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gil4

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Everything posted by gil4

  1. gil4
    Coach told him to run home, so he ran HOME?
  2. gil4
    Through their age 28 seasons, Trout is better than Aaron was, and it's not particularly close. Trout's lowest OPS+ (other than his 40 game call-up at age 19) was 168 (9 seasons). Aaron had an OPS+ >/= 168 8 times in his career, only twice from age 20-28. Trout already has more MVPs (3-1), more MVP runner-up (4-0), more MVP top-5 finishes (9-8). Aaron was better from age 29-38 than he was from 20-28, and there is no guarantee Trout will do that (odds are against it), but he has a decent lead right now, and he certainly could end up topping Aaron.
  3. gil4
    The numbers in the article are Fangraphs projected 2021 WAR, not 2020 WAR.
  4. gil4
    The point is I need something new to read while on the can. Seth has sources. There have been changes. I'm sure it will be great.
  5. gil4
    I know he has defied the odds so far, but they will likely go backwards at that spot if they do re-sign him. Time always wins over the athlete's body ... eventually.
  6. gil4
    I don't think this was about the money. I like it as a baseball decision. That said, I agree that dollars are going to be at a premium. I just think those decisions are still to come.
  7. gil4
    It doesn't ring true.
  8. gil4
    I am not
  9. gil4
    It is a lot more detailed than the NFHS rules I normally deal with, but both get to pretty close to the same place.
  10. gil4
    Ruled correctly, no matter how much it confused the Twins' TV team. Excerpt from the definition of a catch in the rule book: "In establishing the validity of the catch, the fielder shall hold the ball long enough to prove that he has complete control of the ball and that his release of the ball is voluntary and intentional." His throwing hand was not by the glove when the ball popped out and he was not yet in the process of the transfer. He tried to quickly open and close the glove to get the ball deaper into the pocket, and in doing so it came out. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xn6rm5Odtfs
  11. gil4
    Donaldson concerns me the most because of the contract. Odo is next. I never considered Hill more than a roll of the dice with his age and most recent surgery.
  12. gil4

    Gil4 uploads

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  13. gil4

    OnTheBase?

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    OnTheBase?

    From the album: Gil4 uploads

  14. gil4
    Cancel that plan. (Shoulder injury)
  15. gil4
    He was elite. We will have to see if his arm remains attached to the body after the surgery.
  16. gil4
    They made a lot of beer, but it was the kind of beer that caused the invention of wine coolers back in the day. I was an early adopter of the craft beer boom - I remember when there wasn't much beyond Sam Adams, Sierra Nevada, and Anchor. Now we have more IPAs than we have people who know what it stands for. (They didn't brew if to be their best beer; they brewed it with a high enough alcohol and hop content to survive the trip from England to India, hence India Pale Ale). I'm hoping it takes one more step - widespread availability of cask conditioned ale. England managed to accomplish it thanks to CAMRA (Campaign for Real Ale). It had almost died out in favor of filtered keg beer, and by the mid-1980s it was back to being the national drink. (Their craft beer boom preceded ours by about a decade.) Granted, the U.S. doesn't have recent history to recover and would be starting from scratch, but I think demand would grow once people discover it.
  17. gil4
    I didn't either. It's more recent than I would have expected (2012). https://www.amazon.com/Rod-Carews-Hit-Win-Carew-ebook/dp/B008SBHE02/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=hit+to+win+carew
  18. gil4
    Unfortunate that he was from Wisconsin or unfortunate that you didn't realize it? (Either meaning could work.)
  19. gil4
    This was fun to go through. Are the Twins the only team with more WAR from Idaho than Florida? I didn't know Pavano was from my home state (Connecticut). The only names that came to mind were former manager Billy Gardner (I umpired with his son when I was 18/19 years old) and former GM Bill Smith (I had to watch my comments during that era because his mother was in my dad's bridge club. I don't know if he was actually from there or if she had relocated.) Now if the Twins had drafted Bagwell (or had a 40-tr-old reliever to send to the Red Sox to trade for him), Connecticut might have given Idaho a run for the money.
  20. gil4
    I think 4 and 5 could go either way too. It was an interesting topic.
  21. gil4
    It's not easy to be elected to the HoF. The problem is they have different groups electing people using different standards, and those standards tend to change frequently. When people talk about peak performance in connection with the Hall, they are normally not talking about that one great year. It normally refers to a peak established level of consistent excellence, and a metric like BR's 7-yr peak WAR helps capture that. You are more likely to win championships with 10 years of great than with 20 years of really good (like Harold Baines). (It helps if your greatness actually results in a championship.) I think Blyleven got snubbed because he pitched so long they remembered the guy who was good despite leading the league in HR allowed and they forgot the guy who was a dominant pitcher in his early 20s pitching for crappy teams in MLB backwaters.) Quick exercise: List Blyleven, Koufax, and Santana in order of 7-yr peak bWAR. (I listed them alphabetically.)
  22. gil4
    If they had given it to Rivera, I could have accepted that they were comparing apples to oranges and the orange looked really good at the time. But comparing Johan to Colon was apples to apples, and the only metric that made Colon look like the better pitcher was the one that tells you the least about the pitcher - wins. Johan pitched more innings, had a much better ERA, ERA+, more strikeouts, higher WAR... It should have been no contest between the two.
  23. gil4
    The biggest issue I have with the system is they fall under the contract negotiated by the MLBPA, but they aren't eligible for membership. As others have said, MLBPA gives lip service to caring about minor leaguers. (They might be overstating their level of concern.) I'm not sure what what their contracts say, but at a minimum they should be allowed to opt out of any reduction and become free agents. (It would really only affect a few, but it would be a deterence to the teams.) Most would probably accept the reduction in order to keep the medical.
  24. gil4
    I remember there was always skepticism of his stuff, despite the results. It's a shame he got hurt (a popular refrain for pitching prospects) and didn't really have the opportunity to prove the skeptics wrong. I'm glad he's doing well after his playing career - he's still part of the Twins family.
  25. gil4
    A bit of nostalgia there. I can't y I miss that wall, but there were a lot of good times at that awful stadium. It was a junkpile, but it was OUR junk pile. I can picture readers 100 years from now getting to "over the baggie" scratching their heads and trying to make sense of that.
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