howieramone2
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Everything posted by howieramone2
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Twins Starting Depth To Be Tested
howieramone2 commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
The scary part is that by the end of the year 10 starters may well be necessary. As step one I would package 2 of our AA arms for a proven starter. In an emergency situation, I can't help but think Wilk and Tepesch types will be needed, but we have more than enough pie-in-the sky to get one proven starter at this point in time. -
Good stuff! I like the idea of taking 3 starting pitchers with 2 being the college variety.
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We're going to trade pie-the-sky for a proven starter. That's no where near more than what I want to pay.
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Bingo!
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You understand he is in year 5 right? Our favorite team is in year 6. I put my money on the mid-market team.
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Trading Dozier and Santana for pie-in-the sky would position us to compete in 2020. Falvey, the 25 guys in the locker room and myself are not going to wait that long.
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Who were the 2 difference makers? One of the laws of baseball, is when a mid-market team does a complete rebuild, they are going to have losing seasons. The Pirates had 20, the Royals didn't see the play-offs for almost that long.
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One of the laws of baseball, is you can only beat the teams you play.
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Read my lips. I'm dead serious.
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And what exactly is that?
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Since it appears at this time we will be in the hunt, I would package several of our AA arms to get a proven starting pitcher prior to the trade deadline.
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Actually, since he came up from rehab, he's gotten more at bats than any other DH type. That's conclusive enough for me at this point in time.
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No, after a terrible 2016, his value fell further.
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As I posted before, 2006-2011 is ancient history. The world has changed.
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Assuming Mejia does satisfactory and gets to stay in the big city, filter in Chargois, Burdi, and Melotakis when they are ready, and we have almost completely changed the makeup of our staff.
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King Theo went way over for one year only. I question whether those 16 year-olds have made it to Chicago yet. He did spent big on Soler the Cuban, but traded him for Wade Davis. King Theo's success is much more tied to using his checkbook wisely, than aggressive international spending. This plague you speak of, is followed by the vast majority of teams. TR is gone, let it go.
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Santana to this point has shown no signs of decline. We have him for next season and I recently read we have a team option for 2019. I'm very hopeful he can fill a slot in the rotation for the next 2 years. We should have others to do the heavy lifting by 2019.
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King Theo's position players were ahead of his arms. Being a large market team, he was able to take the checkbook out. We have alot more top pitching prospects getting close to Target Field than we do position players. It's not going to happen today, tomorrow, or the next day, but the numbers say it will. Saturday's game IMHO, was one of the biggest in years. He still has to go thru the trials and tribulations all young starting pitchers do, but I'm guessing Berrios, will enter next season as a 2/3 and fill in behind Santana nicely. To me this means we do not have to spend 100-150M in free agency on an ace quality starter, but can set our sights on a proven vet for half that. Alot of good things are happening at One Twins Way.
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Antony made a great trade. Look for Santiago to get 3 years for approximately 35-40M this offseason.
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There are lies, damn lies, and statistics.
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Most of the starters have been on a top 100 list at some point in time. You and I both know, relievers are seldom rated that high. It's cool with me, if the board wants to continue lusting for that mythical ace. I learned the numbers game from Andy MacPhail when we were both in Chicago.
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Maybe in your world.
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It's a numbers game. The alternative is screaming for Berrios for 21 months. Also, I hope they take starting pitching with our first 3 picks in the 2017 draft.
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Chief, let me give you some specfics: Starters-Berrios, Duffey, Stewart, Jorge, Romero, Mejia, Jay, Gonsalves, Thorpe Power relievers-Chargois, Burdi, Reed, Melotakis, Bard As a rule of thumb, I believe 20-30% of top pitching prospects become contributors. IMO, numbers are on our side, over time.
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Much Ado About One Sample Point-- And I'm Wrong
howieramone2 replied to caninatl04's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
If we had been in the win now mode, Nola would have been the pick. I've never been good at predicting picks, but in this one I wanted Trea Turner. I'm very happy with the progress Gordon continues to make. Not sure why Vielma was promoted over him.
