesterday was foolish and risky? Disagree.
  22. KirbyDome89
    That seems like a bit of a false equivalence no? We're going to discount the anterior capsule surgery and his age at that time? Personally I disagree with pulling Berrios, but there's a defense of that decision which doesn't involve speculation that Johan's career ended because he was allowed to complete his own no hitter.
  23. KirbyDome89
    The walks are the most encouraging part of Buxton's day. His power, as well as his skills on the base paths and in the field have been on display for a while. My concern is the strikeouts in the first two ABs. Dialing in his K% and BB% is an ongoing battle, and I expect some volatility. It was the manner in which the strikeouts occurred that was troubling; he simply looked overmatched facing Woodruff. It was like watching the '15 or '16 version of him, where he on the defensive the entire AB rather than attacking with a plan.
  24. KirbyDome89
    They put 5 runs despite leaving 13 men on base. A timely hit in the 5th or 6th off of Peralta and the game is borderline out of reach entering the 9th. That's far from a pathetic offense.
  25. KirbyDome89
    No joke, thought this was an April Fools article.... I had to take off heading into the 9th but I assumed the game was in hand. Yikes...
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